Monmouth County Surf Forecast
Last Update: 2/21/2026 16:00
Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams
Scroll to the right for more information in the below tables
Week of 2/22 - 2/28
Update as of Friday 2/20: We have another Miller B Nor’easter expected to impact our region on Sunday/Monday. Snow estimates are in the 0-20” range, so not too much clarity there. High-Res model runs will be available soon which should shine some light on what we’ll actually see. In terms of swell, there will be a lot. We’re looking at 10-15ft sees for Monday AM with a possible wind switch later in the afternoon. A different region will likely be better given the forecast Monday for those that want to get the largest waves from this system.
For everyone else, Tuesday is looking fun, though it’s an east swell, meaning you’re going to want to find a sandbar that can handle the swell direction.
Following Tuesday’s swell, it looks like another low pressure system moves across the Great Lakes setting up a fun, prefrontal south swell for Wednesday afternoon and possible leftovers on Thursday AM. Following closely behind is another coastal low (not a Nor’easter) that is expected to send us some mid period southeast swell that could very well be in the head high range. Leftovers are expected for Saturday AM if that holds.
Great week of surf here. Let’s hope we get the least amount of snow possible.
Sunday 2/22
| Time | Swell Height | Period | Wave Direction | Energy Percentile | Wind Speed | Wind Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 1.8 | 6.6 | 125.4 | 14.9 | 7.5 | ENE |
| 10:00 | 3.7 | 4.3 | 95.4 | 11.5 | 22 | E |
| 13:00 | 5.7 | 5.9 | 87.2 | 51.9 | 23.4 | E |
| 16:00 | 7.3 | 6.5 | 83.2 | 71.6 | 29.5 | ENE |
| 19:00 | 9 | 7.3 | 78.5 | 85.7 | 31.2 | NE |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 04:20 | L | -0.15 |
| 10:32 | H | 4.03 |
| 16:24 | L | -0.31 |
| 22:59 | H | 4.61 |
Stormy and blown out.
It’s possible we see a ton of snow (1ft+). Prepare for that.
(Snow) Update as of 2/21: NAM 3km is showing around 7 inches of snow and the HRRR is showing around 16. The CMC (Canadian model) is showing around 16, but that’s at a 10:1 ratio. Our snowfall is expected to be more dense than that, so we should see less than that number. If I had to throw out a range, I’d say 8-12, but precipitation is a different game than swell. Either way, prepare for snow.
Monday 2/23
| Time | Swell Height | Period | Wave Direction | Energy Percentile | Wind Speed | Wind Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 12.8 | 11.1 | 92.7 | 99.4 | 37.2 | NNW |
| 10:00 | 11.5 | 10.9 | 96.7 | 99.1 | 36 | NNW |
| 13:00 | 9.9 | 10.6 | 96.7 | 98.4 | 29 | NNW |
| 16:00 | 7.7 | 10.4 | 94.8 | 96.2 | 22 | NNW |
| 19:00 | 6.2 | 10.2 | 94 | 93 | 23 | NW |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 05:19 | L | 0.1 |
| 11:31 | H | 3.79 |
| 17:18 | L | -0.06 |
| 23:58 | H | 4.53 |
There’s still some uncertainty in what the eventual swell direction will be. It could be more NE than currently shown
Big numbers from what looks like another Miller B Nor’easter. Watch end of day and Tuesday, assuming it’s possible to get to the beach.
It’s possible this cleans up enough, especially for SE facing beaches south of Monmouth County. Predicting the wind speed is going to be a challenge, but somewhere between 15 and 30kts is a reasonable estimate. I’d expect wind to stay stronger for Monmouth County. Look south if you want to surf, but know your limits.
Notes: Experts only if it comes together. It won’t be user friendly. Lots of water moving around and strong currents.
Best board: If you’re going, I don’t need to tell you.
Tuesday 2/24
| Time | Swell Height | Period | Wave Direction | Energy Percentile | Wind Speed | Wind Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 4.1 | 10.5 | 91.3 | 85.3 | 22.3 | WNW |
| 10:00 | 3.8 | 4.3 | 317.6 | 0.1 | 20.5 | WNW |
| 13:00 | 3.4 | 4 | 305 | 0 | 20.2 | WNW |
| 16:00 | 2.9 | 10.3 | 88 | 71.8 | 15.9 | WNW |
| 19:00 | 2.2 | 10.2 | 87.7 | 59.6 | 14.2 | WSW |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 06:33 | L | 0.29 |
| 12:34 | H | 3.61 |
| 18:29 | L | 0.16 |
Due to the uncertainty still remaining in Monday’s forecast, I have fairly low confidence in the above table. Disregard the 4 second period portion of the table, it’s not technically wrong, but it’s not right.
There are likely to be leftovers, and wind is very likely to be offshore. Those leftovers are likely to be smaller than you would have hoped and the wind stronger than desired. Closeouts will be an issue given the swell direction and period.
The early AM low tide is pretty ideal though. We have a nice window mid-morning and possibly a window in the afternoon if the swell holds out.
Notes: Swell will fade quickly. This table is likely to change for a number of reasons.
Best board: TBD
Wednesday 2/25
| Time | Swell Height | Period | Wave Direction | Energy Percentile | Wind Speed | Wind Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 5.7 | 5.8 | 188.1 | 27.6 | 24.3 | SSW |
| 10:00 | 5.7 | 6.7 | 181.1 | 43.6 | 18.8 | SW |
| 13:00 | 5.4 | 7.3 | 178.8 | 50.9 | 17.9 | SW |
| 16:00 | 4.8 | 7.8 | 174.4 | 53.4 | 11.9 | SW |
| 19:00 | 4.3 | 7.8 | 174.1 | 49.2 | 12.4 | SSW |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 01:01 | H | 4.44 |
| 07:50 | L | 0.3 |
| 13:40 | H | 3.52 |
| 19:47 | L | 0.21 |
Another steep south swell is possible around this time just as our east swell fades out. This looks pretty fun with some south wind protection.
Notes: Still early, but it’s definitely possible.
Thursday 2/26
| Time | Swell Height | Period | Wave Direction | Energy Percentile | Wind Speed | Wind Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 3.3 | 8 | 171.3 | 39.9 | 6.2 | NNE |
| 10:00 | 3.1 | 7.9 | 170.5 | 37 | 8.2 | E |
| 13:00 | 3.1 | 7.9 | 170.1 | 36.2 | 16.8 | ENE |
| 16:00 | 3.8 | 7.7 | 169.7 | 44.1 | 18.7 | ENE |
| 19:00 | 4.5 | 4.6 | 93.2 | 20.7 | 20.5 | ENE |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 02:09 | H | 4.39 |
| 08:59 | L | 0.14 |
| 14:51 | H | 3.58 |
| 20:59 | L | 0.1 |
Possible leftovers from Wednesday’s swell. I’d call this one a coin flip at this point.
Notes: Expect this to change some
Friday 2/27
| Time | Swell Height | Period | Wave Direction | Energy Percentile | Wind Speed | Wind Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 8.5 | 9.9 | 164.5 | 92.5 | 33.6 | NW |
| 10:00 | 7.3 | 10.4 | 157.2 | 92.8 | 27.2 | WNW |
| 13:00 | 6.7 | 10.7 | 152 | 93.1 | 25.5 | WNW |
| 16:00 | 5.9 | 10.8 | 152.9 | 91.1 | 23.3 | WNW |
| 19:00 | 4.7 | 10.6 | 156.5 | 84 | 16.1 | NW |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 03:22 | H | 4.44 |
| 09:59 | L | -0.11 |
| 16:02 | H | 3.81 |
| 22:01 | L | -0.1 |
Pretty much a dream swell scenario. We haven’t had one of these for a while now. The GFS is calling this one stronger than the Euro, but the storm track and resultant swell direction is the same. It’s far out, but fingers crossed.
Notes: The numbers are likely to change around a bit. I’m expecting them to come down a foot or so, but it’s still likely to be a mid-period south swell.
Saturday 2/28
| Time | Swell Height | Period | Wave Direction | Energy Percentile | Wind Speed | Wind Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 2.2 | 8.7 | 150.4 | 36.7 | 7.5 | WSW |
| 10:00 | 2 | 8.5 | 148.4 | 32.4 | 4.3 | SSW |
| 13:00 | 2.1 | 8.3 | 145.4 | 33.9 | 12.2 | S |
| 16:00 | 2.5 | 8.1 | 147.1 | 38.9 | 14.5 | S |
| 19:00 | 2.6 | 7.9 | 145.8 | 37.7 | 13.8 | S |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 04:28 | H | 4.62 |
| 10:53 | L | -0.36 |
| 17:02 | H | 4.14 |
| 22:58 | L | -0.31 |
Possible leftovers. Tons of uncertainty.
Notes: Tons of uncertainty.
Looking Ahead
I’m really optimistic about the week ahead. Currently, I’m seeing ten out of sixteen days as having surfable swell with not unfavorable wind. We’ve had multiple model runs showing consistent and fun swell with even a potentially larger south swell slated for the end of February. It’s early to say, but this could be a really great run of surf as we get into March.
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