Monmouth County Surf Forecast
Last Update: 3/16/2026 09:30
Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams
New Feature: Water Level
Week of 3/15 - 3/22
See my Mid-March Update Here
A more powerful swell is expected next Monday 3/16 with leftovers lasting into Wednesday or Thursday. New east swell mixes in on Friday that should provide some fun but modest sized surf for the weekend. Another swell is possible Sunday/Monday. Things slow down a bit after that, but there’s more on the charts later in the month.
Monday 3/16
See the Swell Event Notes Here
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 145 | 7.2 | 6.8 | 65 | SSE | 25.1 | 2.3 |
| 08:00 | 155 | 7.9 | 7.2 | 71.9 | S | 23.2 | 1.6 |
| 10:00 | 165 | 8.8 | 7.6 | 76.2 | S | 25.6 | -0.2 |
| 12:00 | 165 | 10.1 | 8.1 | 85.9 | S | 27.9 | -1.6 |
| 14:00 | 165 | 11.4 | 8.4 | 90.9 | S | 28.7 | -1.1 |
| 16:00 | 165 | 12.6 | 8.9 | 94.7 | S | 30.8 | 0.6 |
| 18:00 | 155 | 13.2 | 9.1 | 96.8 | S | 31.7 | 1.8 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 06:03 | H | 4.41 |
| 12:15 | L | -0.07 |
| 18:29 | H | 4.14 |
A solid swell is looking likely at this time.
Notes: Wind isn’t expected to shift before dark (at least at this time). Watch Tuesday.
Tuesday 3/17
See the Swell Event Notes Here
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 152.4 | 9.4 | 10.1 | 95.5 | W | 23.9 | 2.5 |
| 08:00 | 152.4 | 8.7 | 10.1 | 94.5 | W | 23.1 | 1 |
| 10:00 | 152.2 | 8.2 | 10.1 | 93.5 | W | 22.5 | -1.4 |
| 12:00 | 152.4 | 7.7 | 10 | 92.3 | W | 20.9 | -2.7 |
| 14:00 | 125 | 7.3 | 10 | 93.9 | W | 19.8 | -2.7 |
| 16:00 | 125 | 6.9 | 9.9 | 92.9 | W | 19.6 | -1.3 |
| 18:00 | 125 | 6.7 | 9.9 | 92.1 | W | 20 | 0.1 |
| Time | Swell 1 Angle | Swell 1 | Swell 1 Period | Swell 2 Angle | Swell 2 | Swell 2 Period | Wind Wave Angle | Wind Wave | Wind Wave Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 151.3 | 7.6 | 10.2 | nan | nan | nan | 266.1 | 4 | 4.5 |
| 14:00 | 137.3 | 5.4 | 10.2 | 170.8 | 4 | 9.6 | 270.4 | 3.5 | 4.3 |
| 20:00 | 137 | 4.8 | 10 | 178.6 | 2.3 | 8.9 | 282.5 | 3.8 | 4.4 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 00:29 | L | 0.02 |
| 06:46 | H | 4.66 |
| 12:57 | L | -0.31 |
| 19:08 | H | 4.53 |
Potentially one of the best days of the year (not saying much but still). Wind is strong offshore and waves are still expected to be overhead, especially for the AM. The swell angle is favorable. While the numbers have dropped a bit, 7.6ft@10s is still a very solid swell.
Breaking wave heights in the AM are going to be pushing into the overhead range consistently.
It’s likely that the table above is over estimating end of day conditions. I would guess the main swell will be closer to 5.5ft@10s give or take by end of daylight hours. Wind should slack off a bit more that what is shown as well. I’d expect waves in the chest-head high range late day (potentially less depending on how much the wind knocks it down).
Notes: Won’t be user friendly. Solid surf; know your limits. There will be a lot of water moving around in the AM.
Best board: Step Up early and a HPSB for the afternoon.
Wednesday 3/18
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 135 | 4.7 | 9.8 | 80.3 | WNW | 10.7 | 0.5 |
| 08:00 | 135 | 4.4 | 9.8 | 78.1 | NW | 8.7 | 0.9 |
| 10:00 | 135 | 4.2 | 9.7 | 75.8 | NNW | 6.5 | -0.6 |
| 12:00 | 135 | 4.1 | 9.6 | 73.6 | NNE | 4 | -2.4 |
| 14:00 | 135 | 3.9 | 9.6 | 71.4 | ESE | 3.4 | -3.4 |
| 16:00 | 142.4 | 3.8 | 9.4 | 67.1 | SSE | 5.4 | -1.9 |
| 18:00 | 145 | 3.8 | 9.3 | 64.2 | S | 7.9 | 0.6 |
| Time | Swell 1 Angle | Swell 1 | Swell 1 Period | Wind Wave Angle | Wind Wave | Wind Wave Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 138.7 | 4 | 9.8 | 311.5 | 1.6 | 3.3 |
| 14:00 | 139.5 | 3.7 | 9.4 | nan | nan | nan |
| 20:00 | 140.5 | 3.6 | 9.2 | 187.1 | 1.4 | 3 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 01:16 | L | -0.26 |
| 07:26 | H | 4.82 |
| 13:38 | L | -0.5 |
| 19:46 | H | 4.86 |
Plenty of leftovers are expected. Looks really fun. Not much to add. Big tide swing.
Breaking wave heights should be in the stomach-chest range if this holds.
Notes: Really good. Watch the tide. Wind turns sideshore in the afternoon. A lot more user friendly than Tuesday.
Best board: HPSB or daily driver
Thursday 3/19
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 135 | 3.4 | 9 | 59.1 | SSE | 5 | 0.5 |
| 08:00 | 135 | 3.4 | 9 | 58.6 | SE | 5.9 | 1.9 |
| 10:00 | 135 | 3.4 | 9 | 58.1 | SE | 6.4 | 0.8 |
| 12:00 | 135 | 3.4 | 8.9 | 57.4 | ESE | 7 | -1.6 |
| 14:00 | 134.9 | 3.3 | 8.9 | 56.9 | SE | 8 | -3.1 |
| 16:00 | 135 | 3.4 | 8.9 | 56.7 | SE | 8.9 | -2 |
| 18:00 | 135 | 3.4 | 8.8 | 56.2 | SE | 8 | 0.5 |
| Time | Swell 1 Angle | Swell 1 | Swell 1 Period | Swell 2 Angle | Swell 2 | Swell 2 Period | Wind Wave Angle | Wind Wave | Wind Wave Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 137.3 | 3.3 | 9 | nan | nan | nan | 174.8 | 1.3 | 3 |
| 14:00 | 135.3 | 3.2 | 8.8 | nan | nan | nan | 177.3 | 1.3 | 3.1 |
| 20:00 | 141.2 | 2.7 | 8.7 | 99.1 | 1.8 | 8.6 | 183.3 | 1.4 | 3 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 02:03 | L | -0.47 |
| 08:07 | H | 4.87 |
| 14:19 | L | -0.62 |
| 20:25 | H | 5.1 |
Another day of fun waves is expected with a bit of texture from the sideshore winds. A bit of south windswell mixes in, mainly just to add a bit of jumble. Wave heights should be in the waist-stomach range. The swell angle is still favorable but trending more east than previous days. Closeouts could become a problem at low tide (besides the other issues with a negative tide).
Notes: User friendly and fun if the wind doesn’t trend worse. Watch the wind forecast. Big tide swing makes timing important.
Best board: groveler or daily driver.
Friday 3/20
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 135 | 2.9 | 8.6 | 45.3 | N | 5 | 0 |
| 08:00 | 125 | 2.9 | 8.6 | 48.3 | NNE | 5.6 | 1.8 |
| 10:00 | 125 | 3 | 8.7 | 51.1 | NE | 6 | 1.4 |
| 12:00 | 125 | 3.2 | 8.8 | 55.1 | NE | 7 | -0.8 |
| 14:00 | 115 | 3.3 | 9 | 60.9 | ESE | 8.2 | -2.7 |
| 16:00 | 115 | 3.5 | 9.1 | 65 | SE | 9.3 | -2.5 |
| 18:00 | 115 | 3.7 | 9.2 | 68.1 | SSE | 10 | -0.1 |
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | Angle 3 | Swell 3 | Period 3 | Angle 4 | Wind Wave | Period 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 138 | 2.4 | 8.5 | 97.1 | 1.6 | 8.5 | 206.6 | 0.6 | 3.3 | 269.2 | 0.7 | 2.4 |
| 14:00 | 126.2 | 2.8 | 8.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 191.6 | 2.1 | 3.3 |
| 20:00 | 120.1 | 3 | 9.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 192.5 | 4.3 | 5.1 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 02:49 | L | -0.6 |
| 08:50 | H | 4.79 |
| 14:59 | L | -0.65 |
| 21:07 | H | 5.23 |
Some reinforcing swell is likely at this time but surf is fading until it arrives. Check back later.
Saturday 3/21
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Wind Direction | Wind Speed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 116.7 | 3.8 | 9.2 | 221.4 | 7.8 |
| 14:00 | 113.2 | 3.3 | 9.1 | 45.1 | 11.7 |
| 20:00 | 111.5 | 3.1 | 9 | 94.6 | 7.6 |
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | Angle 3 | Swell 3 | Period 3 | Angle 4 | Wind Wave | Period 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 176.7 | 3.9 | 6.8 | 114.1 | 2.3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 348.3 | 2.6 | 3.7 |
| 14:00 | 177 | 3 | 7.2 | 105.8 | 1.9 | 9.1 | 123.8 | 1.2 | 9 | 12.4 | 2.3 | 4.2 |
| 20:00 | 180.6 | 2.1 | 6.9 | 107.9 | 1.8 | 9 | 34.5 | 1 | 3.8 | 143.9 | 0.5 | 1.6 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 03:34 | L | -0.6 |
| 09:35 | H | 4.62 |
| 15:40 | L | -0.57 |
| 21:53 | H | 5.23 |
More modest sized surf. Less favorable swell angle than previous days. Wind is expected to switch onshore for the afternoon but it’s pretty far out.
Sunday 3/22
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Wind Direction | Wind Speed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 117.7 | 3.4 | 8.4 | 221.8 | 13.3 |
| 14:00 | 115.4 | 3.6 | 8.2 | 231.7 | 10.2 |
| 20:00 | 110.4 | 3.7 | 8.3 | 350.4 | 18.1 |
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 4 | Wind Wave | Period 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 103.7 | 1.4 | 8.6 | 191.9 | 5.6 | 6 |
| 14:00 | 100.1 | 1.3 | 8.5 | 184.8 | 4.9 | 6.3 |
| 20:00 | 174.7 | 4.3 | 6.9 | 301.6 | 1.6 | 3.1 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 04:21 | L | -0.47 |
| 10:26 | H | 4.38 |
| 16:22 | L | -0.4 |
| 22:45 | H | 5.11 |
More waves possible from a passing low pressure system. Nothing firing, but potentially decent. Wind is likely to be sideshore.
Entirely possible these tables will be completely wrong and it’ll actually be an east swell on Monday 3/23. That’s the better outcome from what I’m seeing.
Notes: Too far out and lots of uncertainty; check back later.
Looking Ahead
Things might slow down a bit after next weekend. It’s possible we see another quick south swell around 3/23, but I would have low expectations for quality surf at this time. There is more potential as we near the end of the month, but nothing is jumping out as particularly spectacular.
All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave
Current list of Surf Hazards Surf Hazards
Why Energy Percentile? Energy Article
Helpful Links
Buoys
NOAA New York Harbor Entrance Buoy