Monmouth County Surf Forecast
Last Update: 3/22/2026 09:00
Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams
New Feature: Water Level
Week of 3/21 - 3/27
Small and weak steep south swell for Saturday 3/21. Best conditions at first light and deteriorating as the day goes on. Unfortunately the tide isn’t cooperating well on this one.
We could see something early week (Monday) as well, but models have been mixed on that.
There’s a chance for a more powerful swell late next week with the major atmospheric models in something resembling agreement. The strength of that swell is still uncertain, but the swell numbers seem pretty consistent around the 4-6ft and 7-9 second range. Nothing amazing, but potentially really fun it it comes together.
Sunday 3/22
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 04:21 | L | -0.47 |
| 10:26 | H | 4.38 |
| 16:22 | L | -0.4 |
| 22:45 | H | 5.11 |
Looking pretty small as of this morning. Watch the wind, but it’s looking choppy/low quality all day. More swell shows late, but without a wind switch, there won’t be anything surfable.
Low expectations for rideable waves on anything but a longboard. Wind is cross-shore for textured and poor conditions.
Notes: Large tide swing.
Monday 3/23
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 155 | 3.6 | 6.8 | 26.3 | N | 13.6 | -1.7 |
| 08:00 | 145 | 3.9 | 7 | 36.8 | N | 15 | -0.1 |
| 10:00 | 145 | 4.3 | 7.2 | 45.6 | N | 15.6 | 1.7 |
| 12:00 | 145 | 4.6 | 7.1 | 46.5 | N | 15.6 | 1.7 |
| 14:00 | 145 | 4.7 | 6.8 | 42.9 | N | 14.9 | -0.1 |
| 16:00 | 85 | 4.7 | 6.8 | 47.6 | NNW | 15 | -1.7 |
| 18:00 | 75 | 4.6 | 6.8 | 45.4 | NNW | 15 | -1.8 |
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 154.9 | 3.3 | 7.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46.6 | 1.7 | 3.2 |
| 14:00 | 153.1 | 3 | 7.8 | 78.3 | 3 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20:00 | 151.5 | 2.9 | 7.7 | 81.1 | 2.2 | 6.2 | 340.5 | 1 | 2.5 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 05:11 | L | -0.22 |
| 11:23 | H | 4.14 |
| 17:09 | L | -0.12 |
| 23:44 | H | 4.92 |
This has trended even further down. Not looking great. Best conditions will be at first light if it somehow comes together.
This has trended down a lot over the past five days or so. All in all, I still think it’s worth a look with a few caveats. The wind needs to be lighter than forecast and we need a bit of overperformance in relation to the model outputs.
While there’s almost no way this will be good, at least the low tide lines up for the AM session which has been a real problem all this (last) week.
Notes: It could overperform but low expectations at this time. Check a camera in the AM.
Tuesday 3/24
There’s a northeast swell that looks too steep angled to get to us. I’d expect poor to poor and flat conditions.
Wednesday 3/25
Likely flat but I’ll update if something changes.
Thursday 3/26
A new swell is expected around this time with a wind switch for Friday. Check back later.
Friday 3/27
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 175 | 6 | 7.2 | 48.3 | WSW | 21 | 0 |
| 08:00 | 175 | 5.6 | 7.3 | 46.3 | WNW | 20 | -1.9 |
| 10:00 | 175 | 5.2 | 7.3 | 42.8 | NW | 18.1 | -2.7 |
| 12:00 | 175 | 4.8 | 7.3 | 38.1 | NW | 16.1 | -1.8 |
| 14:00 | 184.7 | 4.3 | 7.3 | 27.3 | NNW | 14.1 | -0.2 |
| 16:00 | 185 | 3.9 | 7.2 | 22.5 | NNW | 13.4 | 0.5 |
| 18:00 | 185 | 3.7 | 7.2 | 19.4 | NNW | 13.2 | -0.6 |
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | Angle 3 | Swell 3 | Period 3 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 188.4 | 5.1 | 7 | 107 | 0.4 | 9 | 129.8 | 0.2 | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14:00 | 177.6 | 3.3 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 322.2 | 3.2 | 4.2 |
| 20:00 | 174.5 | 2.4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 335 | 3.3 | 4.4 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 02:57 | H | 4.43 |
| 09:42 | L | 0.23 |
| 15:41 | H | 3.92 |
| 21:50 | L | 0.39 |
The swell angle could be better, but this is our next chance for decent surf. Wind could be an issue and quality conditions are not a guarentee at this time. I’d expect this to be a short lived swell event with no leftovers for the weekend.
Notes: Still pretty far out for specifics, but a swell is likely at this time.
Next Weekend and Beyond
High pressure moves in to our region following the passage of that low pressure system that we see on Thursday/Friday. Assuming that holds, no swell is possible through roughly Wednesday of the following week. Again, it’s really far out, but I’d expect something around the end of the month/first couple of days in April.
From where I’m sitting, our best chance of a significant swell (besides ~3/27) is the second week of April (4/4-4/11). After that, I’d expect things to slow down pretty significantly. That coincides with the typical seasonal trends that we expect to see around that time of year.
All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave
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