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Last Update: 2/16/2026 08:30

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This week is looking slow, read my forecast note here


Week of 2/15 - 2/22

This looks like a really decent week of surf. Normally I’d write more, but there’s too much to put here. Continue below for more:

Monday 2/16

Time Swell Height Period Wave Direction Energy Percentile Wind Speed Wind Direction
07:00 5.4 6 87.6 50.9 21.3 NE
10:00 5.4 6.3 92.8 57 19 NE
13:00 5.2 6.6 92.1 59.4 14.3 NE
16:00 4.9 7 96.4 61.6 6.5 NNE
19:00 5 7.4 100.3 68.1 4 WNW
Time Tide Height (ft)
00:33 L -0.39
06:15 H 4.61
18:39 H 4

Doesn’t look like this is going to clean up for our region today. I’d stay warm and plan on going Tuesday.

Notes: Large tide swing. Wind.

Tuesday 2/17

Time Swell Height Period Wave Direction Energy Percentile Wind Speed Wind Direction
07:00 4.8 9.1 117.8 81.9 12.5 SW
10:00 4.7 9.3 117 82.3 12 SW
13:00 4.3 9.2 116.2 79 9.7 SW
16:00 4 9.1 114.7 75.5 7.5 W
19:00 3.8 9.1 112.8 74.2 9.9 WSW
Time Tide Height (ft)
06:53 H 4.74
12:39 L -0.21
13:13 L -0.56
19:16 H 4.23

This is trending closer to how I would like it to. Shorter period and a bit more southeast in direction should make it easier to find a wave that’s working. Wind could be a bit of an issue, but it won’t be blown out.

Breaking wave heights are likely to be in the chest high range with larger surf further south.

Notes: Big tide swing. My tide table is messed up, but 1:13pm is the afternoon low tide. Closeouts will still be an issue given the ESE swell, but it’s looking pretty fun.

Best board: Most boards will work today if you find a good wave.

Wednesday 2/18

Time Swell Height Period Wave Direction Energy Percentile Wind Speed Wind Direction
07:00 3.2 10 97.8 75.3 3 SSE
10:00 3.1 10.8 95.4 79.1 5.6 S
13:00 3.1 11 94.4 79.5 5.7 S
16:00 3.1 11.3 93.7 81.7 5.2 WSW
19:00 3.4 11.5 96 85.8 7.7 N
Time Tide Height (ft)
01:23 L -0.36
07:31 H 4.77
13:51 L -0.67
19:53 H 4.42

Models are still showing leftovers for Wednesday AM. Curretnly, it looks pretty fun, although more easterly given the swell period than I’d like to see. Conditions should be glassy but closeouts will be an issue.

Breaking wave heights should be in the waist-stomach high range or so for most of Monmouth County with slightly larger waves a little further south.

Notes: This could drop some, but it’s looking more likely. Closeouts will be a major issue at most sandbars.

Best board: groveler or longboard

Thursday 2/19

Time Swell Height Period Wave Direction Energy Percentile Wind Speed Wind Direction
07:00 3.5 7.4 164 39 11 NE
10:00 3.3 8.1 158.8 46.4 8.5 ENE
13:00 3.2 8.2 156.3 47.1 5.3 ENE
16:00 3 8 162.2 38.6 6 ENE
19:00 2.7 7.7 161.4 31 7.2 ESE
Time Tide Height (ft)
02:06 L -0.45
08:10 H 4.69
14:27 L -0.7
20:32 H 4.56

This has trended up a good bit and is starting to look like a pretty fun little southeast swell. The numbers we’re seeing in the chart are based on a little bit of mid-period east mixing in from the swell we’re getting Tuesday. I’d expect there to be fairly long lulls if this comes to pass.

Overall, I’d expect waves in the waist-stomach high with occasional plus sets. Nothing huge, but it could be fairly user friendly all in all.

Wind is light onshore for textured but doable conditions.

Notes: This could change and I’d have somewhat low expectations at this point.

Best board: TBD

Friday 2/20

Time Swell Height Period Wave Direction Energy Percentile Wind Speed Wind Direction
07:00 2.7 6.7 156 22.2 15.9 E
10:00 3.7 4.4 91.4 12.7 18 ENE
13:00 4.1 5 91.4 23.5 16.7 ENE
16:00 4.9 5.5 91.3 38.6 18 ENE
19:00 4.7 5.8 105.4 43.9 14.5 NNE
Time Tide Height (ft)
02:48 L -0.45
08:52 H 4.53
15:03 L -0.65
21:15 H 4.64

Looking blown out, but things could change.

Saturday 2/21

Time Swell Height Period Wave Direction Energy Percentile Wind Speed Wind Direction
07:00 3.6 6.4 120 38.7 8.4 W
10:00 3.2 6.4 119.6 34 7.7 NW
13:00 2.9 6.4 118.4 30.2 6.7 N
16:00 2.7 6.5 121.1 27.8 6.5 NNE
19:00 2.5 6.6 124.6 25.5 10.1 NE
Time Tide Height (ft)
03:31 L -0.35
09:39 H 4.29
15:41 L -0.52
22:04 H 4.65

Potentially enough for beginners and longboards. Check back later.

Sunday 2/22

Time Swell Height Period Wave Direction Energy Percentile Wind Speed Wind Direction
07:00 5.9 6.1 88.8 57.9 22.7 E
10:00 7.5 6.6 89.6 74.6 28.1 E
13:00 9.3 7.4 93.8 88.2 31 E
16:00 11.7 8.3 100.1 96.1 34.2 E
19:00 12.9 9.3 102.4 98.4 30.6 E
Time Tide Height (ft)
04:20 L -0.15
10:32 H 4.03
16:24 L -0.31
22:59 H 4.61

Another swell is possible around this time. Check back later.


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