Monmouth County Surf Forecast

Last Update: 7/30/2026 13:30
Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams
Summer Forecast Note
As we get into summer, this page will be updated less. I primarily mean for this page to track swells as they arrive and that’s not something that happens that much this time of year. As surfers, we all know that July-mid August is the slowest time of year for surf. The waves we do see tend to be more similar to trade swell than actual swell events. For this type of setup, wave heights are pretty unimportant and will be too affected by local bathymetry. In general, if the waves are under waist high, I won’t be attaching the tabular data associated.
I’ll still be updating this page with days that are worth a look, but I’ll go ahead and give the NOAA servers a rest until something of interest pops up.
Forecast for 7/30 - 8/05
Hope y’all got a few on Wednesday. Definitely the best it has been in a while (nice that I could leave this here for a second week).
The rest of this week looks slow, with high pressure dominating our local weather pattern.
A low pressure system is expected to track east across the Ohio Valley (south of the Great Lakes) and interact with high pressure in the Central Atlantic on Monday, 8/03. This could lead to a well directed wind swell for Monday-Wednesday. Currently, the timing on this is still tough to call. It’s possible we won’t see a wind switch with this setup as high pressure blocks the low from exiting the coast. This would mean sustained south winds. If this is the case, it’s going to be about finding the windows of lighter wind and favor spots with south wind protection.
Friday 7/31
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 172.2 | 2.6 | 7.7 | 18 | WNW | 5 | -0.2 |
| 08:00 | 175 | 2.5 | 7.8 | 16.1 | WNW | 5 | 1.3 |
| 10:00 | 175 | 2.4 | 8 | 17 | WNW | 3.4 | 1.3 |
| 12:00 | 175 | 2.3 | 8.2 | 17 | S | 2.9 | -0.4 |
| 14:00 | 175 | 2.3 | 8.2 | 16.1 | S | 4.4 | -1.8 |
| 16:00 | 175 | 2.2 | 8.2 | 15 | S | 7 | -1.8 |
| 18:00 | 172.4 | 2.2 | 8.1 | 14.8 | SSW | 8.2 | 0.2 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 03:04 | L | 0.15 |
| 09:07 | H | 4.41 |
| 15:08 | L | 0.63 |
| 21:13 | H | 5.04 |
Low expectations. Maybe enough for a longboard, but I’m not seeing where the swell numbers are coming from on this one.
Saturday 8/01
Similar to Friday. Light side-offshore wind early with very small to barely better than flat waves.
Sunday 8/02
Sidshore wind all day with little to no waves.
Monday 8/03
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 165 | 3 | 5.8 | 8.1 | SSW | 9.4 | -1.9 |
| 08:00 | 164.8 | 3.2 | 6.2 | 13.1 | SSW | 8.6 | -0.1 |
| 10:00 | 155 | 3.5 | 6.7 | 24.2 | SSW | 8.9 | 1.7 |
| 12:00 | 155 | 3.9 | 7.1 | 34.6 | SSW | 8.9 | 1.6 |
| 14:00 | 155 | 4.1 | 7.3 | 39.9 | SSW | 9 | -0 |
| 16:00 | 155 | 4.3 | 7.3 | 42.2 | SSW | 9.7 | -1.6 |
| 18:00 | 155 | 4.3 | 7.4 | 44 | SSW | 9.1 | -2.1 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 04:44 | L | 0.21 |
| 11:05 | H | 4.73 |
| 17:08 | L | 0.77 |
| 23:19 | H | 4.55 |
Definitely the day to watch next week. Wind is going to be hard to call, so expect that to move around some. At this point, it looks like we should see surf with major models in something resembling agreement for Monday.
Notes: Too early for specifics but this is our next chance for waves.
Tuesday 8/04
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 155 | 3.8 | 7.1 | 33.7 | N | 7 | -2.4 |
| 08:00 | 155 | 3.8 | 7 | 32.3 | ENE | 6.4 | -1 |
| 10:00 | 155 | 3.8 | 7 | 32.9 | E | 5.5 | 0.9 |
| 12:00 | 155 | 3.9 | 7.1 | 33.9 | ESE | 5.3 | 1.7 |
| 14:00 | 165 | 3.9 | 7.1 | 29.5 | SE | 4.9 | 0.6 |
| 16:00 | 165 | 3.8 | 7 | 28.1 | SSE | 6.2 | -0.9 |
| 18:00 | 165 | 3.7 | 7 | 26.6 | SSE | 7.9 | -2.2 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 05:21 | L | 0.3 |
| 11:53 | H | 4.86 |
| 18:01 | L | 0.89 |
Another day to keep an eye on. Too early for specifics.
Wednesday 8/05
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 165 | 3.6 | 7 | 26.1 | SSW | 5 | -2.3 |
| 08:00 | 155 | 3.5 | 6.8 | 26.1 | SSW | 4.9 | -1.9 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 00:12 | H | 4.36 |
| 06:05 | L | 0.43 |
| 12:46 | H | 4.98 |
| 19:09 | L | 0.98 |
If the GFS has the correct solution, Wednesday may end up being the best day. Too early to call.
Tropics
Tropical storm development is still expected to be unlikely for the next three weeks based on NWS Climate Prediction Center 7/28 update.
All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave
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