Monmouth County Surf Forecast
Last Update: 7/01/2026 13:00
Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams
Summer Forecast Note
As we get into summer, this page will be updated less. I primarily mean for this page to track swells as they arrive and that’s not something that happens that much this time of year. As surfers, we all know that July-mid August is the slowest time of year for surf. The waves we do see tend to be more similar to trade swell than actual swell events. For this type of setup, wave heights are pretty unimportant and will be too affected by local bathymetry. In general, if the waves are under waist high, I won’t be attaching the tabular data associated.
I’ll still be updating this page with days that are worth a look, but I’ll go ahead and give the NOAA servers a rest until something of interest pops up.
Forecast for the Week of 6/27-7/5
I’d be lying if I said this isn’t another really slow week with nothing to look forward to. High pressure dominates our local weather pattern as well as over the western Atlantic. Trade-like swell is really the only thing that can get through with a setup like we’re seeing. The flat spell will continue until something changes.
There’s enough for the absolute beginner on a longboard, but it’s terrible all week.
Wednesday 7/1
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 175 | 3.2 | 5.1 | 4 | SW | 13.4 | -0.8 |
| 08:00 | 175 | 3.2 | 5.2 | 4.4 | SW | 13.3 | 0.4 |
| 10:00 | 175 | 3.2 | 5.2 | 4.1 | SSW | 14.4 | 0.4 |
| 12:00 | 175 | 3.4 | 5 | 4.1 | SSW | 16.7 | -1 |
| 14:00 | 172.4 | 3.9 | 5 | 6 | SSW | 19.2 | -2.1 |
| 16:00 | 172.4 | 4.4 | 5.3 | 10.6 | SSW | 20.9 | -1.7 |
| 18:00 | 172.4 | 4.8 | 5.5 | 15.3 | SSW | 22 | 0.1 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 02:55 | L | 0.28 |
| 08:57 | H | 4.06 |
| 14:49 | L | 0.8 |
| 21:01 | H | 4.99 |
New south wind swell. Very short period. Choppy conditions. Fun to bodysurf, but the water is going to be cold due to upwelling.
Thursday 7/2
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 175 | 3.3 | 5.7 | 7.7 | SW | 12.4 | -1.4 |
| 08:00 | 175 | 3.1 | 5.6 | 6 | SW | 11.1 | 0.1 |
| 10:00 | 175 | 3 | 5.6 | 5.1 | SSW | 11.2 | 0.5 |
| 12:00 | 175 | 3 | 5.5 | 4.9 | SSW | 12.9 | -0.8 |
| 14:00 | 175 | 3.2 | 5.4 | 5.5 | SSW | 15.6 | -1.9 |
| 16:00 | 175 | 3.6 | 5.3 | 6.2 | SSW | 17.4 | -2.1 |
| 18:00 | 175 | 4 | 5.3 | 8.2 | SSW | 18.5 | -0.7 |
Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 181.6 | 3.3 | 5.6 | 131.3 | 0.7 | 9.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14:00 | 132.1 | 0.6 | 9.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 173.6 | 2.6 | 5.5 |
| 20:00 | 132.8 | 0.7 | 9.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182.1 | 3.6 | 5.1 |
Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 118 | 0.7 | 9.7 | 119.9 | 0.7 | 9.6 | 185.6 | 3.5 | 5.5 |
| 14:00 | 131.3 | 1 | 6.9 | 121.7 | 0.8 | 9.5 | 184.4 | 2.8 | 5.3 |
| 20:00 | 123.1 | 0.7 | 9.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182.2 | 3.6 | 5.1 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 03:32 | L | 0.27 |
| 09:37 | H | 4.06 |
| 15:27 | L | 0.84 |
| 21:37 | H | 4.89 |
Not particularly exciting, but it’s enough for a longboard. Really short period for extremely weak and soft waves. Steep angle means even less energy available.
Notes: You’ll want to be looking around low tide
Best board: The biggest board you have/SUP/longboard in that order
Friday 7/3
Basically flat.
Weekend of 7/4 and 7/5
Flat
Looking Ahead
There’s still some disagreement in the major models, but there is a nonzero chance of decent surf next week. By decent, I mean stomach high and a short, but respectable 8+ second period. It’s possible we see larger surf. It’s also possible we see no surf. At this point, I’m optimistic and thing we have a decent chance of seeing something in the way of fun surf.
If this comes together, we’re probably looking at Wednesday/Thursday (7/8-7/9) for surfable conditions. Hopefully we see model concensus over the weekend.
All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave
Current list of Surf Hazards Surf Hazards
Why Energy Percentile? Energy Article
Helpful Links
Buoys
NOAA New York Harbor Entrance Buoy