Monmouth County Surf Forecast
Last Update: 10/09/2026 12:00
Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams
Forecast for 10/7 - 10/14
Essentially flat through the weekend.
Watching early week for a fun south swell from remnants of Hurricane Isaias (~10/12). Likely best in NY.
Another south swell is possible late week into the weekend (~10/17)
Looking Ahead
Watching around 10/11 for our next round of surf (remnants of TS (eventually hurricane) Isaias).
At this point, there seems to be consensus that Isaias will track north out of the gulf and then east across Ohio and over our region. This track interacts with high pressure over the west Atlantic to create a likely very fun south swell with an offshore wind switch as the low departs.
Preliminary Forecast for Monday 10/12
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 165 | 7 | 9.1 | 81.6 | NNE | 11 | 0.8 |
| 08:00 | 165 | 6.5 | 8.9 | 77.4 | NNE | 12.9 | 2.6 |
| 10:00 | 162.4 | 6.2 | 8.8 | 75.4 | NNE | 13.9 | 2.4 |
| 12:00 | 155 | 6.1 | 8.6 | 75.9 | NNE | 13.3 | 0.3 |
| 14:00 | 155 | 5.9 | 8.4 | 72.1 | N | 11.4 | -1.5 |
| 16:00 | 155 | 5.5 | 8.3 | 67.7 | N | 9.7 | -1.8 |
| 18:00 | 165 | 5.2 | 8.1 | 58.8 | N | 8 | -0.1 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 02:33 | L | 0.2 |
| 08:50 | H | 5.48 |
| 15:07 | L | 0.2 |
| 21:09 | H | 4.63 |
The timing is still uncertain, but the peak of the swell should be dsometime late Sunday or early Monday. Currently, wind forecasts are showing a wind switch sometime on Monday afternoon, give or take. Though, this is looking more NW rather than actual west. This will favor spots in south NJ and NY with NY likely having the best conditions overall in terms of wave size and quality.
Monday evening could have proper offshore winds, but the size will be down significantly from what we see earlier in the day. If looking to score the biggest waves, I’d look elsewhere (New York will likely be the best again).
Preliminary Forecast for Tuesday 10/13
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 165 | 3.4 | 7.4 | 27.8 | NW | 7 | 0 |
| 08:00 | 165 | 3.3 | 7.3 | 25.3 | WNW | 7.1 | 2 |
| 10:00 | 165 | 3.2 | 7.3 | 23.4 | W | 8 | 2.6 |
| 12:00 | 165 | 3 | 7.2 | 21.3 | WSW | 8 | 1 |
| 14:00 | 165 | 2.9 | 7.2 | 19.2 | SSW | 9 | -0.7 |
| 16:00 | 165 | 2.8 | 7.2 | 17.3 | SW | 10 | -1.4 |
| 18:00 | 165 | 2.8 | 7.1 | 18 | SW | 10 | -0.3 |
Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 158.3 | 2.6 | 7.4 | 79.4 | 1 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14:00 | 81.6 | 0.8 | 5.6 | 127.5 | 0.2 | 11.2 | 167.6 | 2.7 | 7.1 |
| 20:00 | 90.1 | 0.8 | 6.4 | 129 | 0.2 | 11.1 | 184.5 | 3.9 | 4.8 |
Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | Angle 3 | Swell 3 | Period 3 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 155.3 | 2.5 | 7.3 | 71.4 | 1.3 | 5.8 | 113 | 0.2 | 11.3 | 316.8 | 0.6 | 2.7 |
| 14:00 | 74.8 | 1.2 | 5.9 | 113.2 | 0.2 | 11.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 171.3 | 2.6 | 7 |
| 20:00 | 80.8 | 1.1 | 6.1 | 114.5 | 0.2 | 11 | 113.9 | 0.2 | 11.1 | 189.1 | 3.6 | 4.5 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 03:10 | L | 0.41 |
| 09:28 | H | 5.28 |
| 15:46 | L | 0.38 |
| 21:51 | H | 4.35 |
Tuesday should show with fun leftover surf in the waist+ range. Models tend to overcall the surf this far out, so take this with a grain of salt. If Sunday evening ends up being the peak of the swell, these numbers will likely come down some.
Definitely worth a watch.
Mid-Week
Some uncertainty mid-week but surf is not expected at this time. Strong North winds are likely on Wednesday which will knock down any remaining waves.
Late Week/Weekend
Possible swell from a large low pressure system tracking over Canada. Typically these systems are too far north to affect our region, but this one is quite large. The North Pacific has really turned on in the past few days and more surf could be on the way!
The Tropics
Hurricane Isaias has formed in the gulf and is now expected to be a major hurricane. It’s expected to track north through the panhandle/Alabama with significant impacts to that region expected. It will then continue north through TN and KY before turning ENE around Ohio and eventually exiting over our region.
Expect a an inch+ of rain from this system for our region. Wind won’t be too much of an issue, but coastal flooding is likely with the expected high tide values.
All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave
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Buoys
NOAA New York Harbor Entrance Buoy