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Last Update: 3/20/2026 10:30

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Week of 3/15 - 3/22

See my Mid-March Update Here

A more powerful swell is expected next Monday 3/16 with leftovers lasting into Wednesday or Thursday. Watching the weekend for another small, steep-south swell.

We could see something early next week (Monday) as well, but models have been mixed on that. There’s a chance for a more powerful swell late next week with the major atmospheric models in something resembling agreement.

Friday 3/20

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 125 3 8.4 46.9 SW 8 0
08:00 125 3 8.4 47.9 SW 7 1.9
10:00 114.9 3 8.4 49.6 SSW 9 1.5
12:00 114.9 3.3 8.4 52.8 S 13.8 -0.8
14:00 115 4.1 8.4 63.3 SSW 18.4 -2.6
16:00 175 4.9 4.5 6.1 SSW 21 -2.3
18:00 175 5.6 5.2 16.2 SSW 22.6 0
Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
08:00 129.5 2.6 8.4 204.4 1.4 3
14:00 126.9 2.3 8.4 179.6 3.5 4.2
20:00 0 0 0 180.9 6.7 6
Time Tide Height (ft)
02:49 L -0.6
08:50 H 4.79
14:59 L -0.65
21:07 H 5.23

It doesn’t look great today by any means, but there’s enough swell and the weather is a little warmer. May be worth a look if you have the time.

Some south windswell is expected end of day. Not surfable, but it sets up some surf for Saturday AM.

Notes: Low expectations. Strong south wind for the afternoon. The tide is a real problem, time your session accordingly.

Saturday 3/21

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 175 4.7 6.9 31.6 WSW 9.9 -1.1
08:00 174.9 4.4 7 29.2 NNW 10 1.1
10:00 175 4.1 7 27.3 NNW 10 1.8
12:00 185 3.9 7 19.5 NNW 9 -0.2
14:00 185 3.7 6.9 16.8 NNW 7.9 -2.2
16:00 185 3.5 7.1 16.8 NNW 6.8 -2.7
18:00 185 3.3 7.9 22.4 N 5.8 -0.8
Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 Angle 3 Swell 3 Period 3
08:00 178.4 4.3 6.9 116.2 1.9 8.8 0 0 0
14:00 174.1 2.8 6.5 116.2 1.9 8.4 327.1 1.4 3.4
20:00 173.6 2.1 6.3 115 1.9 8.2 329 0.8 2.7
Time Tide Height (ft)
03:34 L -0.6
09:35 H 4.62
15:40 L -0.57
21:53 H 5.23

A weak low pressure system passes by our region and generates some short period SSE/S wind swell. Certainly nothing firing, but it should be fun on a groveler or longboard. There is still some small 8 or 9 second swell mixing in, which should help a little.

We have a fairly well timed low tide for the dawn patrol session and light offshore winds to start the day. Wind stays offshore all day, but I’d expect the surf to fade fast. No sleeping in, unfortunately.

Breaking wave heights should be in the stomach high range give or take. Expect the waves to be pretty soft given the short period.

Notes: Large tide swing limits the available windows to surf. The AM session is the only one worth considering. Seasonally warm weather expected.

Best board: Groveler/Longboard. Longboard for the afternoon.

Sunday 3/22

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 185 2.5 8 13.7 S 6.1 -1.4
08:00 185 2.4 8 12.9 S 11 0.9
10:00 184.9 2.7 8 17 S 12.5 2.2
12:00 185 3.2 8.1 23 S 13.5 1
14:00 184.9 3.6 8.1 27.6 S 15 -0.9
16:00 182.4 3.9 4.9 4.3 S 16 -2.1
18:00 172.4 4.1 5.3 9.6 SSW 16 -1.4
Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
08:00 114.9 1.7 8 176.4 1.8 5.9
14:00 115.1 1.6 8 181.3 3.5 4.5
20:00 115.4 1.9 8.1 183.7 3.9 5
Time Tide Height (ft)
04:21 L -0.47
10:26 H 4.38
16:22 L -0.4
22:45 H 5.11

Low expectations for rideable waves on anything but a longboard. Wind is cross-shore for textured and poor conditions.

Notes: Possibly flat, definitely small. Warm weather though.

Looking Ahead

There’s a possible swell from a weak area of low pressure that passes by our region on Sunday evening/overnight. Originally this looked decent, but it’s looking worse as we get closer both in terms of swell and wind.

Another swell is expected late week, but there’s a lot of uncertainty at this time. We have a decently high probability for that time period with high pressure over the western Atlantic that will interact with any low pressure system that makes it near our region. That said, there has to be one.

It looks like things could slow down at the end of next week.

Monday 3/23

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 175 4.1 6.5 19.8 N 21.1 -1.6
08:00 175 4.3 6.6 24 N 19 0.1
10:00 175 5.1 6.6 31.5 N 18.2 1.8
12:00 85 5.6 6.6 54.3 N 18.4 1.6
14:00 85 5.6 6.8 56.8 N 17 -0.1
16:00 85 5.5 7 59.3 N 16.8 -1.4
18:00 75 5.3 7.1 57.9 N 15.9 -1.7
Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
08:00 153.2 3.4 6.6 0 0 0 357.4 2.4 3.7
14:00 148.4 2.9 7.6 65 0.9 4.2 343.2 1.7 3.4
20:00 145.6 2.4 7.9 73.2 1.2 5.5 331.9 3.1 4
Time Tide Height (ft)
05:11 L -0.22
11:23 H 4.14
17:09 L -0.12
23:44 H 4.92

Trending worse. I’d expect this to be pretty poor.

Notes: Looks like the Euro had the better forecast. Not looking good at this time.

Tuesday 3/24

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 75 3.8 7.6 46.7 NNW 12.9 -1.8
08:00 67.7 3.6 7.7 44 NNW 12.3 -0.9
10:00 67.7 3.4 7.9 43.6 NNW 10.2 0.5
12:00 75 3.3 8.1 46.2 N 8.2 1.4
14:00 75 3.2 8.4 48.1 N 7 0.5
16:00 75 3.2 8.6 51.5 SE 7.4 -1.1
18:00 75 3.3 8.7 52.5 S 8.6 -2.1
Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 Angle 3 Swell 3 Period 3 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
08:00 125.3 1.4 8.5 184.5 0.7 6.4 0 0 0 9.1 3.1 4.2
14:00 50.4 1.8 5.1 117.2 1.2 8.5 182.9 0.4 6.5 0 0 0
20:00 71.8 1.2 5.1 89.1 1.1 8.7 133.6 0.8 8.4 168.3 0.9 2.1
Time Tide Height (ft)
06:10 L 0.07
12:26 H 3.94
18:07 L 0.2

Not expecting any surfable waves at this time.

Wednesday 3/25

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 74.9 3.1 9.2 55 SW 9.2 -1.7
08:00 74.9 2.9 9.2 53.8 WSW 9.6 -2
10:00 74.9 2.8 9.3 52.4 WSW 9.5 -0.9
12:00 74.9 2.8 9.3 51.5 WSW 10.5 0.5
14:00 74.9 2.8 9.2 51.3 WSW 12 0.4
16:00 74.9 2.8 9.2 51 WSW 11.8 -0.7
18:00 75 2.8 9.1 49.2 WSW 11 -2
Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 Angle 3 Swell 3 Period 3 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
08:00 94.4 1.6 8.6 131.7 0.2 14.5 0 0 0 215.1 2 3.6
14:00 98.6 1.4 8.6 0 0 0 0 0 0 196.2 1.4 3.7
20:00 91.8 0.9 9 98.8 0.6 5.1 138.8 0.5 7.8 183.3 1.5 3.5
Time Tide Height (ft)
00:47 H 4.71
07:21 L 0.29
13:29 H 3.83
19:21 L 0.45

Watch late week.

All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave

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