Monmouth County Surf Forecast

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Last Update: 7/04/2026 13:15

Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams

Summer Forecast Note

As we get into summer, this page will be updated less. I primarily mean for this page to track swells as they arrive and that’s not something that happens that much this time of year. As surfers, we all know that July-mid August is the slowest time of year for surf. The waves we do see tend to be more similar to trade swell than actual swell events. For this type of setup, wave heights are pretty unimportant and will be too affected by local bathymetry. In general, if the waves are under waist high, I won’t be attaching the tabular data associated.

I’ll still be updating this page with days that are worth a look, but I’ll go ahead and give the NOAA servers a rest until something of interest pops up.

Forecast for the Week of 7/4 - 7/12

We have a much more active week surf wise than we have in a while. Models are still figuring this out, so check back later. Model runs have been incredibly inconsistent and we’re really playing with the northmost portion of our swell window. If we see a quick exit to this low pressure system, it probably tracks too northeast and that really limits the surf we could see. That worst case scenario (that the ICON was showing for a while) seems to be less and less likely, but there’s still a large amount of uncertainty at this time.

Unfortunately, this looks like a last minute call. Check back tomorrow/Monday.

Little changes in the forecast will have significant effects on the amount of surf we end up seeing, so keep that in mind as we get into the beginning of the week.

Saturday 7/4

Time	Wave Direction	Swell Height	Period	Energy Percentile	Wind Direction	Wind Speed	Water Level
09:00	155	1.9	9	23.6	WSW	7.7	0.6
11:00	155	1.8	9	21.5	SW	4.8	1.2
13:00	155	1.7	9	19.7	S	7	0.2
15:00	154.9	1.8	9	21.8	S	9.7	-1
17:00	155	2	8.9	24.8	SSW	10.5	-1.8

Time	Tide	Height (ft)
04:41	L	0.32
10:57	H	4.15
16:42	L	0.96
22:57	H	4.65

Small but doable longboard waves. Nothing particularly exciting and definitely not worth the traffic and parking.

Sunday 7/5

Essentially flat

Monday 7/6

Time	Wave Direction	Swell Height	Period	Energy Percentile	Wind Direction	Wind Speed	Water Level
06:00	117.6	2	8.2	26.7	E	9.9	-1.8
08:00	115	2.2	3.5	0.3	E	11.1	-0.9
10:00	105	2.6	4.5	3.3	E	12.5	0.7
12:00	95	3.4	5.4	14.4	E	14	1.8
14:00	75	4	6	26.3	E	14	1.6
16:00	75.1	4.4	6.5	37.6	E	13.5	0.3
18:00	75	4.6	6.7	43.9	E	13.5	-1.1

Time	Tide	Height (ft)
05:54	L	0.42
12:27	H	4.49
18:21	L	1.08

This is certainly subject to change, but east swell is somewhat likely to show Monday PM. Strong onshore wind with choppy conditions.

Notes: Lots of uncertainty at this point. Could be fun body surfing. Likely too messy to surf.

Best board: swim fins

Tuesday 7/7

Time	Wave Direction	Swell Height	Period	Energy Percentile	Wind Direction	Wind Speed	Water Level
06:00	85	5	7.3	59.2	ENE	13	-1.2
08:00	85	4.8	7.2	56.6	ENE	14	-1.5
10:00	85	4.8	7.2	55.3	ENE	15.1	-0
12:00	85	5	7	55.6	ENE	15.1	1.6
14:00	85	5.1	6.9	54.8	ENE	14.1	2.1
16:00	85	5.1	6.9	54.8	ENE	13	0.9
18:00	75	5.2	7.1	55.9	ENE	11.9	-0.5

Time	Tide	Height (ft)
00:36	H	4.39
06:40	L	0.47
13:15	H	4.71
19:31	L	1.07

Possible window of light or even offshore wind in the AM with potentially fun east swell.

Notes: Lots of uncertainty at this time

Best board: groveler

Wednesday 7/8

Time	Wave Direction	Swell Height	Period	Energy Percentile	Wind Direction	Wind Speed	Water Level
06:00	75	5.2	7.9	67	NNE	12.8	-0.9
08:00	75	4.9	7.9	64.2	NNE	11.5	-1.9
10:00	75	4.8	7.9	62.3	NNE	11.2	-0.9
12:00	75	4.6	7.9	60.6	NNE	9.1	0.8
14:00	75	4.4	7.9	58.9	NE	6	2
16:00	75	4.2	7.9	56.8	SE	5	1.7
18:00	75.2	4	7.9	54.5	S	5	0.2

Time	Tide	Height (ft)
01:30	H	4.27
07:37	L	0.48
14:06	H	4.94
20:45	L	0.94

East swell could continue with north wind expected.

Notes: See Monday and Tuesday

Best board: TBD

Thursday 7/9

Time	Wave Direction	Swell Height	Period	Energy Percentile	Wind Direction	Wind Speed	Water Level
06:00	85	3	8.1	43.9	WSW	6.2	-0.3
08:00	85	2.9	8.1	42	WSW	5.9	-1.7
10:00	85	2.8	8.2	40.2	SW	5.9	-2
12:00	85	2.7	8.2	38.8	SSW	7	-0.2
14:00	85	2.7	8.2	38.4	S	11	1.8
16:00	84.9	3	8.2	44.5	S	13	2.2
18:00	85	3.6	8.2	54	SSW	14.7	0.8

Time	Tide	Height (ft)
02:28	H	4.16
08:40	L	0.44
15:04	H	5.14
21:52	L	0.7

Maybe more east swell.

Friday 7/10

Time	Wave Direction	Swell Height	Period	Energy Percentile	Wind Direction	Wind Speed	Water Level
06:00	175	3	8.6	30.3	SW	6.6	0.3
08:00	85	2.8	8.5	44.6	SW	6.6	-1.4

Time	Tide	Height (ft)
03:34	H	4.11
09:43	L	0.34
16:09	H	5.35
22:54	L	0.41

Maybe some waves.

Saturday 7/11

Time	Wave Direction	Swell Height	Period	Wind Direction	Wind Speed
08:00	168.6	3.5	7	255.6	14.6
14:00	171	4	7.5	238.2	0.6
20:00	172	3.8	7.3	262.6	8

Time	Tide	Height (ft)
04:45	H	4.19
10:45	L	0.19
17:14	H	5.58
23:52	L	0.12

Another swell is possible. Way too early for specifics.

Sunday 7/12

Time	Wave Direction	Swell Height	Period	Wind Direction	Wind Speed
08:00	174.7	3.8	7.3	329.1	13.9
14:00	165.9	3.3	7.9	287.5	3.1
20:00	164.7	3.1	8.1	209.4	12.6

Time	Tide	Height (ft)
05:52	H	4.39
11:45	L	0.04
18:15	H	5.81

Looking Ahead

Models are struggling with this time period, but we could see another fun swell next weekend. Obviously, it’s far out and it’s way too early to be looking at specifics, especially with the inability to call even early this week.

All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave

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