Monmouth County Surf Forecast
Last Update: 5/3/2026 15:30
Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams
Week of 5/3 - 5/10
Sunday, 5/3, really underperformed. We should have seen more south swell according to model output, but at least the rest of the week looks interesting.
We have a pretty active week, with several low pressure systems expected to pass through with sustained south winds through mid-week. Currently, I’m watching Wednesday for swell and Thursday for a wind switch with likely leftovers on Friday. High presure behind that frontal passage may end up affecting the resulting winds which would mean a north wind switch rather than offshore. That said, given the swell direction, this isn’t the worst thing that could happen.
High pressure is expected to return for early next weekend, but we could see a little south swell at that time. That would be weak and steep angled, but it may be enough for a longboard.
Stronger high pressure moves in with offshore flow to start the following week, but sets up another potential south swell as a cutoff low moves east over Tennessee.
Way better than I expected given how some of the long range models were looking a few weeks ago!
Early Week
Strong south wind from high pressure and two passing low pressure systems. There’s some uncertainty about the track of these low pressure systems and the timing of the swell. Either way, expect some south wind swell in the 8 second range for mid-late next week.
Thursday 5/7
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 165 | 3.7 | 6.7 | 23.3 | NNW | 9 | -1.6 |
| 08:00 | 155 | 3.6 | 6.8 | 27.6 | N | 8.6 | -0.9 |
| 10:00 | 155 | 3.6 | 6.9 | 29.2 | NNE | 8.7 | 0.1 |
| 12:00 | 155 | 3.6 | 7 | 29.5 | NNE | 8 | 0.6 |
| 14:00 | 162.4 | 3.5 | 7.1 | 26.2 | NNE | 8 | 0.2 |
| 16:00 | 165 | 3.4 | 7.2 | 25.6 | NNW | 9 | -0.7 |
| 18:00 | 165 | 3.4 | 7.2 | 26.3 | NW | 9 | -1.4 |
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 162.5 | 3.3 | 6.6 | 126.3 | 0.2 | 12 | 346.5 | 0.9 | 2.3 |
| 14:00 | 161.8 | 3.6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 358.4 | 1.9 | 3.2 |
| 20:00 | 161.6 | 3.3 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 332 | 2.7 | 3.8 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 05:33 | L | 0.73 |
| 12:01 | H | 3.61 |
| 17:18 | L | 1.25 |
Fun, short-period, south swell expected for Thursday with mostly decent conditions expected at this time. Convenient low tide timing for the AM session. Really nice swell angle on this one.
Breaking wave heights should be in the waist to stomach range if this holds. New York will end up seeing the most size and best conditions (closeouts though). Keep that in mind.
Notes: Wind forecast could change as could the swell numbers. That said, this seems pretty likely at this time.
Best board: groveler/small wave performance board
Friday 5/8
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 175 | 4.2 | 8.3 | 44 | WNW | 12 | -1.6 |
| 08:00 | 175 | 3.8 | 8.1 | 37.2 | WNW | 11.4 | -1.7 |
| 10:00 | 175 | 3.5 | 8 | 30.5 | WNW | 11 | -0.9 |
| 12:00 | 182.4 | 3.2 | 7.7 | 20.5 | WNW | 10 | 0.1 |
| 14:00 | 185 | 2.9 | 7.6 | 15.6 | W | 10 | -0.2 |
| 16:00 | 185 | 2.8 | 7.5 | 13.6 | WSW | 11 | -0.9 |
| 18:00 | 185 | 2.6 | 7.5 | 11.9 | WSW | 10 | -1.6 |
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | Angle 3 | Swell 3 | Period 3 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 164.3 | 2.7 | 8.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 307.4 | 3.7 | 4.5 |
| 14:00 | 168.3 | 2 | 7.6 | 114.2 | 0.8 | 8.5 | 132 | 0.3 | 11.5 | 294.8 | 1.5 | 3.5 |
| 20:00 | 171 | 1.5 | 7.2 | 118.3 | 1 | 8.8 | 187.1 | 1 | 4.3 | 277.6 | 1.6 | 3.3 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | H | 4.26 |
| 06:21 | L | 0.85 |
| 12:51 | H | 3.63 |
| 18:12 | L | 1.38 |
I have my doubts about whether there will be leftovers and could see this dropping off a bit, especially if the offshore winds are stronger than expected.
That said, if this holds, I’d expect waves in the waist high range or under.
Notes: Don’t count on it.
Best board: Probably a longboard
Looking Ahead
We could see another south swell on Monday and potentially another swell mid-week. Too far out to get excited, but it looks like we have a fairly active pattern for the next couple of weeks.
All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave
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NOAA New York Harbor Entrance Buoy