Monmouth County Surf Forecast
Last Update: 09/16/2026 15:00 (Next Update will likely be Friday 9/18)
Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams
Forecast for 9/15 - Thursday 9/22
Some of the original model runs looked decent for mid-week, but it was always low probability. As of now, I’d expect most of that swell to be headed to FL and is likely to miss us entirely. Maybe enough for a longboard on Tuesday, but I’d have low expectations for surf during the work week.
It’s not all bad news though. Next weekend should have a small south windswell on offer. Late month is looking better and better on the charts (with or without a tropical storm).
Next week is looking like the real deal! Check out the “looking ahead” section below.
Tuesday - Saturday
Do something else.
Sunday 9/20
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 85 | 2.9 | 6.9 | 26.4 | SE | 11 | -0.4 |
| 08:00 | 95 | 2.9 | 7.1 | 29.5 | SSE | 12 | -0.9 |
| 10:00 | 102.4 | 2.9 | 7.2 | 31.4 | SSE | 12.9 | -0.7 |
| 12:00 | 134.9 | 3 | 4.7 | 5 | SSE | 13 | 0.5 |
| 14:00 | 135 | 3.1 | 4.8 | 6.4 | S | 13.2 | 1.4 |
| 16:00 | 135 | 3.2 | 5.1 | 9.3 | SSE | 12.2 | 1.5 |
| 18:00 | 135 | 3.3 | 5.3 | 11 | SSE | 12 | 0.6 |
Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 123.6 | 3.1 | 4 |
| 14:00 | 119.3 | 1 | 7.2 | 128.7 | 0.6 | 10.8 | 173.2 | 4.4 | 4.8 |
| 20:00 | 127.9 | 0.5 | 10.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 186.3 | 6 | 5.8 |
Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 92.8 | 2.5 | 6.9 | 116.5 | 0.6 | 10.9 | 149.7 | 2 | 3.7 |
| 14:00 | 107 | 1.3 | 7 | 115.9 | 0.6 | 10.8 | 165.7 | 4 | 4.6 |
| 20:00 | 114 | 0.6 | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 179.7 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 02:41 | H | 3.66 |
| 08:43 | L | 1.58 |
| 15:03 | H | 4.36 |
| 21:41 | L | 1.23 |
Wind and whatnot. Expect this to change a little as we get closer.
Notes: check back later
Monday 9/21
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 145 | 3.5 | 5.3 | 11.5 | NE | 14.4 | 0.2 |
| 08:00 | 72.2 | 3.6 | 5 | 10.6 | NE | 14.9 | -0.6 |
| 10:00 | 85 | 3.9 | 5.3 | 18.1 | NE | 15 | -0.7 |
| 12:00 | 85 | 4.3 | 5.8 | 28 | NE | 15 | 0.1 |
| 14:00 | 85 | 4.6 | 6.1 | 35.3 | ENE | 14.2 | 1.3 |
| 16:00 | 85 | 4.7 | 6.4 | 41.1 | ENE | 15.1 | 2 |
| 18:00 | 85 | 4.8 | 6.5 | 44.3 | ENE | 15.6 | 1.4 |
Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | Angle 3 | Swell 3 | Period 3 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 161.3 | 2.4 | 5.7 | 126.6 | 0.5 | 10.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41.4 | 3.4 | 4.5 |
| 14:00 | 164 | 1.2 | 5.4 | 143.5 | 0.7 | 8.4 | 113.2 | 0.5 | 8.1 | 68.9 | 3.2 | 5.2 |
| 20:00 | 142.6 | 0.7 | 8.1 | 124.9 | 0.4 | 10.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 85.7 | 3.6 | 5.3 |
Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | Angle 3 | Swell 3 | Period 3 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 162.6 | 2 | 5.4 | 119.5 | 0.9 | 8.6 | 117.1 | 0.5 | 10.6 | 38.5 | 4 | 4.8 |
| 14:00 | 160 | 1.1 | 5.8 | 137.8 | 0.8 | 8.8 | 114.9 | 0.6 | 10.4 | 58 | 4.2 | 5.5 |
| 20:00 | 143.2 | 0.7 | 7.8 | 118.4 | 0.5 | 10.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 73 | 4.7 | 5.9 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 03:40 | H | 3.75 |
| 09:44 | L | 1.43 |
| 16:01 | H | 4.45 |
| 22:30 | L | 0.99 |
Not loving the wind forecast, but there could be a window of favorable conditions depending on what happens with a small low over our region.
Notes: Trended up a little over the past few days.
Best board: longboard or groveler
Looking Ahead
Early week looks to be blown out with 15kts+ onshore winds. The “day” at this point is still up in the air and will likely be a moving target as we get into early next week, but currently, 9/24 is favored by the GFS model. Lots of variation at the moment.
The Tropics
The largest chance we have for a TS is likely next week. Still fairly low probability, but models are starting to pick up the chance of cyclone formation.
All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave
Current list of Surf Hazards Surf Hazards
Why Energy Percentile? Energy Article
Helpful Links
Buoys
NOAA New York Harbor Entrance Buoy