Monmouth County Surf Forecast
Last Update: 6/29/2026 11:00
Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams
Summer Forecast Note
As we get into summer, this page will be updated less. I primarily mean for this page to track swells as they arrive and that’s not something that happens that much this time of year. As surfers, we all know that July-mid August is the slowest time of year for surf. The waves we do see tend to be more similar to trade swell than actual swell events. For this type of setup, wave heights are pretty unimportant and will be too affected by local bathymetry. In general, if the waves are under waist high, I won’t be attaching the tabular data associated.
I’ll still be updating this page with days that are worth a look, but I’ll go ahead and give the NOAA servers a rest until something of interest pops up.
Forecast for the Week of 6/27-7/4
I’d be lying if I said this isn’t another really slow week with nothing to look forward to. High pressure dominates our local weather pattern as well as over the western Atlantic. Trade-like swell is really the only thing that can get through with a setup like we’re seeing. The flat spell will continue until something changes.
There’s enough for the absolute beginner on a longboard, but it’s terrible all week.
Tuesday 6/30 - Thursday 7/2
Strong south wind from high pressure moving through. Unfortunately, the swell produced from this is mainly headed northeast and is likely to miss our region. It’s also very short fetch and isn’t expected to wrap into our area. If you have a reason to be in NY, maybe give it a look, but don’t expect too much in the way of surf here in NJ.
Thursday AM looks to be the best time to try it if you must. Buoy heights are around 3ft@6s for knee+ surf and imperfect conditions.
Looking Ahead
Currently, the week of 7/5 still looks the most interesting. Model runs are inconsistent, but mid-late week (around 7/9) looks like the best chance at fun waves. Major atmospheric models aren’t in agreement, but the upper level charts look decent for that time period. Note that this is still in the 3ft@8s range, but it’s expected to be an east swell if it comes together. It could be pretty fun, especially for July.
All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave
Current list of Surf Hazards Surf Hazards
Why Energy Percentile? Energy Article
Helpful Links
Buoys
NOAA New York Harbor Entrance Buoy