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Last Update: 5/7/2026 09:00

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Week of 5/3 - 5/10

Sunday, 5/3, really underperformed. We should have seen more south swell according to model output, but at least the rest of the week looks interesting.

Thursday, 5/7 also really underperformed.

Friday, 5/8, hasn’t underperformed yet, but by this time tomorrow, it too will have underperformed.

High pressure is expected to return for early next weekend, but we could see a little south swell at that time. That would be weak and steep angled, but it may be enough for a longboard.

Stronger high pressure moves in with offshore flow to start the following week, but sets up another potential south swell as a cutoff low moves east over Tennessee.

Way better than I expected given how some of the long range models were looking a few weeks ago!

Early Week

Strong south wind from high pressure and two passing low pressure systems. There’s some uncertainty about the track of these low pressure systems and the timing of the swell. Either way, expect some south wind swell in the 8 second range for mid-late next week.

Thursday 5/7

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 155 4.3 7.2 41.5 NW 10 -1.6
08:00 155 4.2 7.2 39.5 NW 9.2 -1
10:00 155 4 7.2 36.9 NNW 8 -0
12:00 155 3.8 7.1 34.1 NNW 6 0.3
14:00 165 3.6 7.1 27.1 NW 5.8 -0.2
16:00 165 3.5 7 24 WSW 6.8 -0.9
18:00 165 3.3 6.9 20.7 SW 7 -1.3
Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
08:00 161.5 3.8 7.1 0 0 0 313.7 1.2 3
14:00 160.6 3.2 6.9 303.8 0.7 2.7 0 0 0
20:00 0 0 0 0 0 0 163.9 2.9 6.5
Time Tide Height (ft)
05:33 L 0.73
12:01 H 3.61
17:18 L 1.25

Massive underperformance on this one. Buoy was reading around 3ft@6.7s at dawn. Really disappointing.

Friday 5/8

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 175 2.6 6.4 7.6 NW 9.4 -1.3
08:00 175 2.6 6.4 7.1 WNW 8.9 -1.2
10:00 175 2.6 6.3 6.7 WNW 8 -0.3
12:00 175 2.5 6.5 7.4 W 8 0.5
14:00 175 2.6 8 18.2 SW 8.1 0.3
16:00 175 2.6 8 19 SW 9.1 -0.4
18:00 175 2.7 8 19.9 SW 9.3 -1.1
Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 Angle 3 Swell 3 Period 3 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
08:00 164.3 1.8 6.3 124.1 1 8 0 0 0 315.9 1.7 3.4
14:00 123.6 1.4 8.9 306.4 0.4 2.6 0 0 0 176.5 1.5 6.2
20:00 118.8 1.2 8.2 177 0.9 6.8 122 0.5 11 175.4 2.6 4.5
Time Tide Height (ft)
00:00 H 4.26
06:21 L 0.85
12:51 H 3.63
18:12 L 1.38

It’s going to be close to if not flat.

Saturday 5/9

South winds. Maybe something for Sunday AM but we’re talking longboard waves at best.

Sunday 5/10

Maybe enough for a longboard with clean conditions in the early AM. Wind turns strong south in the afternoon.

best board: longboard

Monday 5/11

Northeast winds expected with no surf.

Looking Ahead

Watching next Thursday/Friday for a potentially swell in the 8 second range.


All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave


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