Monmouth County Surf Forecast
Last Update: 7/25/2026 14:45
Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams
Summer Forecast Note
As we get into summer, this page will be updated less. I primarily mean for this page to track swells as they arrive and that’s not something that happens that much this time of year. As surfers, we all know that July-mid August is the slowest time of year for surf. The waves we do see tend to be more similar to trade swell than actual swell events. For this type of setup, wave heights are pretty unimportant and will be too affected by local bathymetry. In general, if the waves are under waist high, I won’t be attaching the tabular data associated.
I’ll still be updating this page with days that are worth a look, but I’ll go ahead and give the NOAA servers a rest until something of interest pops up.
Forecast for 7/22 - 7/31
Hope y’all got a few on Wednesday. Definitely the best it has been in a while.
The next week or so looks somewhat active with several days of surfable days likely. New east swell builds on Saturday with potentially fun conditions on Sunday 7/26.
Another round of south swell is possible mid-late week but there’s still some uncertainty on that at this point. I’d say waves are likely but the details aren’t reliable yet.
Saturday 7/25
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | 105 | 2.8 | 7 | 28 | NE | 9.8 | -1.1 |
| 11:00 | 105 | 2.9 | 6.8 | 27 | ENE | 10.8 | -1.6 |
| 13:00 | 105 | 3 | 6.7 | 27.6 | ENE | 10 | -0.7 |
| 15:00 | 105 | 3.1 | 6.7 | 27.4 | E | 9.9 | 1 |
| 17:00 | 105 | 3.1 | 6.6 | 26.3 | E | 9 | 1.9 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 04:47 | H | 3.67 |
| 10:42 | L | 1.01 |
| 17:13 | H | 4.74 |
| 23:36 | L | 0.79 |
New northeast wind swell is expected as our mid-week south swell fades out. This is worth keeping an eye on but don’t expect good contitions on Saturday. Fun body surfing though.
Sunday 7/26
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 105 | 2.9 | 6.8 | 26.8 | NE | 6 | 0.8 |
| 08:00 | 105 | 2.9 | 6.9 | 27.2 | NE | 7.2 | 0 |
| 10:00 | 105 | 2.9 | 7 | 28.2 | NE | 7.8 | -1.1 |
| 12:00 | 105 | 2.8 | 7.1 | 29.9 | ENE | 6.4 | -1.5 |
| 14:00 | 105 | 2.8 | 7.3 | 30.8 | E | 5 | -0.4 |
| 16:00 | 105 | 2.7 | 7.4 | 31.3 | ESE | 5.8 | 1.3 |
| 18:00 | 105 | 2.7 | 7.4 | 31 | ESE | 6 | 2.1 |
Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | Angle 3 | Swell 3 | Period 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 107.1 | 3.1 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14:00 | 96.4 | 2.4 | 6.3 | 134.4 | 1.5 | 8 | 168.8 | 0.8 | 6.7 |
| 20:00 | 116.9 | 2.9 | 7.2 | 128 | 0.2 | 12.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | Angle 3 | Swell 3 | Period 3 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 115.2 | 0.2 | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.6 | 3.4 | 6.9 |
| 14:00 | 83.8 | 2.7 | 6.4 | 135.3 | 1.8 | 8 | 116.6 | 0.2 | 12.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20:00 | 88 | 2.3 | 6.1 | 130.8 | 1.8 | 7.6 | 115.4 | 0.2 | 12.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 05:43 | H | 3.79 |
| 11:29 | L | 0.94 |
| 18:02 | H | 4.87 |
Imperfect but potentially fun conditions are expected for Sunday AM. Pretty steep angle on this northeast swell means less size than the buoy numbers would suggest. That said, it could be fun at spots that favor lefts.
I’d expect LBI to have the best quality waves overall (regardless of what the tables show), but Monmouth County should see something.
Notes: Worth a look given the swell angle and lighter winds.
Best board: groveler
Monday 7/27
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 105 | 2.5 | 7.3 | 25.4 | WSW | 2.9 | 0.8 |
| 08:00 | 105 | 2.4 | 7.3 | 24.4 | SW | 2.9 | 0.5 |
| 10:00 | 105 | 2.3 | 7.3 | 23.4 | S | 4 | -0.6 |
| 12:00 | 105 | 2.3 | 7.3 | 22.4 | S | 7.1 | -1.5 |
| 14:00 | 105 | 2.2 | 7.3 | 21.7 | S | 10.2 | -1 |
| 16:00 | 105 | 2.4 | 7.3 | 23.9 | S | 12.2 | 0.8 |
| 18:00 | 105.1 | 2.8 | 7.2 | 30.4 | S | 12.9 | 2.1 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 00:21 | L | 0.63 |
| 06:31 | H | 3.95 |
| 12:15 | L | 0.85 |
| 18:45 | H | 5.01 |
Potentially some leftover waves for the longboards with favorable wind early. The swell angle isn’t ideal for Monmouth County and closeouts will be common at most breaks. Really small and weak, but should be doable.
South wind gets on it for the afternoon.
Best board: Longboard
Tuesday 7/28
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 165 | 2.7 | 7.2 | 17.3 | S | 9.9 | 0.7 |
| 08:00 | 165 | 2.7 | 7.2 | 17.7 | S | 10.6 | 1.1 |
| 10:00 | 175 | 2.9 | 7.2 | 16.6 | S | 13.6 | -0 |
| 12:00 | 165 | 3.4 | 7.2 | 25.8 | SSE | 16 | -1.3 |
| 14:00 | 165 | 3.9 | 4.9 | 6.5 | SSE | 17 | -1.4 |
| 16:00 | 155 | 4.1 | 5.3 | 14.4 | SSE | 16.5 | 0.4 |
| 18:00 | 155 | 4.3 | 5.6 | 17.9 | SSE | 16.3 | 2.1 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 01:05 | L | 0.47 |
| 07:13 | H | 4.1 |
| 13:01 | L | 0.77 |
| 19:25 | H | 5.1 |
New south swell is expected around this time. Disregard wave direction values and watch Wednesday.
Wednesday 7/29
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 165 | 3.4 | 6.1 | 13.6 | NE | 11.9 | 0.6 |
| 08:00 | 165 | 3.3 | 6.1 | 12.8 | NNE | 12.1 | 1.4 |
| 10:00 | 165 | 3.3 | 6.1 | 13.5 | NNE | 12.8 | 0.6 |
| 12:00 | 165 | 3.4 | 6.9 | 21.6 | NE | 12.6 | -1 |
| 14:00 | 185 | 3.4 | 6.9 | 14.2 | ENE | 11.6 | -1.6 |
| 16:00 | 185 | 3.6 | 6.7 | 14.5 | E | 11.8 | -0.2 |
| 18:00 | 110.7 | 3.7 | 6.6 | 35.4 | ENE | 11.8 | 1.8 |
Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 155.5 | 3.6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14:00 | 159.8 | 3.4 | 7 | 91.8 | 0.9 | 7.5 | 13.8 | 1 | 2.3 |
| 20:00 | 160 | 3.3 | 7.3 | 89.2 | 0.8 | 7.3 | 21.2 | 3 | 3.9 |
Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | Angle 3 | Swell 3 | Period 3 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 149.9 | 4 | 6 | 78.5 | 0.6 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 78.9 | 0.7 | 5.9 |
| 14:00 | 161.7 | 3.8 | 7.1 | 85.4 | 1.1 | 8 | 81 | 0.5 | 5.6 | 13.5 | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 20:00 | 162.1 | 3.3 | 7.2 | 83.5 | 1.1 | 7.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21.2 | 2.8 | 4 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 01:47 | L | 0.33 |
| 07:53 | H | 4.23 |
| 13:45 | L | 0.7 |
| 20:02 | H | 5.14 |
Possible cleanup from what we see on Tuesday. Low expectations at this time.
I’m expecting offshore winds for Wednesday evening or potentially earlier. I have my doubts about the tables above.
Notes: Still some veriance in the model outputs with other models showing potentially better size/period. May be better than expected.
Best board: longboard or groveler if this forecast holds.
Thursday 7/30
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 75 | 4.1 | 6.1 | 28.3 | N | 10.9 | 0.5 |
| 08:00 | 75 | 4.1 | 6 | 28 | N | 10.6 | 1.7 |
| 10:00 | 75 | 4 | 6 | 27.4 | N | 9.9 | 1.1 |
| 12:00 | 75 | 3.9 | 6.1 | 27.2 | N | 8.3 | -0.6 |
| 14:00 | 75 | 3.8 | 7.8 | 50.1 | NE | 6 | -1.6 |
| 16:00 | 65 | 3.8 | 7.7 | 45.2 | ESE | 6.7 | -0.9 |
| 18:00 | 65 | 3.8 | 7.7 | 44.6 | SSE | 7 | 1.1 |
Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | Angle 3 | Swell 3 | Period 3 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 156.9 | 2.5 | 8.2 | 70.4 | 1.3 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 345.6 | 1.9 | 3.4 |
| 14:00 | 156 | 2.5 | 8.6 | 73.9 | 1 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 303 | 1 | 2.7 |
| 20:00 | 156.1 | 2.8 | 8.6 | 77.1 | 0.8 | 6.1 | 333.1 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | Angle 3 | Swell 3 | Period 3 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 155.6 | 2.4 | 8.2 | 152.5 | 2.2 | 8.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27.4 | 2.9 | 5.6 |
| 14:00 | 154.4 | 2.6 | 8.9 | 44.5 | 1.9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20:00 | 159.5 | 2.1 | 8.3 | 147.4 | 1.8 | 10 | 61.1 | 1.3 | 6.1 | 183.6 | 1.2 | 3.1 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 02:27 | L | 0.22 |
| 08:31 | H | 4.33 |
| 14:28 | L | 0.65 |
| 20:37 | H | 5.12 |
The primary swell table can be disregarded given the buoy tables below. I’d expect leftover waves in the knee-waist range if this holds.
Wind isn’t ideal.
Notes: Some variance in the models for this time period. Check back later.
Best board: longboard
Friday 7/31
Models outputs suggest we could see surf on friday in the waist high range. I’m not seeing it right off, but I’ll update as we get closer.
Tropics
Tropical storm development is still expected to be unlikely for the next three weeks based on NWS Climate Prediction Center 7/21 update.
All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave
Current list of Surf Hazards Surf Hazards
Why Energy Percentile? Energy Article
Helpful Links
Buoys
NOAA New York Harbor Entrance Buoy