Monmouth County Surf Forecast
Last Update: 09/15/2026 15:00
Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams
Forecast for 9/15 - Thursday 9/22
Some of the original model runs looked decent for mid-week, but it was always low probability. As of now, I’d expect most of that swell to be headed to FL and is likely to miss us entirely. Maybe enough for a longboard on Tuesday, but I’d have low expectations for surf during the work week.
It’s not all bad news though. Next weekend should have a small south windswell on offer. Late month is looking better and better on the charts (with or without a tropical storm).
Nothing crazy, but there could be some better days coming our way!
Tuesday - Saturday
Do something else.
Sunday 9/20
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 105 | 3.1 | 5.5 | 13.1 | S | 11.5 | -0.3 |
| 08:00 | 135 | 3.1 | 5.5 | 12.3 | S | 11.7 | -0.9 |
| 10:00 | 135 | 3.2 | 5.7 | 14.7 | S | 12.7 | -0.7 |
| 12:00 | 135.2 | 3.4 | 5.8 | 16.8 | S | 14 | 0.4 |
| 14:00 | 145 | 3.5 | 5.7 | 16.1 | S | 15 | 1.2 |
| 16:00 | 145 | 3.6 | 5.6 | 15.1 | SSW | 14.2 | 1.3 |
| 18:00 | 152.4 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 12.6 | SSW | 13.7 | 0.4 |
Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | Angle 3 | Swell 3 | Period 3 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 141.4 | 3.7 | 4.5 |
| 14:00 | 111.8 | 0.9 | 7.1 | 127.7 | 0.6 | 10.8 | 142.2 | 0.4 | 8.8 | 170.5 | 3.9 | 5 |
| 20:00 | 141.4 | 3.2 | 5.2 | 127.6 | 0.6 | 10.7 | 142.4 | 0.5 | 8.7 | 336.2 | 1 | 2.4 |
Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | Angle 3 | Swell 3 | Period 3 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 94.3 | 2.2 | 7 | 115.9 | 0.6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 170.3 | 3.1 | 4.4 |
| 14:00 | 96.1 | 1 | 6.9 | 136.5 | 0.7 | 8.9 | 115.2 | 0.7 | 10.8 | 169.8 | 3.7 | 4.8 |
| 20:00 | 137.9 | 3 | 5.1 | 116.5 | 0.7 | 10.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 358.4 | 0.6 | 1.9 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 02:41 | H | 3.66 |
| 08:43 | L | 1.58 |
| 15:03 | H | 4.36 |
| 21:41 | L | 1.23 |
3-4 foot seas expected on Saturday night with a possible cleanup on Sunday AM.
Notes: Check back later.
Looking Ahead
The week of 9/21 looks really interesting. We might see an actual swell around that time! Major atmospheric models are diverging for that time period, but it looks like multiple solutions would lead to waves for us.
Currently, 9/26 - 9/28 is the time to watch. There’s some uncertainty there, but it’s looking real at this time. Here’s a sample model output for 9/26:
2026-09-26 | Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | |:——-|—————–:|—————:|———:|—————–:|————-:| | 08:00 | 153.4 | 11.1 | 8.8 | 172.3 | 31 | | 14:00 | 146.2 | 9.1 | 8.8 | 190.9 | 22.3 | | 20:00 | 140.2 | 7.7 | 9.3 | 263.2 | 6.3 |
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 159.3 | 11.1 | 8.8 |
| 14:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 159.4 | 9.1 | 8.8 |
| 20:00 | 148.9 | 7.7 | 9.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 01:14 | L | 0.11 |
| 07:26 | H | 5.23 |
| 13:39 | L | 0.25 |
| 19:43 | H | 5.2 |
So, yeah…
The Tropics
The largest chance we have for a TS is likely next week. Still low probability, but there’s a chance.
All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave
Current list of Surf Hazards Surf Hazards
Why Energy Percentile? Energy Article
Helpful Links
Buoys
NOAA New York Harbor Entrance Buoy