Monmouth County Surf Forecast
Last Update: 10/03/2026 14:00
Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams
Forecast for 10/3 - 10/8
Watching Sunday/Monday for a potentially fun east wind swell. Wind goes offshore for Monday.
Saturday 10/3
Onshore wind with poor and small conditions.
Sunday 10/4
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 105 | 4.5 | 6.4 | 42.7 | E | 16 | -0.8 |
| 08:00 | 105 | 4.8 | 6.5 | 46.5 | E | 16 | -1.5 |
| 10:00 | 105 | 4.9 | 6.6 | 49.5 | E | 15.4 | -0.3 |
| 12:00 | 105 | 4.9 | 6.7 | 50.9 | E | 14 | 1.4 |
| 14:00 | 105 | 4.8 | 6.8 | 51.2 | ENE | 12.4 | 2.5 |
| 16:00 | 105 | 4.6 | 6.9 | 50.4 | ENE | 11.4 | 2 |
| 18:00 | 105 | 4.4 | 7 | 49 | NE | 10.7 | 0.3 |
Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy
| Time | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 98 | 5.4 | 6.3 |
| 14:00 | 102.5 | 4.9 | 6.7 |
| 20:00 | 99.8 | 4.5 | 6.8 |
Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy
| Time | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 88.4 | 5.8 | 6.5 |
| 14:00 | 90.4 | 5.3 | 6.8 |
| 20:00 | 90.6 | 4.9 | 6.9 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 02:02 | H | 4.23 |
| 08:01 | L | 0.93 |
| 14:24 | H | 4.99 |
| 21:10 | L | 0.67 |
Onshore wind with decent sized surf. Probably worth it, but conditions will mostly be poor.
Note: Avoid the afternoon high tide. Closeouts will be common.
Monday 10/5
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 95 | 3.4 | 7.5 | 42.9 | NW | 5.9 | 0 |
| 08:00 | 95 | 3.3 | 7.5 | 41.6 | WNW | 7.3 | -1.5 |
| 10:00 | 95 | 3.1 | 7.5 | 39.3 | WNW | 9.8 | -1.6 |
| 12:00 | 95 | 3 | 7.5 | 36.7 | WNW | 10.7 | -0.1 |
| 14:00 | 95 | 2.9 | 7.4 | 34.2 | NW | 11 | 1.7 |
| 16:00 | 95 | 2.9 | 7.4 | 33.3 | NW | 12 | 2.2 |
| 18:00 | 95 | 3.1 | 7.4 | 36.7 | NW | 13.6 | 0.7 |
Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 109.5 | 3 | 7.3 | 280.2 | 0.6 | 1.9 |
| 14:00 | 107.7 | 2.3 | 7.4 | 318.4 | 2.5 | 3.6 |
| 20:00 | 107.1 | 1.9 | 7.3 | 326.9 | 2.7 | 3.9 |
Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | Angle 3 | Swell 3 | Period 3 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 90.9 | 3.3 | 7.2 | 171.1 | 0.4 | 6.6 | 93.1 | 0.2 | 12.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14:00 | 94.3 | 2.6 | 7.4 | 170.2 | 0.4 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 322 | 1.7 | 3.3 |
| 20:00 | 90.1 | 2.1 | 7.4 | 166.2 | 0.5 | 4.7 | 170.6 | 0.3 | 6.2 | 339.7 | 2.9 | 4.3 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 03:07 | H | 4.35 |
| 09:15 | L | 0.82 |
| 15:30 | H | 4.97 |
| 22:09 | L | 0.44 |
Best day of surf for our region in a while.
Monday should have the best overall conditions with favorable wind and leftover waves. Surf fades pretty quickly through the day.
Notes: Closeouts will be an issue at many breaks.
Best board: Small wave performance board.
Tuesday 10/6 - Wednesday 10/7
Maybe some small longboard waves, but we’re looking at ~1.5ft at 7 seconds. Better things to do.
Thursday 10/8 - Friday 10/9
Flat. Originall there was a possibility of some waves, but it doesn’t look like it’ll work out.
High pressure moves in for Friday keeping the flat spell going.
Looking Ahead
Watching around 10/11 for our next round of surf (another Nor’easter).
Some significant variation in the major atmospheric models that far out.
The Tropics
Hurricane season isn’t over, but this year it looks to be. Record strong El Nino.
All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave
Current list of Surf Hazards Surf Hazards
Why Energy Percentile? Energy Article
Helpful Links
Buoys
NOAA New York Harbor Entrance Buoy