Monmouth County Surf Forecast
Last Update: 09/02/2026 12:45
Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams
Summer Forecast Note
As we get into summer, this page will be updated less. I primarily mean for this page to track swells as they arrive and that’s not something that happens that much this time of year. As surfers, we all know that July-mid August is the slowest time of year for surf. The waves we do see tend to be more similar to trade swell than actual swell events. For this type of setup, wave heights are pretty unimportant and will be too affected by local bathymetry. In general, if the waves are under waist high, I won’t be attaching the tabular data associated.
I’ll still be updating this page with days that are worth a look, but I’ll go ahead and give the NOAA servers a rest until something of interest pops up.
Forecast for 9/1 - 9/7
Pretty complicated week out there. Wind swell builds Wednesday and sort of cleans up for Thursday. South wind is expected, so spots that offer some wind protection are likely to be best if that holds. Some long period swell mixes in from remnants of TS Dolly. Note that we don’t see much this far north.
Originally, it looked like the weekend would offer some surf, but updated storm tracks show the low pressure system that would have been responsible for that swell being too far north and land will block and swell that would come from this.
High pressure moves back in by early-mid next week, so expect slow conditions through at least end of week.
Wednesday 9/2
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | 75 | 3.7 | 5.5 | 16.8 | E | 11.8 | 1.3 |
| 11:00 | 75 | 3.7 | 5.7 | 18.9 | E | 12 | 2.8 |
| 13:00 | 85 | 3.6 | 5.7 | 20 | ENE | 10.9 | 1.7 |
| 15:00 | 85 | 3.5 | 5.8 | 19.3 | E | 10 | -0.2 |
| 17:00 | 95 | 3.4 | 9 | 61.6 | E | 10 | -1.5 |
Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | Angle 3 | Swell 3 | Period 3 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 140.4 | 0.8 | 11.6 | 154.1 | 0.8 | 7.1 | 136.7 | 0.6 | 9.3 | 85 | 3.4 | 5.6 |
| 14:00 | 138.7 | 1.3 | 10.8 | 192.9 | 0.4 | 4.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.3 | 3.1 | 5.7 |
| 20:00 | 137.2 | 1.3 | 10.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 107.9 | 2.5 | 5.7 |
Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | Angle 3 | Swell 3 | Period 3 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 129 | 1.2 | 11.4 | 144.8 | 1 | 7.5 | 187.8 | 0.6 | 4 | 65.7 | 3 | 5.2 |
| 14:00 | 135.3 | 1.7 | 10.7 | 189.7 | 0.4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 74 | 3.4 | 5.7 |
| 20:00 | 133.2 | 1.8 | 10.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 84.8 | 2.8 | 5.7 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 04:55 | L | 0.32 |
| 11:26 | H | 5.18 |
| 17:48 | L | 0.75 |
| 23:58 | H | 4.31 |
Some long period swell mixes in from TS Dolly as new east wind swell builds.
Strong onshore wind means poor conditions.
Thursday 9/3
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 145 | 2.8 | 9 | 46.1 | SW | 8.2 | -2.1 |
| 08:00 | 145 | 2.8 | 8.9 | 45.1 | WSW | 8.7 | -0.9 |
| 10:00 | 95 | 2.8 | 8.8 | 50.7 | SSW | 8.5 | 1.2 |
| 12:00 | 95 | 2.9 | 8.8 | 50.2 | SSW | 9.1 | 2.4 |
| 14:00 | 95 | 2.9 | 8.7 | 49.5 | SSW | 9.4 | 1.5 |
| 16:00 | 131.3 | 2.8 | 8.6 | 46 | SSW | 8.7 | -0 |
| 18:00 | 145 | 2.8 | 8.5 | 39.9 | SW | 7 | -1.5 |
Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 104.6 | 2 | 6.1 | 141.4 | 1.5 | 9 | 214.9 | 1.2 | 2.7 |
| 14:00 | 118.6 | 2.2 | 6.4 | 139.4 | 1.3 | 8.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20:00 | 140.2 | 2.2 | 6.2 | 136.5 | 1.2 | 8.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | Angle 3 | Swell 3 | Period 3 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 96.7 | 2.4 | 6 | 132.4 | 1.7 | 9 | 189.3 | 0.4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14:00 | 92.8 | 2.2 | 6.2 | 137 | 1.4 | 8.8 | 77.5 | 0.5 | 8.7 | 188.1 | 1.3 | 3 |
| 20:00 | 92.6 | 1.8 | 6.1 | 181.1 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 139.1 | 1.2 | 8.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 05:43 | L | 0.52 |
| 12:25 | H | 5.15 |
| 18:56 | L | 0.92 |
Tough forecast to read. We have two primary swells, a longer period SE from TS Dolly that peaks Wednesday and fades today (Thursday) as well as a fading east wind swell that also peaks Wednesday and fades (quickly) on Thursday.
Size will definitely be greater further south, but I’d expect waves in the waist-chest range assuming this holds. Expect long lulls between larger sets.
The AM session is likely best with wind strengthening a little (but still light) for the afternoon. Conditions are likely to be a little imperfect given the lack of an offshore wind switch. Closeouts will be fairly common given the swell direction. You’re going to want to find the right sandbar and likely some south wind protection.
Notes: Large tide swing and imperfect conditions. Best day of the week though.
Best board: longboard or groveler.
Friday 9/4
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 145 | 2.1 | 8.1 | 23.2 | WNW | 5.9 | -1.7 |
| 08:00 | 144 | 2 | 8.1 | 21.7 | NW | 5.6 | -1.6 |
| 10:00 | 144 | 2 | 8.1 | 19.8 | NW | 5.4 | 0.4 |
| 12:00 | 144.1 | 1.9 | 8 | 18.2 | NW | 4 | 2 |
| 14:00 | 145 | 1.8 | 8 | 16.7 | WNW | 3 | 2.1 |
| 16:00 | 144.1 | 1.8 | 7.9 | 16.3 | W | 4.2 | 1.1 |
| 18:00 | 182.4 | 1.9 | 7.9 | 7.3 | W | 5.2 | -0.4 |
Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | Angle 3 | Swell 3 | Period 3 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 133.3 | 1.1 | 8.2 | 193.8 | 1 | 3.9 | 107.2 | 1 | 5.6 | 293.9 | 1.3 | 3 |
| 14:00 | 120.9 | 1.4 | 8 | 187.6 | 0.8 | 4.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 291.4 | 0.7 | 2.4 |
| 20:00 | 116.7 | 1.3 | 7.8 | 181.9 | 1 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 305.4 | 1.2 | 2.7 |
Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | Angle 3 | Swell 3 | Period 3 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 138.1 | 1.1 | 8.2 | 89.8 | 1 | 5.6 | 192.4 | 1 | 3.9 | 292.8 | 1 | 2.5 |
| 14:00 | 83.3 | 1.1 | 7.9 | 186.9 | 1 | 4.8 | 136.6 | 1 | 8 | 266.5 | 0.4 | 1.5 |
| 20:00 | 186.6 | 1.5 | 5.6 | 83.6 | 1.2 | 7.8 | 138.8 | 0.9 | 7.7 | 335.3 | 1 | 2.6 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 01:01 | H | 4.16 |
| 06:47 | L | 0.73 |
| 13:28 | H | 5.11 |
| 20:13 | L | 0.95 |
Small leftovers for the longboards. Knee-thigh waves or so with favorable and light winds.
Tropics
Tropical storm development is starting to look a bit more favorable than we’ve seen over the past few months. Wind shear is expected to lessen as we get into the first week of September. Models have started to show some development in that window from tropical waves moving off Africa. It’s really far out, but it’s worth watching.
All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave
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Buoys
NOAA New York Harbor Entrance Buoy