wave picture

Last Update: 3/18/2026 11:30

Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams

New Feature: Water Level

Week of 3/15 - 3/22

See my Mid-March Update Here

A more powerful swell is expected next Monday 3/16 with leftovers lasting into Wednesday or Thursday. Watching the weekend for another small, steep-south swell. We could see something early next week as well, but models have been mixed on that.

Wednesday 3/18

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 135 5 9.9 83.5 NW 11.6 0.6
08:00 135 4.8 9.9 82.4 NW 11 0.9
10:00 142.4 4.7 9.8 79.5 NNW 12 -0.6
12:00 145 4.5 9.7 76.5 N 8.9 -2.3
14:00 145 4.3 9.6 72.4 ENE 3.1 -3.4
16:00 145 4.1 9.4 68.5 SSE 4.7 -2
18:00 145 4 9.3 66.3 SSE 5.1 0.6
Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
08:00 143.9 4 9.8 0 0 0 322.9 1.9 3.5
14:00 142.8 3.6 9.6 342.2 1 3.1 0 0 0
20:00 143 3.6 9.2 0 0 0 0 0 0
Time Tide Height (ft)
01:16 L -0.26
07:26 H 4.82
13:38 L -0.5
19:46 H 4.86

Mostly leaving this up as a joke. Look how bad the forecast table is for this. Completely off. It’s like 2.5ft@11s out there. 2.3ft@10s swell height/period and 3.3ft@10s combined swell as of 10:10am. Absolutely terrible.

Trash.

Notes: None.

Best board: N/A.

Thursday 3/19

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 142.5 3.5 9 57.4 SSE 4 0.5
08:00 135 3.4 8.9 57.9 SE 5.3 1.9
10:00 135 3.4 8.8 56.1 SE 4 0.9
12:00 135 3.3 8.8 53.9 ESE 5 -1.6
14:00 135 3.2 8.7 51.6 SE 6 -3.1
16:00 134.9 3.1 8.6 49.2 SSE 7 -1.9
18:00 135 3 8.5 47 SSE 6.7 0.6
Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
08:00 140.5 3.2 8.8 0 0 0
14:00 137.4 2.9 8.6 174.5 0.7 2.1
20:00 135.5 2.7 8.5 186.2 1.9 3.4
Time Tide Height (ft)
02:03 L -0.47
08:07 H 4.87
14:19 L -0.62
20:25 H 5.1

I’m doubting the swell heights.

Another day of fun waves is expected with a bit of texture from the sideshore winds. Originally there was supposed to be some new swell mixing in. No longer expected to be the case.

Notes: Probably terrible. Check a camera before getting cold for this.

Best board: groveler or daily driver.

Friday 3/20

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 125 2.7 8.3 39.8 WSW 3.6 0
08:00 125 2.7 8.3 40.2 W 3.4 2
10:00 125 2.7 8.3 40.1 WSW 3.4 1.5
12:00 125 2.7 8.2 39.3 SW 5 -0.8
14:00 125 2.6 8.2 38 S 7 -2.7
16:00 114.9 2.6 8.2 37.9 S 9 -2.3
18:00 115 2.6 8.2 38.4 S 10 0
Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
08:00 129.6 2.5 8.3 199.2 0.8 3 284.8 0.4 2
14:00 127.1 2.5 8.3 0 0 0 177.6 1.1 2.4
20:00 122.8 2.2 8.3 0 0 0 183.6 4.2 4.8
Time Tide Height (ft)
02:49 L -0.6
08:50 H 4.79
14:59 L -0.65
21:07 H 5.23

Some reinforcing swell is likely at this time but surf is fading until it arrives. Check back later.

Saturday 3/21

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 95 3.7 8.3 58.5 SSW 11.8 -0.5
08:00 95 3.8 8.4 60.3 SSW 11.8 1.6
10:00 95 3.9 8.4 62.3 SSW 12.6 2.2
12:00 95 4.1 8.4 64.2 SW 12.6 0.2
14:00 95 4.1 8.3 64.1 WSW 12 -1.7
16:00 95 4.2 8.2 63 W 12.3 -2.4
18:00 160 4.1 8.1 48.9 W 11.6 -0.6
Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
08:00 113.2 2.2 8.5 0 0 0 176.6 4.4 6.2
14:00 169.4 2.8 6 113.3 2.2 8.6 43 1.4 2.9
20:00 158.2 2.8 6.4 114.8 2.1 8.5 0 0 0
Time Tide Height (ft)
03:34 L -0.6
09:35 H 4.62
15:40 L -0.57
21:53 H 5.23

More modest sized surf with some new south wind swell mixing in to our leftover swell. Low expectations for size at this time.

Sunday 3/22

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 185 3.3 8.1 23.9 WSW 10.8 -1.4
08:00 185 3.2 8.1 23.6 WSW 10.4 0.7
10:00 185 3.3 8 23.7 SW 11.4 2
12:00 185 3.3 8 24 SW 12 0.8
14:00 185 3.4 7.9 24 SW 12 -1.2
16:00 185 3.4 7.9 23.9 WSW 13 -2.3
18:00 182.4 3.5 7.8 25.5 W 13.7 -1.5
Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
08:00 117 2.8 7.9 186.7 1.1 5.9 0 0 0
14:00 117.7 2.9 7.7 0 0 0 183.2 1.5 5.8
20:00 118.2 2.5 7.6 0 0 0 186.4 3.5 4.6
Time Tide Height (ft)
04:21 L -0.47
10:26 H 4.38
16:22 L -0.4
22:45 H 5.11

More waves possible from a passing low pressure system. Nothing firing, but potentially decent. Wind is likely to be sideshore.

Entirely possible these tables will be completely wrong and it’ll actually be an east swell on Monday 3/23. That’s the better outcome from what I’m seeing.

Notes: Too far out and lots of uncertainty; check back later.

Looking Ahead

Monday 3/23

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 355 4.5 4.5 0.7 NNW 20.1 -1.6
08:00 264.7 4.8 4.8 0 N 20.5 0.1
10:00 264.7 4.8 4.9 0 N 18.8 1.8
12:00 264.7 4.6 5.9 0.1 N 16.7 1.6
14:00 105 4.3 9 72.8 N 13.9 -0
16:00 105 4 8.9 68.8 N 12.9 -1.5
18:00 105 3.9 8.8 66.2 N 12.9 -1.8
Time Tide Height (ft)
05:11 L -0.22
11:23 H 4.14
17:09 L -0.12
23:44 H 4.92

Things might slow down a bit after next weekend. It’s possible we see another quick south swell around 3/23, but I would have low expectations for quality surf at this time. There is more potential as we near the end of the month, but nothing is jumping out as particularly spectacular.

All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave

Current list of Surf Hazards Surf Hazards

Why Energy Percentile? Energy Article

NOAA Atlantic Analysis

Buoys

NOAA New York Harbor Entrance Buoy

Barnegat NJ Buoy

Hurricane Analysis

NHS 7 Day Outlook

NHS Tropical Hazards Outlook

Teleconnections

NAO

ENSO Diagnostic Discussion