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Last Update: 09/27/2026 15:30

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Forecast for 9/28 - 10/01

We certainly didn’t get the quality surf that some of the nearby regions had, but we should at least get a few surfable days early-mid week.

I’d plan on taking a look at the favorable tides Monday-Wednesday.

Another quick south swell is possible late week but it currently looks like there’s too much west in the swell direction.

Sunday 9/27

Not the day we had hoped for.

Monday 9/28

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 85 4.6 8.8 73.4 NE 13 1.4
08:00 84.7 4.6 8.8 73 NNE 14 3.4
10:00 75 4.7 8.7 71.2 NNE 14.7 2.9
12:00 75 4.6 5.6 26.4 N 14.5 0.3
14:00 75 4.4 5.5 23.2 N 13.6 -1.6
16:00 75 4 8.7 63.7 NNW 12.2 -1.6
18:00 75 3.6 8.7 58.9 NNW 11.6 0.2

Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy

Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 Angle 3 Swell 3 Period 3 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
08:00 86.4 3.5 6.4 106.2 1.6 8.8 172.4 1.5 6.9 25.9 4.5 5.2
14:00 69.7 2.4 5.6 101.6 1.6 8.7 149.8 1.6 6 352 2.7 4.2
20:00 104.1 1.7 8.7 158.4 1 5.5 76.3 0.8 5 347.5 2 3.6

Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy

Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 Angle 3 Swell 3 Period 3 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
08:00 107.7 2.8 8.8 115.6 0.2 14.8 0 0 0 26.3 6 6
14:00 25.3 4 5.8 90 2 8.7 162.5 1 5.3 0 0 0
20:00 97.1 2.2 8.7 113.9 0.3 14.4 166.4 0.4 5.8 10.2 2.7 5
Time Tide Height (ft)
02:33 L -0.02
08:40 H 5.59
15:10 L 0.09
21:05 H 4.96

I mean, it’s not firing, but it’s worth a look. Wind shifts offshore sometime late AM or early PM. Lines up with the dropping tide. Worth a look in the evening as well.

Notes: Large tide swing. Possible high bacteria levels following the flooding.

Best board: small wave performance board

Tuesday 9/29

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 85 2.5 8.3 37.4 NW 7.6 0.2
08:00 85 2.4 8.2 34.9 NW 6.9 2.5
10:00 85 2.4 8.2 33 NW 6.7 2.9
12:00 85 2.3 8.2 31.4 NW 5.3 0.9
14:00 85 2.2 8.2 29.8 NW 3.2 -1.4
16:00 85 2.2 8.2 28.7 NW 3 -2.3
18:00 85 2.2 8.2 28.2 WNW 3 -0.8
Time Tide Height (ft)
03:13 L 0.03
09:23 H 5.62
15:55 L 0.17
21:53 H 4.74

Wednesday 9/30

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 85 2.2 8.7 35.3 NW 4 -0.9
08:00 85 2.2 8.8 36.5 NW 4 1.5
10:00 85 2.3 8.7 37 NW 3 2.8
12:00 85 2.3 8.7 36.9 WNW 3 1.5
14:00 85 2.3 8.6 36.3 SSE 2.9 -0.6
16:00 85 2.3 8.5 35.5 S 4.1 -2.1
18:00 85 2.3 8.5 34.6 S 5.1 -1.6
Time Tide Height (ft)
03:54 L 0.15
10:12 H 5.54
16:44 L 0.34
22:48 H 4.5

More small surf is possible. Favorable wind.

Thursday 10/1

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 85 2.4 8.5 36.2 SW 5.8 -1.8
08:00 84.9 2.4 8.5 35.9 SW 5.5 0.5
10:00 84.9 2.4 8.4 35.5 SSW 6.5 2.3
12:00 85.2 2.4 8.5 35.9 SSW 8.5 2
14:00 95 2.5 8.5 40.1 S 10.1 0.3
16:00 95 2.8 8.5 45.8 SSW 11.1 -1.5
18:00 165 2.9 8.6 35.2 SSW 11.1 -2.1
Time Tide Height (ft)
04:39 L 0.35
11:09 H 5.38
17:39 L 0.57
23:52 H 4.3

At least enough for a longboard. Light wind for the early AM session. Wind turns out of the south for the PM.

Friday 10/2

Possibly enough of a swell mix to take a look. Wind looks decent, but it’s a little early to call.

Looking Ahead

Possible SE swell around 10/6. It’s been on the charts for consistently enough to take it seriously.

The Tropics

Low chance over the next three weeks with potential formation in the Gulf the week of 9/30. Less than 40% chance though.


All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave


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