Monmouth County Surf Forecast
Last Update: 7/23/2026 13:30
Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams
Summer Forecast Note
As we get into summer, this page will be updated less. I primarily mean for this page to track swells as they arrive and that’s not something that happens that much this time of year. As surfers, we all know that July-mid August is the slowest time of year for surf. The waves we do see tend to be more similar to trade swell than actual swell events. For this type of setup, wave heights are pretty unimportant and will be too affected by local bathymetry. In general, if the waves are under waist high, I won’t be attaching the tabular data associated.
I’ll still be updating this page with days that are worth a look, but I’ll go ahead and give the NOAA servers a rest until something of interest pops up.
Forecast for 7/22 - 7/30
Hope y’all got a few on Wednesday. Definitely the best it has been in a while.
The next week or so looks somewhat active with several days of surfable days likely. New east swell builds on Saturday with potentially fun conditions on Sunday 7/26 and potentially some reinforcing swell for Monday 7/27.
Another round of south swell is possible mid-late week but there’s a lot of uncertainty on that at this point.
Thursday 7/23
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 175 | 4.2 | 7.4 | 32.9 | N | 13 | -0.7 |
| 08:00 | 175 | 4.1 | 7.3 | 30.9 | N | 13.2 | -1.6 |
| 10:00 | 175 | 4 | 7.3 | 28.8 | N | 11.8 | -1.8 |
| 12:00 | 175 | 3.8 | 7.2 | 25.4 | NNE | 9.7 | -0.6 |
| 14:00 | 165 | 3.6 | 7.1 | 26.6 | NNE | 7.9 | 1 |
| 16:00 | 165 | 3.5 | 7.1 | 25.6 | NE | 6 | 1.3 |
| 18:00 | 165 | 3.4 | 7.3 | 26.8 | ENE | 5.7 | 0.3 |
Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 164.3 | 3.1 | 7.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38.6 | 1.7 | 3.2 |
| 14:00 | 161.3 | 2.9 | 7.2 | 62.7 | 1.6 | 4.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20:00 | 160.8 | 3 | 7.2 | 80.2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 163.7 | 3.1 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27.8 | 2.2 | 3.8 |
| 14:00 | 161 | 3.1 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 51.5 | 2.6 | 4.7 |
| 20:00 | 160 | 2.9 | 7 | 64.8 | 1.7 | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 02:51 | H | 3.79 |
| 09:01 | L | 0.99 |
| 15:26 | H | 4.65 |
| 21:58 | L | 1.06 |
Wind could be better, but this is another fun day of surf. Best early before the wind turns more NNE.
Monmouth County handles north wind better than regions further south.
Wave heights should be in the stomach high range at most breaks.
Notes: North wind protection is best but won’t be required. Best conditions will be at north wind protected spots and breaks further north.
Best board: daily driver/groveler/longboard will all work.
Friday 7/24
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 175 | 2.8 | 6.7 | 10.8 | NE | 7.3 | -0.3 |
| 08:00 | 175 | 2.7 | 6.6 | 9.5 | NE | 8.2 | -1.3 |
| 10:00 | 135 | 2.7 | 6.5 | 17 | ENE | 8.7 | -1.9 |
| 12:00 | 135 | 2.7 | 6.3 | 15.1 | ENE | 8 | -1.1 |
| 14:00 | 135 | 2.6 | 6.2 | 13.4 | E | 7 | 0.5 |
| 16:00 | 135 | 2.6 | 6.1 | 12.5 | E | 7 | 1.4 |
| 18:00 | 135 | 2.6 | 8.2 | 36.1 | E | 7 | 1.1 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 03:47 | H | 3.67 |
| 09:53 | L | 1.03 |
| 16:20 | H | 4.66 |
| 22:48 | L | 0.94 |
Small but rideable longboard waves expected. Wind is cross-onshore for mostly poor conditions. Light enough that it should be doable, but it won’t be great.
Saturday 7/25
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 125 | 2.7 | 7.3 | 27.3 | NE | 8.5 | 0.4 |
| 08:00 | 115.2 | 2.7 | 7.2 | 28.3 | NE | 9.9 | -0.5 |
| 10:00 | 115 | 2.9 | 7.1 | 29.4 | NE | 10.7 | -1.4 |
| 12:00 | 115 | 3.2 | 6.6 | 27.7 | ENE | 11.2 | -1.3 |
| 14:00 | 105 | 3.4 | 6.3 | 26.4 | ENE | 11 | 0.2 |
| 16:00 | 105 | 3.6 | 6.3 | 28.6 | ENE | 10 | 1.6 |
| 18:00 | 105 | 3.7 | 6.4 | 32 | E | 9 | 1.9 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 04:47 | H | 3.67 |
| 10:42 | L | 1.01 |
| 17:13 | H | 4.74 |
| 23:36 | L | 0.79 |
New northeast wind swell is expected as our mid-week south swell fades out. This is worth keeping an eye on but don’t expect good contitions on Saturday. Fun body surfing though.
Sunday 7/26
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 95 | 3.8 | 7.1 | 43.3 | NNE | 5.4 | 0.8 |
| 08:00 | 85 | 3.7 | 7.1 | 40.6 | NNE | 6.5 | 0.1 |
| 10:00 | 85 | 3.6 | 6.9 | 37.1 | NE | 7 | -1 |
| 12:00 | 85 | 3.5 | 6.8 | 33.5 | NE | 7 | -1.5 |
| 14:00 | 85 | 3.4 | 6.7 | 31.1 | ENE | 6.1 | -0.5 |
| 16:00 | 85 | 3.3 | 6.7 | 29.8 | ESE | 7.2 | 1.3 |
| 18:00 | 85 | 3.2 | 6.7 | 28.8 | SE | 8 | 2.1 |
Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 101.3 | 3.9 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14:00 | 94.2 | 2.8 | 6.6 | 140.8 | 1.8 | 8 |
| 20:00 | 113.8 | 3.1 | 7 | 131.8 | 0.2 | 12.2 |
Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 115.6 | 0.2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83.7 | 4.4 | 6.7 |
| 14:00 | 90.4 | 3.7 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20:00 | 99.2 | 3.2 | 6.8 | 114.2 | 0.2 | 12.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 05:43 | H | 3.79 |
| 11:29 | L | 0.94 |
| 18:02 | H | 4.87 |
Imperfect but potentially fun conditions are expected for Sunday AM. Pretty steep angle on this northeast swell means less size than the buoy numbers would suggest. That said, it could be fun at spots that favor lefts.
Larger waves further south depending on the positioning of the low generating the swell. Some uncertainty on that at this point.
Notes: Check back later.
Monday 7/27
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 105 | 2.7 | 7.1 | 27.7 | WSW | 4.9 | 0.7 |
| 08:00 | 105 | 2.7 | 7.1 | 27.2 | WSW | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| 10:00 | 105 | 2.6 | 7.2 | 26.9 | SSW | 6.1 | -0.6 |
| 12:00 | 105 | 2.7 | 7.1 | 27 | S | 9 | -1.5 |
| 14:00 | 105 | 2.7 | 7.1 | 27.6 | S | 12 | -0.9 |
| 16:00 | 105 | 3 | 7.1 | 31.5 | S | 13.9 | 0.9 |
| 18:00 | 105 | 3.4 | 6.9 | 35.9 | S | 13.9 | 2.1 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 00:21 | L | 0.63 |
| 06:31 | H | 3.95 |
| 12:15 | L | 0.85 |
| 18:45 | H | 5.01 |
Potentially some leftover waves for the longboards with favorable wind early. The swell angle isn’t ideal for Monmouth County and closeouts will be common at most breaks.
Notes: Uncertainty about amount of leftover waves. Plan on spending some time finding the right sandbar.
Tuesday 7/28
Possible south swell but nothing too strong. Wind is poor.
Wednesday 7/29
Possible cleanup from what we see on Tuesday. Low expectations at this time.
Notes: Uncertainty and whatnot.
Thursday 7/30
Possible waves but very uncertain at this time.
Tropics
TS Bertha is in the gulf but certainly won’t be providing us with any surf.
Tropical storm development is still expected to be unlikely for the next three weeks based on NWS Climate Prediction Center 7/21 update.
All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave
Current list of Surf Hazards Surf Hazards
Why Energy Percentile? Energy Article
Helpful Links
Buoys
NOAA New York Harbor Entrance Buoy