Monmouth County Surf Forecast
Last Update: 7/27/2026 11:00
Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams
Summer Forecast Note
As we get into summer, this page will be updated less. I primarily mean for this page to track swells as they arrive and that’s not something that happens that much this time of year. As surfers, we all know that July-mid August is the slowest time of year for surf. The waves we do see tend to be more similar to trade swell than actual swell events. For this type of setup, wave heights are pretty unimportant and will be too affected by local bathymetry. In general, if the waves are under waist high, I won’t be attaching the tabular data associated.
I’ll still be updating this page with days that are worth a look, but I’ll go ahead and give the NOAA servers a rest until something of interest pops up.
Forecast for 7/22 - 7/31
Hope y’all got a few on Wednesday. Definitely the best it has been in a while.
Another round of south swell is expected for Wednesday/Thursday.
Possible south swell for the weekend, but too much uncertainty at this time.
Monday 7/27
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 105 | 2.5 | 7.3 | 25.4 | WSW | 2.9 | 0.8 |
| 08:00 | 105 | 2.4 | 7.3 | 24.4 | SW | 2.9 | 0.5 |
| 10:00 | 105 | 2.3 | 7.3 | 23.4 | S | 4 | -0.6 |
| 12:00 | 105 | 2.3 | 7.3 | 22.4 | S | 7.1 | -1.5 |
| 14:00 | 105 | 2.2 | 7.3 | 21.7 | S | 10.2 | -1 |
| 16:00 | 105 | 2.4 | 7.3 | 23.9 | S | 12.2 | 0.8 |
| 18:00 | 105.1 | 2.8 | 7.2 | 30.4 | S | 12.9 | 2.1 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 00:21 | L | 0.63 |
| 06:31 | H | 3.95 |
| 12:15 | L | 0.85 |
| 18:45 | H | 5.01 |
Some leftover waves for the longboards with favorable wind early. The swell angle isn’t ideal for Monmouth County and closeouts will be common at most breaks. Really small and weak, but should be doable.
South wind gets on it for the afternoon. Avoid the AM high tide.
Best board: Longboard
Tuesday 7/28
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 174.9 | 3 | 7.2 | 16.7 | SSW | 11.9 | 0.7 |
| 08:00 | 175 | 3 | 7.3 | 17.3 | SSW | 12 | 1.1 |
| 10:00 | 175 | 3.1 | 7.3 | 18.2 | S | 13.9 | 0.1 |
| 12:00 | 165 | 3.4 | 7.2 | 25.7 | S | 16 | -1.3 |
| 14:00 | 155 | 3.8 | 4.5 | 5.4 | SSE | 18 | -1.3 |
| 16:00 | 155 | 4.2 | 5 | 11 | SSE | 18 | 0.4 |
| 18:00 | 155 | 4.5 | 5.4 | 17 | SSE | 18 | 2.1 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 01:05 | L | 0.47 |
| 07:13 | H | 4.1 |
| 13:01 | L | 0.77 |
| 19:25 | H | 5.1 |
New south swell is expected around this time; watch Wednesday.
Wednesday 7/29
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 145 | 4.1 | 6.1 | 26.1 | S | 12.5 | 0.8 |
| 08:00 | 145 | 3.9 | 6.3 | 27.2 | S | 10 | 1.5 |
| 10:00 | 145 | 3.8 | 6.4 | 27.9 | S | 9 | 0.6 |
| 12:00 | 155 | 3.6 | 6.4 | 22.9 | SSE | 9 | -0.9 |
| 14:00 | 155 | 3.5 | 6.4 | 21.6 | SE | 10 | -1.4 |
| 16:00 | 155 | 3.5 | 6.5 | 22.5 | S | 10 | -0 |
| 18:00 | 155 | 3.6 | 6.7 | 25.9 | SW | 10 | 1.8 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 01:47 | L | 0.33 |
| 07:53 | H | 4.23 |
| 13:45 | L | 0.7 |
| 20:02 | H | 5.14 |
Possible cleanup from what we see on Tuesday.
I’m expecting offshore winds for Wednesday evening or potentially earlier. I have my doubts about the tables above.
Notes: Wind is still uncertain, but waves are looking likely.
Best board: groveler or longboard if this holds.
Thursday 7/30
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 165 | 3.7 | 7 | 26.3 | NW | 12.9 | 0.4 |
| 08:00 | 155 | 3.7 | 7.4 | 35.6 | NW | 12.8 | 1.5 |
| 10:00 | 155 | 3.6 | 8.2 | 45.2 | NNW | 12.5 | 0.9 |
| 12:00 | 155 | 3.5 | 8.1 | 42.2 | NNW | 10.9 | -0.7 |
| 14:00 | 155 | 3.3 | 8 | 38 | NNW | 9.2 | -1.7 |
| 16:00 | 155 | 3.1 | 7.9 | 34.3 | NNW | 9 | -1 |
| 18:00 | 165 | 3 | 7.8 | 27.5 | NNW | 9 | 1.1 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 02:27 | L | 0.22 |
| 08:31 | H | 4.33 |
| 14:28 | L | 0.65 |
| 20:37 | H | 5.12 |
Possible leftovers for Thursday. Still some uncertainty here.
Wind isn’t ideal.
Notes: Some variance in the models for this time period. Check back later.
Best board: longboard
Friday 7/31
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 165 | 3.4 | 8.7 | 42.9 | NNW | 9.6 | -0.1 |
| 08:00 | 165 | 3.3 | 8.5 | 40.8 | NNW | 9.4 | 1.4 |
| 10:00 | 165 | 3.2 | 8.2 | 35 | NNW | 8.2 | 1.5 |
| 12:00 | 165 | 3 | 8 | 30.5 | N | 5.9 | -0.2 |
| 14:00 | 172.4 | 2.9 | 7.9 | 23.2 | NNE | 3.8 | -1.6 |
| 16:00 | 172.4 | 2.7 | 7.7 | 19.5 | SSE | 4.6 | -1.5 |
| 18:00 | 175 | 2.6 | 7.5 | 15.6 | S | 6.7 | 0.3 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 03:04 | L | 0.15 |
| 09:07 | H | 4.41 |
| 15:08 | L | 0.63 |
| 21:13 | H | 5.04 |
Models outputs suggest we could see surf on friday in the waist high range. I’m not seeing it right off, but I’ll update as we get closer.
Tropics
Tropical storm development is still expected to be unlikely for the next three weeks based on NWS Climate Prediction Center 7/21 update.
All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave
Current list of Surf Hazards Surf Hazards
Why Energy Percentile? Energy Article
Helpful Links
Buoys
NOAA New York Harbor Entrance Buoy