Monmouth County Surf Forecast

Last Update: 3/21/2026 12:00
Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams
New Feature: Water Level
Week of 3/21 - 3/27
Small and weak steep south swell for Saturday 3/21. Best conditions at first light and deteriorating as the day goes on. Unfortunately the tide isn’t cooperating well on this one.
We could see something early week (Monday) as well, but models have been mixed on that.
There’s a chance for a more powerful swell late next week with the major atmospheric models in something resembling agreement. The strength of that swell is still uncertain.
Overall, our run of surf is starting to slow down. There’s very little on the charts right now.
Saturday 3/21
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 175 | 4.7 | 6.9 | 31.6 | WSW | 9.9 | -1.1 |
| 08:00 | 174.9 | 4.4 | 7 | 29.2 | NNW | 10 | 1.1 |
| 10:00 | 175 | 4.1 | 7 | 27.3 | NNW | 10 | 1.8 |
| 12:00 | 185 | 3.9 | 7 | 19.5 | NNW | 9 | -0.2 |
| 14:00 | 185 | 3.7 | 6.9 | 16.8 | NNW | 7.9 | -2.2 |
| 16:00 | 185 | 3.5 | 7.1 | 16.8 | NNW | 6.8 | -2.7 |
| 18:00 | 185 | 3.3 | 7.9 | 22.4 | N | 5.8 | -0.8 |
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | Angle 3 | Swell 3 | Period 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 178.4 | 4.3 | 6.9 | 116.2 | 1.9 | 8.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14:00 | 174.1 | 2.8 | 6.5 | 116.2 | 1.9 | 8.4 | 327.1 | 1.4 | 3.4 |
| 20:00 | 173.6 | 2.1 | 6.3 | 115 | 1.9 | 8.2 | 329 | 0.8 | 2.7 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 03:34 | L | -0.6 |
| 09:35 | H | 4.62 |
| 15:40 | L | -0.57 |
| 21:53 | H | 5.23 |
Wave height predictions were accurate. Period is a little lower at closer to 6 seconds. Really soft out there, but it was stomach-chest high or so early this morning.
A weak low pressure system passes by our region and generates some short period SSE/S wind swell. Certainly nothing firing, but it should be fun on a groveler or longboard. There is still some small 8 or 9 second swell mixing in, which should help a little.
We have a fairly well timed low tide for the dawn patrol session and light offshore winds to start the day. Wind stays offshore all day, but I’d expect the surf to fade fast. No sleeping in, unfortunately.
Breaking wave heights should be in the stomach high range give or take. Expect the waves to be pretty soft given the short period.
Notes: Large tide swing limits the available windows to surf. The AM session is the only one worth considering. Seasonally warm weather expected.
Best board: Groveler/Longboard. Longboard for the afternoon.
Sunday 3/22
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 105 | 2.8 | 8 | 39.2 | S | 10.6 | -1.5 |
| 08:00 | 185 | 3 | 8 | 20.2 | S | 12.6 | 0.9 |
| 10:00 | 185 | 3.4 | 8 | 24.3 | SSW | 14.5 | 2.3 |
| 12:00 | 185 | 3.6 | 8 | 27.3 | SSW | 14.2 | 1 |
| 14:00 | 185 | 3.6 | 8 | 26.9 | SSW | 12.9 | -0.9 |
| 16:00 | 185 | 3.6 | 5.8 | 7.2 | SSW | 13.8 | -2.1 |
| 18:00 | 175 | 3.6 | 5.2 | 5.6 | SSW | 13.2 | -1.3 |
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 118.7 | 1.8 | 8 | 170.6 | 2.2 | 3.5 |
| 14:00 | 120.8 | 1.6 | 8 | 176 | 3.5 | 4.7 |
| 20:00 | 124.6 | 1.6 | 8 | 183.1 | 4.2 | 5.5 |
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 114.9 | 1.7 | 8 | 176.4 | 1.8 | 5.9 |
| 14:00 | 115.1 | 1.6 | 8 | 181.3 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
| 20:00 | 115.4 | 1.9 | 8.1 | 183.7 | 3.9 | 5 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 04:21 | L | -0.47 |
| 10:26 | H | 4.38 |
| 16:22 | L | -0.4 |
| 22:45 | H | 5.11 |
Not as good as the combined swell table would suggest. Really small waves with some wind swell mixing in for the afternoon. Lots of texture if not completely blown out.
Low expectations for rideable waves on anything but a longboard. Wind is cross-shore for textured and poor conditions.
Notes: Possibly flat, definitely small. Warm weather though.
Monday 3/23
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 155 | 4.1 | 6.7 | 31.6 | NNE | 15 | -1.7 |
| 08:00 | 155 | 4.5 | 6.8 | 37.2 | NNE | 17 | 0 |
| 10:00 | 145 | 4.8 | 6.7 | 43.6 | N | 17.9 | 1.8 |
| 12:00 | 93 | 4.9 | 6.5 | 46.8 | N | 17 | 1.5 |
| 14:00 | 85 | 4.8 | 6.5 | 45 | N | 15.8 | -0.1 |
| 16:00 | 85 | 4.7 | 6.6 | 46.3 | N | 15.9 | -1.4 |
| 18:00 | 75 | 4.7 | 6.7 | 45.1 | N | 16.1 | -1.9 |
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 157.9 | 3.1 | 7.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67.2 | 2.4 | 4 |
| 14:00 | 152.8 | 2.8 | 7.7 | 74.5 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20:00 | 150.2 | 2.6 | 7.8 | 75.1 | 1.9 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 05:11 | L | -0.22 |
| 11:23 | H | 4.14 |
| 17:09 | L | -0.12 |
| 23:44 | H | 4.92 |
This has trended down a lot over the past five days or so. All in all, I still think it’s worth a look with a few caveats. The wind needs to be lighter than forecast and we need a bit of overperformance in relation to the model outputs.
While there’s almost no way this will be good, at least the low tide lines up for the AM session which has been a real problem all this (last) week.
Notes: It could overperform but low expectations at this time. Check a camera before going.
Tuesday 3/24
Flat with strong north wind (20kts)
Wednesday 3/25
Watching for another swell around this time. If something comes through, I’d expect surfable waves to be on Thursday.
Thursday 3/26
I still think we could see something from this setup, but model output has really trended worse for this time period. Check back later.
All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave
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