Monmouth County Surf Forecast
Last Update: 10/01/2026 10:00
Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams
Forecast for 9/30 - 10/01
More small surf due for Wednesday-Friday.
Watching Sunday/Monday for a potentially fun east wind swell. Wind goes offshore for Monday.
Thursday 10/1
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 85 | 2.6 | 8.6 | 41.3 | SW | 6.8 | -1.8 |
| 08:00 | 94.9 | 2.5 | 8.6 | 42.4 | SW | 7 | 0.6 |
| 10:00 | 95.1 | 2.5 | 8.6 | 42.1 | SW | 8.1 | 2.3 |
| 12:00 | 95 | 2.5 | 8.6 | 42.2 | SSW | 9.6 | 2 |
| 14:00 | 95 | 2.6 | 8.6 | 43.5 | SSW | 10.6 | 0.4 |
| 16:00 | 175 | 2.8 | 8.6 | 27.1 | SSW | 11.1 | -1.5 |
| 18:00 | 175 | 2.9 | 8.6 | 28.8 | SSW | 11.2 | -2.1 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 04:39 | L | 0.35 |
| 11:09 | H | 5.38 |
| 17:39 | L | 0.57 |
| 23:52 | H | 4.3 |
At least enough for a longboard. Light wind for the early AM session. Wind turns out of the south for the PM.
Most size late day.
Friday 10/2
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 175 | 3.1 | 5.2 | 3.8 | SW | 10.6 | -2.3 |
| 08:00 | 175 | 3.1 | 5.3 | 4.1 | SW | 10 | -0.8 |
| 10:00 | 175 | 3.1 | 5.3 | 4.2 | SW | 10.6 | 1.4 |
| 12:00 | 175 | 3.1 | 5.3 | 4.4 | SSW | 11 | 2.2 |
| 14:00 | 175 | 3.2 | 5.3 | 4.8 | SSW | 12.3 | 1 |
| 16:00 | 175 | 3.3 | 5.4 | 5.4 | SSW | 12.4 | -0.6 |
| 18:00 | 175 | 3.3 | 5.4 | 5.7 | SSW | 11.4 | -2.1 |
Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | Angle 3 | Swell 3 | Period 3 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 109.7 | 1.2 | 8.4 | 127.5 | 0.8 | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 189.1 | 2.3 | 4.6 |
| 14:00 | 111.2 | 1.1 | 8.3 | 126.2 | 0.8 | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 185.8 | 2.5 | 5.1 |
| 20:00 | 182.5 | 2.6 | 5.3 | 109.5 | 1 | 8.2 | 124.6 | 0.9 | 11.5 | 302.5 | 0.8 | 2.6 |
Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | Angle 3 | Swell 3 | Period 3 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 97.3 | 1.4 | 8.4 | 113.4 | 1 | 11.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 195.5 | 2.5 | 4.6 |
| 14:00 | 98.9 | 1.3 | 8.3 | 111.3 | 1 | 11.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 192.4 | 3 | 5.1 |
| 20:00 | 188.9 | 2.5 | 5.2 | 110.6 | 1.1 | 11.5 | 100.4 | 1.1 | 8.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 05:32 | L | 0.6 |
| 12:13 | H | 5.21 |
| 18:47 | L | 0.77 |
Possibly enough of a swell mix to take a look. Wind looks decent, but it’s a little early to call. Most size late day.
Note: Most of the swell is headed away from us, to the northeast. Actual swell angle is more in the 185 degree range.
Saturday 10/3
Onshore wind with poor and small conditions.
Sunday 10/4
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 97.7 | 3.6 | 5.7 | 21.2 | ENE | 14 | -0.8 |
| 08:00 | 95 | 3.9 | 5.9 | 27.5 | E | 14 | -1.5 |
| 10:00 | 95 | 4.3 | 6.1 | 33 | E | 14 | -0.3 |
| 12:00 | 105 | 4.5 | 6.3 | 40 | E | 13 | 1.5 |
| 14:00 | 105 | 4.6 | 6.5 | 44.6 | E | 11 | 2.6 |
| 16:00 | 105 | 4.6 | 6.6 | 46.5 | ENE | 10 | 2.1 |
| 18:00 | 105 | 4.5 | 6.7 | 47.2 | ENE | 9 | 0.5 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 02:02 | H | 4.23 |
| 08:01 | L | 0.93 |
| 14:24 | H | 4.99 |
| 21:10 | L | 0.67 |
The GFS is catching up to the other major atmospheric models. This could be decently fun!
While this is short period, it’s square to our beaches. Closeouts will be an issue.
Onshore wind, but it backs off a bit in the evening. Worth a look with low expectations.
Note: Could overperform. Avoid the afternoon high tide. Find the right sandbar.
Monday 10/5
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 95 | 3.9 | 7 | 42.6 | N | 7 | 0.2 |
| 08:00 | 85 | 3.7 | 7.1 | 40.4 | NNW | 7.1 | -1.4 |
| 10:00 | 85 | 3.5 | 7.2 | 39.8 | NW | 8.2 | -1.5 |
| 12:00 | 85 | 3.4 | 7.3 | 38.9 | NW | 7.3 | 0.1 |
| 14:00 | 85 | 3.2 | 7.4 | 38 | NW | 5.8 | 1.8 |
| 16:00 | 85 | 3 | 7.6 | 37 | NW | 7 | 2.2 |
| 18:00 | 85 | 2.9 | 7.7 | 36.5 | NW | 9 | 0.8 |
Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 102.3 | 3 | 7.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 288.7 | 0.7 | 2 |
| 14:00 | 102.5 | 2.8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 300.4 | 1 | 2.8 |
| 20:00 | 100.1 | 2.3 | 7.9 | 178.6 | 0.3 | 6.1 | 329.2 | 3.4 | 4.2 |
Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 90.2 | 3.4 | 7.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 306.3 | 0.5 | 1.8 |
| 14:00 | 90.4 | 3.2 | 8 | 180.1 | 0.5 | 6 | 311 | 1 | 2.8 |
| 20:00 | 88.8 | 2.7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 339.7 | 3.2 | 4.3 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 03:07 | H | 4.35 |
| 09:15 | L | 0.82 |
| 15:30 | H | 4.97 |
| 22:09 | L | 0.44 |
Monday should have the best overall conditions with favorable wind and leftover waves. Surf fades through the day.
Notes: Closeouts will be an issue at many breaks.
Looking Ahead
Possible SE swell late next week. Too early to call.
The Tropics
Hurricane season isn’t over, but this year it looks to be. Record strong El Nino.
All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave
Current list of Surf Hazards Surf Hazards
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Buoys
NOAA New York Harbor Entrance Buoy