Monmouth County Surf Forecast

wave picture

Last Update: 10/23/2026 12:00

Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams

Forecast for 10/23 - 10/26

Poor conditions today (Friday) with strong northeast winds. Wind should back off some late day for mostly poor but technically doable conditions. Wave heights vary by region but somewhere in the stomach to chest high range on average.

Models are showing 3-4ft surf for Saturday. I think we see a bit less than that at around waist high for most of Monmouth County with wave getting signifcantly smaller as you get towards Sandy Hook. Wave heights for Ocean County should be substantially larger than Monmouth for Saturday.

Models show surf continuing into Sunday. Again, I have my doubts.

Watching next Tuesday/Wednesday for another swell. There’s some uncertainty on that at this point.

Friday 10/23

Time	Wave Direction	Swell Height	Period	Energy Percentile	Wind Direction	Wind Speed	Water Level
06:00	75	5.9	9.2	84.3	NNE	19.8	2.4
08:00	75	5.8	9.2	83.3	NNE	18.7	1.3
10:00	75	5.7	9.1	82	NNE	18.5	-0.6
12:00	75	5.6	8.9	80.5	NE	16.8	-1.4
14:00	75	5.3	8.7	76.3	NNE	12.9	-0.2
16:00	75	5	8.6	72.3	NNE	10.7	1.4
18:00	75	4.7	8.6	70.2	NE	10.7	2.2

Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy

Time	Angle 1	Swell 1	Period 1	WW Angle	Wind Wave	WW Period
08:00	96.6	1.8	9.2	58.3	4.3	5.3
14:00	0	0	0	80.9	4.1	8.7
20:00	89.2	3.2	9.5	0	0	0

Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy

Time	Angle 1	Swell 1	Period 1	WW Angle	Wind Wave	WW Period
08:00	0	0	0	58.1	5.9	6
14:00	0	0	0	67.3	5.6	8.9
20:00	74.9	4.7	9.2	0	0	0

Time	Tide	Height (ft)
05:32	H	4.78
11:41	L	0.55
17:50	H	4.78
23:54	L	0.17

Wind turns back out of the north as high pressure moves in. Unfortunately, poor conditions are likely. End of day shows lighter wind conditions

Saturday 10/24

Time	Wave Direction	Swell Height	Period	Energy Percentile	Wind Direction	Wind Speed	Water Level
06:00	75	3.8	10.2	74.8	NNE	7.8	2.4
08:00	75	3.7	10.1	73.7	NNE	9	1.6
10:00	75	3.6	10.2	72.8	NE	9	-0.3
12:00	75	3.4	10.2	70.8	NE	6.7	-2
14:00	75	3.2	10.2	67.3	E	1.1	-1.5
16:00	75	3	10.2	65.2	WSW	4	0.5
18:00	75	2.9	10.7	67.9	SW	6	1.9

Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy

Time	Angle 1	Swell 1	Period 1	Angle 2	Swell 2	Period 2
08:00	92.9	2.7	10.3	0	0	0
14:00	94.4	1.7	5.7	97.7	1.5	10.9
20:00	99.4	1.6	11.8	99.9	1.4	5.6

Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy

Time	Angle 1	Swell 1	Period 1	Angle 2	Swell 2	Period 2
08:00	79.6	3.8	10	0	0	0
14:00	80.9	3.3	10	0	0	0
20:00	82.1	2.8	10.8	86.7	1.1	12

Time	Tide	Height (ft)
06:14	H	5.18
12:28	L	0.25
18:34	H	4.91

The GFS model is suggesting some surf will hang around into Saturday. I’m doubting this at the moment. These number look fun but the wind isn’t expected to go offshore for perfect conditions. I’d expect mediocre but worthwhile surf if this holds, but I have my qualms.

Notes: Don’t count on it. Avoid the high tide in the AM.

Best board: daily driver or groveler

Sunday 10/25

Time	Wave Direction	Swell Height	Period	Energy Percentile	Wind Direction	Wind Speed	Water Level
06:00	85	2.9	11.8	78.4	NW	9.6	2.1
08:00	85.1	2.9	11.9	79.1	NW	10	1.9
10:00	85	2.9	12	79.3	NW	9.4	-0.2
12:00	85	2.8	12.1	78.9	NNW	8.5	-2.4
14:00	85	2.8	12.1	78.2	NNW	7	-2.7
16:00	85	2.7	12.1	77.3	SSW	6.9	-1
18:00	85	2.6	12.1	75.9	S	6.9	1.1

Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy

Time	Angle 1	Swell 1	Period 1	WW Angle	Wind Wave	WW Period
08:00	102.2	2	12.4	292.4	0.8	2.2
14:00	103	2	12.5	0	0	0
20:00	107.3	1.8	12.4	0	0	0

Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy

Time	Angle 1	Swell 1	Period 1	Angle 2	Swell 2	Period 2
08:00	83.2	2.9	11.8	0	0	0
14:00	85.3	2.7	12.3	0	0	0
20:00	88.3	2.5	12.1	134	0.9	5

Time	Tide	Height (ft)
00:36	L	0.01
06:54	H	5.54
13:16	L	0.02
19:17	H	4.97

I would have low expectations for Sunday.

Monday 10/26

Time	Wave Direction	Swell Height	Period	Energy Percentile	Wind Direction	Wind Speed	Water Level
06:00	85.1	2.5	11.2	67.7	W	10.5	1.5
08:00	85.1	2.5	11.1	66.6	W	11	2.4
10:00	85	2.5	10.9	65.6	W	11.1	0.8
12:00	85	2.5	10.8	64	W	10	-1.6
14:00	85	2.5	10.7	61.8	W	8	-2.9
16:00	85	2.5	10.5	59.7	WSW	8	-1.5
18:00	135	2.5	10.1	56.1	WSW	8	0.7

Time	Tide	Height (ft)
01:19	L	-0.1
07:34	H	5.79
14:05	L	-0.14
20:02	H	4.94

Not sure where the models are getting this?

Tuesday 10/27

Time	Wave Direction	Swell Height	Period	Energy Percentile	Wind Direction	Wind Speed	Water Level
06:00	135	4.2	11.2	85.9	N	15.8	1.2
08:00	125.2	4.6	11.1	89	N	15.8	2.8
10:00	125	4.8	11	89.1	NNE	15.8	1.8
12:00	125	4.8	10.8	88.8	NNE	14.5	-0.6
14:00	125	4.7	10.6	86.8	NNE	12.1	-2.5
16:00	125	4.4	10.2	83.1	NE	10	-2.1
18:00	125	4.3	10	80	NE	9	0

Time	Tide	Height (ft)
02:04	L	-0.14
08:17	H	5.89
14:54	L	-0.2
20:49	H	4.82

Possible swell around this time. Lots of uncertainty.

Wednesday 10/28

Time	Wave Direction	Swell Height	Period	Energy Percentile	Wind Direction	Wind Speed	Water Level
06:00	115	4.4	9	73.5	ENE	11.8	0.5
08:00	105	4.4	8.9	72.9	ENE	11	2.8
10:00	105	4.3	8.8	71.4	ENE	10	2.7
12:00	105	4.1	8.8	69.3	ENE	9	0.4
14:00	105	3.9	8.8	66.9	ENE	8	-1.8
16:00	105	3.8	8.7	64.5	E	7	-2.4
18:00	105	3.6	8.7	62	E	7	-0.9

Time	Tide	Height (ft)
02:51	L	-0.11
09:05	H	5.84
15:43	L	-0.14
21:41	H	4.64

Possible ESE swell. Variation in model outputs right now. Check back later.

The Tropics

All is quiet as of 10/23 after our Nor’easter went extratropical. There is a chance of a tropical storm forming in the Caribbean/East of Florida during the last week of October according to the 10/20 update of the Global Tropics Hazard Outlook.

All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave

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