Monmouth County Surf Forecast
Last Update: 10/11/2026 12:45
Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams
Forecast for 10/7 - 10/14
Essentially flat through the weekend.
Watching early week for a fun south swell from remnants of Hurricane Isaias (~10/12). Likely best in NY.
Another south swell is possible late week into the weekend (~10/17)
Monday 10/12
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 145 | 8 | 8.7 | 88.1 | NNE | 18 | 1.3 |
| 08:00 | 145 | 7.9 | 8.7 | 87.6 | NNE | 17.4 | 3.1 |
| 10:00 | 145 | 7.7 | 8.6 | 86.4 | NNE | 17.2 | 2.7 |
| 12:00 | 155 | 7.2 | 8.3 | 79.5 | N | 14.9 | 0.4 |
| 14:00 | 155 | 6.5 | 8.1 | 73.3 | N | 11.4 | -1.3 |
| 16:00 | 137 | 5.9 | 8 | 72.7 | NNW | 7.3 | -1.5 |
| 18:00 | 135.6 | 5.4 | 7.9 | 68.1 | NW | 4.8 | -0.1 |
Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 154.8 | 5.4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 73.2 | 5.2 | 6.3 |
| 14:00 | 155.2 | 4.3 | 8.6 | 79.1 | 3.9 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20:00 | 158.7 | 3.5 | 8.1 | 90.6 | 2.8 | 6.8 | 323.7 | 1.1 | 2.6 |
Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 150.4 | 5.8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 54.1 | 6.3 | 6.1 |
| 14:00 | 151.3 | 4.3 | 8.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 51.4 | 5.2 | 6.6 |
| 20:00 | 157.4 | 3.6 | 8 | 67.1 | 3.6 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 02:33 | L | 0.2 |
| 08:50 | H | 5.48 |
| 15:07 | L | 0.2 |
| 21:09 | H | 4.63 |
It’s a small window, but end of day tomorrow should be fun for Monmouth County. Better conditions for south NJ. Anyone trying to make the most of it will probably want to be taking a road trip south.
Solid surf in the water to start the day with poor conditions and cross-shore winds. Head south.
Wind should turn cross-offshore around 2pm or so and conditions should improve through end of day/last light. Last light will likely be the actual best of this swell for our region.
Personally, the combined swell numbers seem a little high to me based on the buoy breakdowns. I’d expect chest+ with occasional head high waves with exceellent shape and moderate power. This is still a fairly short period swell all things considered, but the swell angle is quite nice.
Notes: Watch the wind forecast carefully but end of day is likely best. Closeouts will be fairly common. Current may be a factor. Beginners should use caution.
Best board: pretty much anything will work.
Tuesday 10/13
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 185 | 3.4 | 7.3 | 18.1 | N | 3.9 | -0 |
| 08:00 | 185 | 3.2 | 7.2 | 14.8 | NE | 3 | 1.9 |
| 10:00 | 85 | 2.9 | 7.1 | 30 | SE | 4.9 | 2.5 |
| 12:00 | 85 | 2.8 | 7.1 | 26.3 | S | 7 | 0.8 |
| 14:00 | 85 | 2.6 | 7 | 23.2 | S | 9.6 | -0.9 |
| 16:00 | 85 | 2.5 | 6.9 | 20.7 | S | 11.7 | -1.6 |
| 18:00 | 85 | 2.5 | 6.9 | 20.8 | SSW | 12.4 | -0.4 |
Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 161 | 2.2 | 7.5 | 89.8 | 1.6 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14:00 | 95.2 | 1.5 | 6.4 | 128.2 | 0.2 | 11.1 | 165.3 | 1.9 | 7.3 |
| 20:00 | 97.8 | 1.3 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188.3 | 3.4 | 4.4 |
Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | Angle 3 | Swell 3 | Period 3 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 76.7 | 2.2 | 6.6 | 159.5 | 2 | 7.4 | 111.9 | 0.2 | 11.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14:00 | 81.4 | 1.9 | 6.6 | 113.7 | 0.2 | 11.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 170.2 | 1.8 | 7.2 |
| 20:00 | 85.7 | 1.7 | 6.6 | 116.1 | 0.2 | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 189.1 | 2.8 | 3.9 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 03:10 | L | 0.41 |
| 09:28 | H | 5.28 |
| 15:46 | L | 0.38 |
| 21:51 | H | 4.35 |
Surf fades pretty significantly into Tuesday. Get on it early and before the high tide.
Mid-Week
Looks bad/flat.
10/16
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 85.2 | 3 | 5.1 | 8.3 | SE | 11.1 | -0.8 |
| 08:00 | 95 | 3.4 | 5.4 | 15.2 | SE | 13 | 0.6 |
| 10:00 | 105 | 3.9 | 5.7 | 25.2 | SSE | 14.9 | 2.1 |
| 12:00 | 115 | 4.6 | 6 | 36.2 | SSE | 16 | 2.2 |
| 14:00 | 125 | 5 | 6.4 | 45.6 | S | 16.3 | 1 |
| 16:00 | 125 | 5.2 | 6.6 | 50.6 | SSW | 17.3 | 0.1 |
| 18:00 | 125 | 5.3 | 6.7 | 52.2 | SW | 17.3 | -0.7 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 04:56 | L | 1.2 |
| 11:42 | H | 4.52 |
| 17:53 | L | 1.11 |
Some uncertainty, but worth a watch. Saturday may end up being better, but it’s hard to call this far out.
This will be a very short lived swell event once the wind switch happens.
The Tropics
Hurricane Isaias has formed in the gulf and is now expected to be a major hurricane. It’s expected to track north through the panhandle/Alabama with significant impacts to that region expected. It will then continue north through TN and KY before turning ENE around Ohio and eventually exiting over our region.
Expect an inch+ of rain from this system for our region. Wind won’t be too much of an issue, but coastal flooding is likely with the expected high tide values.
All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave
Current list of Surf Hazards Surf Hazards
Why Energy Percentile? Energy Article
Helpful Links
Buoys
NOAA New York Harbor Entrance Buoy