wave picture

Last Update: 11/5/2026 14:00

Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams


Forecast for 11/2 - 11/7

Watching late Friday/Saturday for a fun SE swell with clean conditions.

Maybe something next weekend (~11/14)

Thursday 11/5

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 175 2.8 8 22 SSW 11.4 0.8
08:00 174.4 3 8.2 27.3 SSW 12 -1
10:00 175 3.2 8.5 33.7 SSW 14 -2.3
12:00 175 3.5 8.6 38 SSW 15.1 -1.2
14:00 175 3.8 8.4 40.6 S 16.1 0.9
16:00 175 3.9 5.3 8 SSW 15.9 1.9
18:00 175 4 5.5 9.8 SSW 15.2 0.9

Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy

Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
07:00 140.6 1.3 8.3 169.8 2.7 4.9
13:00 0 0 0 172.1 4.2 4.9
19:00 138.6 1.6 8.3 181.8 4.7 5.4
Time Tide Height (ft)
03:50 H 4.94
09:59 L 0.4
16:07 H 4.63
22:19 L 0.06

SE swell starts to fill in. Moderate to strong sideshore wind is expected for poor conditions. Mostly wind waves at this point.

Friday 11/6

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 145 4 6.5 31.7 SSW 9.8 1.7
08:00 145 3.9 6.6 31.8 WNW 8.5 -0.1
10:00 145 3.9 6.7 32.2 SSW 8.3 -1.8
12:00 145 3.9 6.7 32.7 SSW 7.6 -1.8
14:00 145 3.9 6.8 33.6 SSW 7.1 0.2
16:00 144.9 3.9 6.8 34.6 SSW 6 1.7
18:00 145 4 7 37.4 SW 4.8 1.6

Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy

Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
07:00 0 0 0 167.8 4.4 6.3
13:00 170.6 5.4 6.4 0 0 0
19:00 160.3 4.3 6.7 0 0 0

Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy

Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
07:00 132.4 1.9 8.3 91.8 0.3 11.1 173.8 4.2 6.2
13:00 87.6 0.3 10.8 93 0.3 10.8 176.9 6 6.1
19:00 159 4.6 6.7 86.1 0.3 10.3 0 0 0
Time Tide Height (ft)
04:41 H 5.17
10:48 L 0.24
16:58 H 4.63
23:01 L 0.05

Plenty of fun wind swell expected but the wind is going to be a factor.

Wave heights will be in the chest high range give or take.

Notes: Probably worth going.

Best board: something that handles choppy waves

Saturday 11/7

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 145 3.8 7 36.5 WNW 8.6 2.6
08:00 135.2 3.8 7 38.6 WNW 8.8 0.9
10:00 135 3.8 6.9 37.2 WNW 9.8 -1.2
12:00 135 3.7 6.9 35.9 WNW 9.1 -2.2
14:00 135 3.7 6.9 35.9 W 10.1 -0.7
16:00 135 3.7 8.8 61.1 W 13.4 1.2
18:00 135 3.9 8.8 63.9 W 14.9 2

Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy

Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
07:00 153.4 3.1 6.8 140.6 1.6 9.3 355.8 0.5 1.8
13:00 156.1 2.8 6.7 138.2 2 9.2 0 0 0
19:00 144.8 3.1 9.1 0 0 0 257.9 3 4

Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy

Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
07:00 154 3.4 6.8 131.6 1.8 9.5 323.2 0.6 2
13:00 171.8 2.8 6.1 130.8 2.5 9.4 275.3 1 2.3
19:00 139.7 3.2 9.1 0 0 0 256.6 3.5 4.2
Time Tide Height (ft)
05:25 H 5.34
11:34 L 0.14
17:42 H 4.61
23:42 L 0.1

Fun swell likely with offshore wind expected. This will be the best day of the week/swell.

We’re looking at a fun, user friendly swell that should be good at most spots assuming our sand wants to cooperate after the past few strong storms we’ve had.

Offshore wind picks up in the afternoon, but never gets too strong. Wave heights should stay roughly the same all day.

Notes: Looks really good!. Water temp has dropped some since the last round of surf. Avoid the AM high tide.

Best board: daily driver/everything will work

Sunday 11/8

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 135 4.2 8.5 63.3 WNW 17.2 2.6
08:00 135 4.1 8.5 62.5 WNW 17 1.5
10:00 135 4 8.6 61.2 WNW 16 -0.6
12:00 125 3.8 8.6 61.8 WNW 15 -2.2
14:00 125 3.7 8.7 60.4 WNW 14.2 -1.6
16:00 125 3.6 8.7 59.7 WNW 14.1 0.3
18:00 125 3.5 8.7 58.8 WNW 13 1.7

Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy

Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
07:00 133 2.3 8.6 227.7 1.4 5.4 306.6 3.4 4.3
13:00 131 1.9 8.7 219.4 0.4 5.7 313.3 4 4.6
19:00 129.9 1.8 9 0 0 0 311.3 3.3 4.3

Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy

Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
07:00 126.4 2.3 8.8 230.7 1.5 5.5 314.7 3.9 4.6
13:00 123.6 2.1 8.9 220.5 0.2 5.6 327.1 4.2 4.9
19:00 121.1 2 9.2 0 0 0 317.2 3.1 4.3
Time Tide Height (ft)
06:05 H 5.43
12:19 L 0.09
18:24 H 4.54

Waves are going to fade quickly once that west wind picks up late on Saturday. I’d have low expectations for Sunday at this time.

Notes: Size is expected to fade quickly.

Best Board: Longboard or maybe a groveler.

Monday 11/9

Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy

Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
07:00 129.4 1.6 8.9 0 0 0 272.2 3.1 4
13:00 129.1 1.3 8.8 132.2 0.8 11.4 300.6 3.6 4.3
19:00 130.2 1.5 11.5 222 0.4 5.1 308.9 2.6 3.9

Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy

Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 Angle 3 Swell 3 Period 3 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
07:00 120.2 1.6 9 120.5 0.9 11.6 55.4 0.2 7.8 273.2 3.1 4
13:00 232.3 1.3 4.8 121.4 1.3 8.8 118.3 1.2 11.1 316.2 2.9 4
19:00 119.9 1.7 11.6 227.6 0.6 5 0 0 0 331.7 2 4.2
Time Tide Height (ft)
00:22 L 0.2
06:43 H 5.41
13:02 L 0.09
19:04 H 4.42

Overall wave heights are going to give a false impression of wave heights for Monday.

Best board: longboard

Tuesday - Friday

Flat

Looking Ahead

Another swell possible late week into the weekend. Too far out right now.


All data sourced from NOAA NWPS/GFS Wave and NOAA Tides and Currents


Current list of Surf Hazards Surf Hazards


Why Energy Percentile? Energy Article


Seasonal Sandbar Formation

NOAA Atlantic Analysis

Buoys

NOAA New York Harbor Entrance Buoy

Barnegat NJ Buoy

Bacteria Analysis

Surfrider Foundation Blue Water Task Force

Sometimes I get something weird with that link, but it’s correct.

NJ DEP Beach Monitoring Program (Summer Only)

Both of the above are interactive maps.

Hurricane Analysis

NHS 7 Day Outlook

NHS Tropical Hazards Outlook

Teleconnections

NAO

ENSO Diagnostic Discussion