Monmouth County Surf Forecast
Last Update: 5/5/2026 11:30
Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams
Week of 5/3 - 5/10
Sunday, 5/3, really underperformed. We should have seen more south swell according to model output, but at least the rest of the week looks interesting.
We have a pretty active week, with several low pressure systems expected to pass through with sustained south winds through mid-week. Currently, I’m watching Wednesday for swell and Thursday for a wind switch with possible leftovers on Friday. High presure behind that frontal passage may end up affecting the resulting winds which would mean a north wind switch rather than offshore. That said, given the swell direction, this isn’t the worst thing that could happen.
High pressure is expected to return for early next weekend, but we could see a little south swell at that time. That would be weak and steep angled, but it may be enough for a longboard.
Stronger high pressure moves in with offshore flow to start the following week, but sets up another potential south swell as a cutoff low moves east over Tennessee.
Way better than I expected given how some of the long range models were looking a few weeks ago!
Early Week
Strong south wind from high pressure and two passing low pressure systems. There’s some uncertainty about the track of these low pressure systems and the timing of the swell. Either way, expect some south wind swell in the 8 second range for mid-late next week.
Thursday 5/7
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 155 | 4.3 | 7.2 | 41.5 | NW | 10 | -1.6 |
| 08:00 | 155 | 4.2 | 7.2 | 39.5 | NW | 9.2 | -1 |
| 10:00 | 155 | 4 | 7.2 | 36.9 | NNW | 8 | -0 |
| 12:00 | 155 | 3.8 | 7.1 | 34.1 | NNW | 6 | 0.3 |
| 14:00 | 165 | 3.6 | 7.1 | 27.1 | NW | 5.8 | -0.2 |
| 16:00 | 165 | 3.5 | 7 | 24 | WSW | 6.8 | -0.9 |
| 18:00 | 165 | 3.3 | 6.9 | 20.7 | SW | 7 | -1.3 |
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 161.5 | 3.8 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 313.7 | 1.2 | 3 |
| 14:00 | 160.6 | 3.2 | 6.9 | 303.8 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 163.9 | 2.9 | 6.5 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 05:33 | L | 0.73 |
| 12:01 | H | 3.61 |
| 17:18 | L | 1.25 |
Fun, short-period, south swell expected for Thursday with mostly decent conditions expected at this time. Convenient low tide timing for the AM session. Really nice swell angle on this one.
Breaking wave heights should be in the stomach+ range with chest high sets at better spots. New York will end up seeing the most size locally and best conditions (closeouts though). Keep that in mind.
Notes: Looks really fun for our area and sandbars.
Best board: Small wave performance board
Friday 5/8
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 175 | 2.6 | 6.4 | 7.6 | NW | 9.4 | -1.3 |
| 08:00 | 175 | 2.6 | 6.4 | 7.1 | WNW | 8.9 | -1.2 |
| 10:00 | 175 | 2.6 | 6.3 | 6.7 | WNW | 8 | -0.3 |
| 12:00 | 175 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 7.4 | W | 8 | 0.5 |
| 14:00 | 175 | 2.6 | 8 | 18.2 | SW | 8.1 | 0.3 |
| 16:00 | 175 | 2.6 | 8 | 19 | SW | 9.1 | -0.4 |
| 18:00 | 175 | 2.7 | 8 | 19.9 | SW | 9.3 | -1.1 |
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | Angle 3 | Swell 3 | Period 3 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 164.3 | 1.8 | 6.3 | 124.1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 315.9 | 1.7 | 3.4 |
| 14:00 | 123.6 | 1.4 | 8.9 | 306.4 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176.5 | 1.5 | 6.2 |
| 20:00 | 118.8 | 1.2 | 8.2 | 177 | 0.9 | 6.8 | 122 | 0.5 | 11 | 175.4 | 2.6 | 4.5 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | H | 4.26 |
| 06:21 | L | 0.85 |
| 12:51 | H | 3.63 |
| 18:12 | L | 1.38 |
More recent model runs are looking pretty pessimistic about leftovers for Friday. I’d make the most of Thursday.
If this trend holds, I’d expect shin to waist high waves at most. Get on it early and bring a big board.
Notes: Don’t count on it.
Best board: Longboard
Saturday 5/9
| Time | Wave Direction | Swell Height | Period | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Water Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 185 | 2.2 | 8.1 | 11.7 | SSW | 7 | -0.9 |
| 08:00 | 185 | 2.3 | 8.6 | 16.3 | SSW | 9 | -1.4 |
| 10:00 | 175 | 2.6 | 8.8 | 25.8 | SSW | 12 | -0.6 |
| 12:00 | 175 | 3.1 | 8.8 | 34.1 | S | 15 | 0.4 |
| 14:00 | 175 | 3.5 | 4.3 | 1.8 | S | 16 | 1 |
| 16:00 | 175 | 3.7 | 4.8 | 3.8 | S | 16 | 0.3 |
| 18:00 | 175 | 3.7 | 5 | 5 | SSW | 14.8 | -1 |
| Time | Angle 1 | Swell 1 | Period 1 | Angle 2 | Swell 2 | Period 2 | Angle 3 | Swell 3 | Period 3 | WW Angle | Wind Wave | WW Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 112.5 | 1.3 | 9.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 183.9 | 6.1 | 6 |
| 14:00 | 111.8 | 1.3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 184.1 | 5.3 | 6.4 |
| 20:00 | 172.4 | 3.5 | 6 | 110.9 | 1.2 | 8.9 | 132.2 | 0.2 | 13.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 00:51 | H | 4.2 |
| 07:19 | L | 0.89 |
| 13:39 | H | 3.75 |
| 19:27 | L | 1.41 |
South wind should kick up a little wind swell late day. It won’t be good by any means (only here because it’s the weekend). At the right spot, it may be doable on a longboard.
Sunday 5/10
Maybe enough for a longboard with clean conditions in the early AM. Wind turns strong south in the afternoon.
best board: longboard
Monday 5/11
Worth a look early AM on Monday from Sunday’s southerly wind switch. Nothing great.
Best board: longboard
Looking Ahead
Watching next Thursday/Friday for a potentially fun but short lived south swell and potentially the weekend as well. Too far out.
All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave
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Buoys
NOAA New York Harbor Entrance Buoy