Monmouth County Surf Forecast

wave picture

Last Update: 10/26/2026 11:00

Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams

Forecast for 10/26 - 10/31

Watching Wednesday mid-afternoon for decent/fun conditions. Tuesday evening is worth a look, but choppy conditions are expected from northeast wind.

The rest of the week looks slow as high pressure dominates the local weather pattern.

Early-mid next week looks interesting with another round of solid surf possible.

Monday 10/26

Time	Wave Direction	Swell Height	Period	Energy Percentile	Wind Direction	Wind Speed	Water Level
06:00	85.1	2.5	11.2	67.7	W	10.5	1.5
08:00	85.1	2.5	11.1	66.6	W	11	2.4
10:00	85	2.5	10.9	65.6	W	11.1	0.8
12:00	85	2.5	10.8	64	W	10	-1.6
14:00	85	2.5	10.7	61.8	W	8	-2.9
16:00	85	2.5	10.5	59.7	WSW	8	-1.5
18:00	135	2.5	10.1	56.1	WSW	8	0.7

Time	Tide	Height (ft)
01:19	L	-0.1
07:34	H	5.79
14:05	L	-0.14
20:02	H	4.94

Looking about shin high. Enough for a longboard if you’re into that. Beautiful weather though.

Tuesday 10/27

Time	Wave Direction	Swell Height	Period	Energy Percentile	Wind Direction	Wind Speed	Water Level
06:00	135	3.1	8.9	52.2	NNE	14	1.1
08:00	135	3.3	9.1	57.6	NNE	14	2.8
10:00	132.4	3.5	9.3	64.4	NNE	13.9	1.8
12:00	125	3.6	9.6	69.4	NNE	12.1	-0.8
14:00	125	3.4	9.7	68.1	NE	9.9	-2.7
16:00	125	3.3	9.6	65.6	NE	8	-2.2
18:00	125	3.1	9.3	59.6	ENE	6.9	-0.1

Time	Tide	Height (ft)
02:04	L	-0.14
08:17	H	5.89
14:54	L	-0.2
20:49	H	4.82

Maybe worth a look end of day but the wind doesn’t look great. Looking at possible waist+ surf.

Notes: Favorable swell direction but the wind is far from ideal.

Wednesday 10/28

Time	Wave Direction	Swell Height	Period	Energy Percentile	Wind Direction	Wind Speed	Water Level
06:00	115	2.8	8.7	49.1	ENE	5	0.4
08:00	115	2.9	8.7	49.4	ENE	5.4	2.6
10:00	115	2.8	8.7	48.3	ENE	5.6	2.5
12:00	115	2.7	8.6	46	ENE	5	0.3
14:00	115	2.6	8.4	41.4	E	4	-1.9
16:00	115	2.5	8.3	38	ESE	4.7	-2.6
18:00	115	2.4	8.2	35.3	SE	4.7	-1.1

Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy

Time	Angle 1	Swell 1	Period 1	WW Angle	Wind Wave	WW Period
08:00	111.9	2.4	8.9	53	0.6	2
14:00	112.9	2.2	8.6	0	0	0
20:00	115.9	2	8.4	0	0	0

Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy

Time	Angle 1	Swell 1	Period 1
08:00	97.8	2.9	8.8
14:00	100.2	2.6	8.5
20:00	105.1	2.3	8.3

Time	Tide	Height (ft)
02:51	L	-0.11
09:05	H	5.84
15:43	L	-0.14
21:41	H	4.64

If the wind were to work out, this would be a day of waist high waves with good shape. Overall, I’d expect relatively mediocre conditions. The AM high tide swamps most breaks given the amount of swell. It shouldn’t fade too fast for a mid-afternoon session.

Wind should be very light onshore for some textured but doable conditions. It’s possible we see mostly glassy conditions (hopefully!)

Overall, this is likely the best day of the work week.

Notes: Favorable swell direction and period for our sandbars. Avoid the deep AM high tide.

Best board: groveler

Thursday 10/29 - Sunday 11/1 (Halloween Weekend)

Back to back high pressure moves thorugh with little in the way of surf.

Mostly settled weather with cool mornings and seasonally warm afternoon conditions. Looks like a nice weekend for the holiday!

Looking Ahead

We see a shift in the pattern for the early-mid week period following 11/1. High pressure moves off the coast and a strong low located north of the Great Lakes is expected to move through. This could set up a fun south swell for our region with a favorable wind switch behind it. I’m still seeing a lot of variation in the model outputs but that time period looks active.

Watch 11/2 - 11/5 for that swell event.

Further out, we could see another Nor’easter around the following weekend. More info on that if it materializes.

I would say that the active pattern we have been seeing should continue through the next couple of weeks!

The Tropics

All is quiet as of 10/23 after our Nor’easter went extratropical. There is a chance of a tropical storm forming in the Caribbean/East of Florida during the last week of October according to the 10/20 update of the Global Tropics Hazard Outlook.

All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave

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