wave picture

Last Update: 6/16/2026 09:30

Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams


Forecast for the Week of 6/14 - 6/21

Late week (Friday most likely but maybe Thurs. PM) for actual swell.

Early next week (6/22 or 6/23) also looks interesting but it’s too early to call.

Sunday 6/14

Flat with wind waves end of day. Poor conditions from strong south wind.

Monday 6/15

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 175 3 5.6 5 WNW 12.2 1
08:00 175 2.9 5.6 4.7 NW 14 1.8
10:00 175 3 5.6 5.3 NW 12.3 0.3
12:00 175 2.9 5.7 4.9 NW 8.9 -1.5
14:00 175 2.7 5.8 5.1 WNW 6.1 -2.6
16:00 175 2.7 6 6.1 W 6.9 -1.1
18:00 175 2.8 6.6 10.6 W 8 1.8

Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy

Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
08:00 171.2 2.3 5.3 113.1 0.6 8.1 317.7 2.1 3.4
14:00 167.5 2.2 5.5 106.9 0.5 8.3 313.2 1.1 3.1
20:00 167.7 2.7 6.5 0 0 0 285.5 0.9 2.8

Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy

Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 Angle 3 Swell 3 Period 3 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
08:00 171.4 2.5 5.3 97.1 0.6 8.2 0 0 0 306.1 1.4 2.8
14:00 169.4 2.5 5.7 358.6 1.3 3.7 95.3 0.6 8.3 0 0 0
20:00 164.8 2.7 6.4 3.5 0.5 3.1 10.5 0.4 3 0 0 0
Time Tide Height (ft)
02:01 L -0.42
08:00 H 4.78
13:56 L -0.19
20:16 H 6.06

While the tables above aren’t exciting, this could overperform. This may end up being better end of day as things organize and the period numbers bump up a bit. I’d check a camera at after the PM low tide somewhere in Ocean County if looking to surf.

Notes: If the model forecast holds, expect a little better than flat. If it overperforms, thigh-waist longboard waves are possible.

Best board: longboard

Tuesday 6/16

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 185 2.9 7 11.2 NNW 10.7 -0.2
08:00 185 2.9 6.9 10.2 NW 9.2 1.7
10:00 185 2.7 6.9 8.5 NW 6.7 1.1
12:00 185 2.5 6.8 6.8 W 3.9 -0.9
14:00 185 2.3 6.9 5.6 S 7.6 -2.4
16:00 185 2.1 6.9 4.7 S 12 -2.1
18:00 185 2.3 6.9 5.4 S 14.7 0.6
Time Tide Height (ft)
02:54 L -0.52
08:56 H 4.83
14:52 L -0.16
21:11 H 5.92

Came in over forecast. Avoid the AM high tide. Enough for a longboard.

Wind turns cross shore in the afternoon.

Notes: Annoying tide swing today.

Best board: longboard

Wedndesday 6/17

Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
08:00 155.1 1.6 6.7 131.9 0.2 16 171 1.4 4.2
14:00 132.1 0.2 15.9 0 0 0 158.7 2.4 6.7
20:00 131.4 0.2 15.4 0 0 0 160.9 3.3 6.9
Time Tide Height (ft)
03:45 L -0.53
09:53 H 4.84
15:46 L -0.04
22:07 H 5.68

Flat - knee with some tiny long period mixing in. Might be better than expected, but those expectations are quite low.

Thursday 6/18

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 155 3.1 6.4 16.7 S 13.8 -1.5
08:00 155 3.6 6.4 21.8 S 16.4 0.5
10:00 155 4.2 6.3 26.9 S 18.5 1.9
12:00 155 4.8 6.2 31.8 S 20.4 1
14:00 162.2 5.5 6.2 35.2 SSW 21.4 -0.7
16:00 165 5.8 6.6 42.3 SSW 20.8 -2.1
18:00 172.2 5.8 6.7 40.6 SW 19.6 -1.7
Time Tide Height (ft)
04:35 L -0.43
10:52 H 4.83
16:39 L 0.17
23:04 H 5.39

New south swell arrives with strong south winds expected. Choppy conditions for most or all of the day with a cleanup occurring overnight.

Notes: Keep an eye on the wind forecast for late day. It’s possible the wind switch happens late on Thursday.

Best board: daily driver

Friday 6/19

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 175 3.8 7.1 25.6 W 10 -2.5
08:00 175 3.6 7.2 23.8 W 9 -0.9
10:00 175 3.6 7.3 24.9 W 9 1.1
12:00 175 3.7 7.6 29.2 WSW 9.8 1.4
14:00 175 3.8 7.7 31.3 WSW 10.8 -0
16:00 175 3.7 7.5 28.4 WSW 11 -1.6
18:00 182.4 3.5 7.4 21.1 WSW 11 -2.3

Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy

Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
08:00 168.7 3.3 7.1 130.8 0.3 14.1 284.8 1.5 3.3
14:00 174.5 3.4 7.8 130.6 0.3 13.7 0 0 0
20:00 175.1 3.5 7.3 129.1 0.3 13.5 267.2 1.6 3.2

Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy

Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
08:00 169.6 3.4 7.1 115.6 0.4 14.1 302 1.1 2.8
14:00 115.8 0.4 13.7 115.2 0.4 13.8 178.8 4 7.7
20:00 181.7 3.7 7.1 115.2 0.4 13.5 0 0 0
Time Tide Height (ft)
05:24 L -0.25
11:50 H 4.82
17:34 L 0.45

Best day of the week all things considered. Clean conditions are expected all day with light to moderate offshore winds.

Breaking waves should be in the waist-chest range depending on location with Ocean County showing larger. These numbers are likely to move around a little bit, but at this point I’m pretty confident in saying we’ll see a fun day of surf on Friday.

Swell direction is pretty ideal for our sandbars with most breaks having good shape.

Notes: Fun day of surf. I could see this fading a bit faster than model forecast. Get on it early.

Best board: groveler or daily driver

Saturday 6/20

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 185 2.9 6.9 10.3 WNW 10 -2.6
08:00 185 2.9 6.8 9.3 WNW 11 -1.8
10:00 185 2.9 6.7 8.5 WNW 10 0.1
12:00 185 2.8 6.6 7.7 WNW 10 1.3
14:00 185 2.8 6.6 7.3 W 10.7 0.5
16:00 185 2.7 6.6 7.2 WNW 11.7 -0.9
18:00 185 2.8 6.6 7.3 WNW 12.1 -2.2
Time Tide Height (ft)
00:01 H 5.08
06:16 L -0.01
12:45 H 4.83
18:33 L 0.71

Likely some small leftovers for the longboards and beginners. Make the most of Thursday/Friday.

Sunday 6/21

Flat - knee longboard waves are possible. Low expectations and really just for the absolute beginner.


Looking Ahead

Early next week is interesting. Models aren’t in agreeement, but waves aren’t unlikely around that time period. Check back later.


All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave


Current list of Surf Hazards Surf Hazards


Why Energy Percentile? Energy Article


NOAA Atlantic Analysis

Buoys

NOAA New York Harbor Entrance Buoy

Barnegat NJ Buoy

Hurricane Analysis

NHS 7 Day Outlook

NHS Tropical Hazards Outlook

Teleconnections

NAO

ENSO Diagnostic Discussion