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Last Update: 2/14/2026 07:30 (Next update will likely be 2/15)

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This week is looking slow, read my forecast note here

Week of 2/08 - 2/15

Nothing for the remainder of the week. Next week is looking better.

Week of 2/15 - 2/22

We have a weak coastal low that’s expected to generate some swell but shouldn’t do much in the way of precipitation, etc. We should start to see something from this around Monday 2/16. High pressure moves in following the passage of that low pressure system before another low approaches mid-week. That setup isn’t looking too great but it’s possible we could see some small, steep south, short period waves. Another low pressure system looks to impact our area a few days later on 2/20 and should be a better swell producer if the forecast holds.

Monday 2/16

Time Swell Height Period Wave Direction Energy Percentile Wind Speed Wind Direction
07:00 6.5 6.3 83.8 64 27.2 NNE
10:00 7 6.9 80.8 74.2 24.8 NNE
13:00 7 7.8 90.8 83.4 20.6 NNE
16:00 6.9 8.9 108.4 89.9 14.4 N
19:00 6.6 9.6 113.7 92.2 8.7 NW
Time Tide Height (ft)
00:33 L -0.39
06:15 H 4.61
18:39 H 4

Wild swing overnight with the forecast models. This went from 2.7ft@5s to now close to 7ft@9s. The major atmoshperic models are in much closer agreement now, and I feel a little more confident in this forecast, though it could certainly change.

As of right now, the main thing to watch is whether wind shifts offshore before dark.

Notes: Large tide swing. Numbers could still move around a bit.

Tuesday 2/17

Time Swell Height Period Wave Direction Energy Percentile Wind Speed Wind Direction
07:00 4.6 10.1 97.5 86.3 10.4 WSW
10:00 4.3 10.1 96.7 85.2 11.3 SW
13:00 4 10.3 95.8 83.7 9.3 WSW
16:00 3.9 10.5 94.3 83.6 12.8 WNW
19:00 3.6 10.6 93.9 82.4 10.8 W
Time Tide Height (ft)
06:53 H 4.74
12:39 L -0.21
13:13 L -0.56
19:16 H 4.23

While we are still looking at a combo swell, most of the energy will be coming from roughly due east at around 4.3@10s. I’m not super pleased about that and we would have had better conditions when it was still in the shorter period range. That said, surf should be quite a bit punchier than earlier forecasts have suggested.

Breaking wave heights should be in the chest-head high range early and if this holds, will be in the stomach-chest range by evening.

Notes: Swell numbers could change. Large tide swing limits surfable window. Close outs will be an issue at most breaks again.

Best board: short board

Wednesday 2/18

Time Swell Height Period Wave Direction Energy Percentile Wind Speed Wind Direction
07:00 2.9 11.5 91.2 80.1 10.1 N
10:00 2.6 11.5 90.6 76.6 5.9 ENE
13:00 2.4 11.3 87.2 71.7 9.8 E
16:00 2.3 11.6 90.4 73.2 9.7 E
19:00 2.5 11.6 90.2 75.2 13.8 ESE
Time Tide Height (ft)
01:23 L -0.36
07:31 H 4.77
13:51 L -0.67
19:53 H 4.42

Too early to call, but it’s possible we’ll have some waves on Wednesday. Glassy conditions expected. Large tide swing.

Notes: I’d expect this to come down a bit. Check back later.

Best board: TBD

Thursday 2/19

Time Swell Height Period Wave Direction Energy Percentile Wind Speed Wind Direction
07:00 3 4.8 140.8 10 10.5 E
10:00 2.8 5 140.7 10.1 1.4 N
13:00 2.6 5 137 9.6 7.2 N
16:00 2.4 5 132.5 8.3 5.6 NNE
19:00 2.5 5 130 8.9 4.2 ENE
Time Tide Height (ft)
02:06 L -0.45
08:10 H 4.69
14:27 L -0.7
20:32 H 4.56

I’m doubting the combined swell heights/period on this one. Most of the height is coming from a steep south wind swell at less than 6s period.

Notes: Low expectations. Enough for a true beginner. Could change.

Friday 2/20

We might have a swell here. Model runs are varying.

Saturday 2/21

We might have a swell here. Model runs are varying.

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