wave picture

Last Update: 5/9/2026 13:15

Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams


Week of 5/9 - 5/13

Sunday 5/10 and Monday 5/11 are the best days until late next week (at the earliest).

Saturday 5/9

Strong south winds sets up swell for Sunday AM (hopefully). Not much worth targeting without serious south wind protection and even then, there’s better things to do.

Sunday 5/10

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 147.6 3.6 6.9 30.7 SSW 4.8 -0.3
08:00 155 3.8 7.6 40.7 SSW 3.9 -1.5
10:00 155 4 7.8 45.3 S 4.8 -1.2
12:00 155 4 7.8 45.3 S 6 -0
14:00 155 3.8 7.8 43.1 SSE 9 0.9
16:00 155 3.8 7.7 40.6 S 9 0.8
18:00 145 3.8 7.7 44.3 SSW 7.2 -0.3
Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2
08:00 153.2 4.1 7.9 0 0 0
14:00 150 4.1 7.9 130 0.3 13.1
20:00 146.6 3.9 7.9 131.1 0.3 12.8
Time Tide Height (ft)
01:44 H 4.19
08:18 L 0.81
14:28 H 3.95
20:41 L 1.26

This has trended way better, although with worse winds. We’ve had some false positives lately, so I’m cautiously optimistic about this one. This is a pretty similar setup to what didn’t work out for us on Thursday/Friday.

The window of best conditions is pretty tricky as this will not be a long lived swell. Currently, I’m seeing swell arrive just before dawn and the best of it will mostly be gone by early afternoon. The AM low tide is pretty well timed for this setup if it holds, but I wouldn’t wait too late.

There isn’t an offshore switch expected with this one, so spots that handle southerly wind chop will have better conditions than unprotected spots.

Notes: Hopefully this actually happens this time. It’ll be really fun if it does.

best board: groveler or longboard

Monday 5/11

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 145 3.3 7.3 32.7 NNE 11 -0.1
08:00 135 3.2 7.3 33.6 NNE 10 -1.5
10:00 125 3.3 7.2 36.4 NE 8.2 -2
12:00 115 3.4 7.3 39 NNE 6.8 -0.9
14:00 115 3.4 7.3 39 NNE 5 0.6
16:00 115 3.3 7.2 38.1 NE 4.9 1.3
18:00 115 3.2 7.2 36.5 E 4.1 0.3
Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 Angle 3 Swell 3 Period 3 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
08:00 131.9 3.3 7.5 132.9 0.2 15.5 0 0 0 0 0 0
14:00 130.6 3 7.4 132.4 0.4 12.2 130.7 0.2 15.3 0 0 0
20:00 111.4 2.2 8 158 1.5 6.9 128 0.4 12.1 186.7 0.7 2
Time Tide Height (ft)
02:38 H 4.21
09:13 L 0.64
15:21 H 4.25
21:45 L 0.96

Not a great wind direction. Wave heights are there, but conditions are likely to be poor unless you find some north wind protection.

Notes: Worth checking a cam in the morning but don’t have high expectations.

Best board: longboard

Tuesday 5/12

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 105 3.1 7.8 42.7 N 12.6 0.5
08:00 105 3.2 7.8 43.7 N 12 -1.2
10:00 105 3.1 7.8 42.4 N 10 -2.2
12:00 95 2.9 7.7 38.3 N 6.7 -1.5
14:00 95 2.8 7.6 33.9 N 2.9 0.2
16:00 95 2.6 7.5 30.1 SSE 3.8 1.6
18:00 95 2.5 7.4 26.7 S 7 1.2
Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 Angle 3 Swell 3 Period 3 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
08:00 111.6 1.8 7.8 160.8 0.8 6.1 129.8 0.6 11.3 11.4 2.3 3.7
14:00 114.9 1.7 7.7 43.7 1.2 4.2 129.8 0.7 10.9 0 0 0
20:00 106.4 1.7 7.4 129.5 0.7 10.8 129.7 0.2 13.7 174.4 1.2 2.5
Time Tide Height (ft)
03:38 H 4.27
10:03 L 0.41
16:17 H 4.64
22:42 L 0.59

Similar to monday. Poor conditions from northerly winds.

Wednesday 5/13

Very small surf with moderately strong south winds.

Looking Ahead

Late week into the weekend looks interesting. It’s far out and there’s still a lot of variation in the model outputs. Once we get some clarity, I’ll update this.


All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave


Current list of Surf Hazards Surf Hazards


Why Energy Percentile? Energy Article


NOAA Atlantic Analysis

Buoys

NOAA New York Harbor Entrance Buoy

Barnegat NJ Buoy

Hurricane Analysis

NHS 7 Day Outlook

NHS Tropical Hazards Outlook

Teleconnections

NAO

ENSO Diagnostic Discussion