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Last Update: 6/22/2026 10:30

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Summer Forecast Note

As we get into summer, this page will be updated less. I primarily mean for this page to track swells as they arrive and that’s not something that happens that much this time of year. As surfers, we all know that July-mid August is the slowest time of year for surf. The waves we do see tend to be more similar to trade swell than actual swell events. For this type of setup, wave heights are pretty unimportant and will be too affected by local bathymetry. In general, if the waves are under waist high, I won’t be attaching the tabular data associated.

I’ll still be updating this page with days that are worth a look, but I’ll go ahead and give the NOAA servers a rest until something of interest pops up.

Forecast for the Week of 6/21 - 6/28

Waves early week from a weak low pressure system moving through our region. This brings cooler weatehr and maybe some rain on Monday/Tuesday. We should see a pretty similar day of surf to what we saw on Thurs./Fri. on Tuesday AM.

Really slow week y’all. Unfortunately, summer is upon us and that means no waves. Upper level charts are lookin pretty bleak for another week+. We could see something in early July, but I’d find another hobby for the time being.

Sunday 6/21

Flat - knee longboard waves are possible. Low expectations and really just for the absolute beginner.

Wind is relatively light all day for a nice beach day.

Monday 6/22

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 175 1.8 6.5 2.8 ESE 2.9 -1.1
08:00 165 1.7 6.5 3.3 E 5.4 -2
10:00 165 1.7 6.4 2.9 ESE 7 -1
12:00 165 1.8 6.4 3.5 SE 12 0.6
14:00 165 2.8 3.5 0.3 SSE 18 1.8
16:00 165 3.6 4.6 3.8 SSE 15.7 1.4
18:00 165 3.8 5.2 8.6 S 15.3 -0.1
Time Tide Height (ft)
01:45 H 4.47
08:04 L 0.41
14:26 H 4.81
20:40 L 0.96

Watching for a new south swell. Wind isn’t expected to go offshore until Tuesday. Messy conditions once waves arrive. Watch Tuesday.

Tuesday 6/23

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 185 3.5 5.9 7.4 WNW 6.8 -0.6
08:00 185 3.2 6 6.5 N 8.9 -1.6
10:00 192.2 3 5.9 4.1 N 13.2 -1.7
12:00 195 2.9 5.9 3 N 14.5 -0.2
14:00 195 2.8 5.9 2.7 NNW 11.3 1.4
16:00 195 2.8 5.9 2.6 NNW 9 1.5
18:00 195 2.6 5.9 2.3 NNW 8.2 0.3

Prediction for NY Harbor Buoy

Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
08:00 169.7 3.5 5.9 129.9 0.2 11.6 0 0 0
14:00 163.3 2.8 5.9 130 0.2 11.6 345.2 1.3 2.7
20:00 158.7 2.4 5.8 128 0.2 11.3 4.8 1.1 2.8

Prediction for Barnegat Light Buoy

Time Angle 1 Swell 1 Period 1 Angle 2 Swell 2 Period 2 WW Angle Wind Wave WW Period
08:00 170.2 3.5 5.9 116.4 0.3 11.6 0 0 0
14:00 162.9 2.9 5.8 114.4 0.3 11.6 349.2 1.1 2.4
20:00 157 2.3 5.7 112.9 0.3 11.3 3.1 1.8 3.6
Time Tide Height (ft)
02:35 H 4.19
08:55 L 0.56
15:15 H 4.8
21:38 L 0.93

This has trended down significantly over the past 48 hours

Wave height predictions have dropped about a foot and now the period numbers are expected to be at or just below 6s. I had fairly high hopes for this one, but the wind strength just isn’t there.

Breaking waves should be in the knee-waist range and very soft/mushy.

Notes: Not what we wanted to see from this system. That said, it won’t be better for a while. 7am or so should be best.

Best board: longboard

Wednesday 6/24

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 145 3 6.4 17.3 NNW 13 0
08:00 145 2.9 6.5 18.1 NW 12.1 -1.4
10:00 145 2.7 6.6 17.2 NNW 8.9 -2.2
12:00 145 2.5 6.7 14.6 NNW 3 -1
14:00 145 2.3 6.7 13.2 S 4.9 0.8
16:00 145 2.3 6.7 12.9 S 8.3 1.7
18:00 145 2.3 6.8 13.2 S 9.9 1
Time Tide Height (ft)
03:28 H 3.97
09:43 L 0.67
16:06 H 4.82
22:30 L 0.83

Enough for a beginner and the longboards. Clean conditions expected from light NNW winds. Breaking waves in the knee-thigh range.

Best board: Longboard

Thursday 6/25 - Sunday 6/28

Roughly 2ft seas for very small surf. Flat at most spots at anything other than low tide.

Really slow week for surf.


Looking Ahead

It’s definitely summer and July isn’t known for waves. Look into a surf trip if wanting to surf something over knee high in the next few weeks. Things could change, but after Tuesday 6/23 it looks pretty bleak.

The next time period to keep an eye on is around 7/5, but that’s pretty far out.


All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave


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Why Energy Percentile? Energy Article


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