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Last Update: 7/11/2026 15:00

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Summer Forecast Note

As we get into summer, this page will be updated less. I primarily mean for this page to track swells as they arrive and that’s not something that happens that much this time of year. As surfers, we all know that July-mid August is the slowest time of year for surf. The waves we do see tend to be more similar to trade swell than actual swell events. For this type of setup, wave heights are pretty unimportant and will be too affected by local bathymetry. In general, if the waves are under waist high, I won’t be attaching the tabular data associated.

I’ll still be updating this page with days that are worth a look, but I’ll go ahead and give the NOAA servers a rest until something of interest pops up.

Forecast for the Week of 7/11 - 7/

Another bleak week for surf here in NJ.

High pressure arrives following a cold front and sends swell to VA/NC. A large low pressure system moves over the Maritimes and stalls by mid-week. This is too far north to affect us, but we could see something form at the tail end of that frontal system. Time will tell.

Weekend of 7/11 and 7/12

Enough for a longboard but very small and weak. Onshore wind.

Monday 7/13

Time Wave Direction Swell Height Period Energy Percentile Wind Direction Wind Speed Water Level
06:00 115 2.6 6.3 16.8 SE 2.2 1.2
08:00 115 2.6 6.4 17.7 ESE 2.9 1
10:00 115 2.6 6.5 18.1 SE 3.8 -0.8
12:00 125 2.5 6.6 17.5 SSE 5.8 -2.7
14:00 125 2.5 6.7 17.9 SSE 8 -2.6
16:00 125 2.5 6.9 19.9 S 10 0.1
18:00 125 2.6 7 23.6 S 11 2.4
Time Tide Height (ft)
00:49 L -0.14
06:51 H 4.64
12:44 L -0.08
19:11 H 5.95

Roughly waist high ESE wind waves.

Notes: Avoid the AM high tide. South wind picks up in the afternoon. Not great but possibly the best day of the week.

Best board: longboard

Tuesday 7/14

Enough for a longboard but basically flat.

Wednesday 7/15 - Friday 7/17

Essentially flat to actually flat. There could be enough south background swell to push beginners into waves on a big board, but it’s flat.


Looking Ahead

At this point, it’s all eyes, hopes, dreams, etc. on 7/18-7/21. Upper level charts are interesting and there seems to be concensus that a swell is possible. That said, models aren’t in agreement about the specifics at this time.

Great time to take a surf trip if you have the chance.

Tropics

Tropics are expected to remain quiet for the next two weeks.


All data sourced from NOAA NWPS and GFS Wave


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