Monmouth County Surf Forecast
Next Week
We’ll have plenty of swell in the water all next week. At this point, I’m mostly watching the wind forecast. As of now, I’m not that excited with what I’m seeing early-mid week. I’d expect all of these numbers, especially the wind forecast to move around some. Know your limits and check your local wind forecast daily. Expect a lot of water moving around with life threatening currents and rips present.
Monday-Thursday
Wind is going to be a significant issue. Expect Monday and Tuesday to be completely blown out. There could be light enough winds overnight Tuesday into Wednesday to offer a window Wednesday early am. Onshore wind increases into Thursday and starts to calm down in the evening and overnight.
There will be plenty of swell with chest-head high windswell that builds through the day on Monday. Increasingly powerful longer period surf builds in Tuesday with surf heights expected to be around head high or so with overhead surf the following morning. Wave heights peak late Wednesday through Thursday afternoon with 1.5 to 2x overhead surf possible with period ~17 seconds. Swell height begins to fall Thursday afternoon setting up chest-head high waves for Friday morning.
Friday
As of the writing of this forecast, this is the day to watch. There should be plenty of chest-head high swell with possibly much larger sets in the AM. Wind forecasts have been changing around a lot, but I’d expect light winds at the very least. Currently, I’m seeing light S winds at ~5-10 knots. Even if it’s not great, this day looks doable.
High tide is at 7:15 am. with longer period swell, I’d plan on getting out there closer to high tide than to low. Closeouts are going to be an issue and you’ll need to put some time in to find a bar that’s working. I wouldn’t be surprised if there’s some changes to the forecast in the next few days depending on the track of Erin. I’d plan on checking your local buoy and local wind forecast each day.
Saturday
It’s too early to say how much swell will still be around, but there should be enough for grovelers or a longboard. Wind will likely cooperate, but the early AM high tide could be an issue with the smaller swell.