Monmouth County Surf Forecast
Last Update: 10/8/2025 11:00 (Next Update will likely be Friday, 10/10)
Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams
Weeks of 10/5-10/19
It’s looking real bad for the remainder of this week through late next week. As of right now, we’re looking at 10/16 as the earliest date to expect winds to turn in our favor. We’re going to have near gale winds out of the NE from late Sunday through Tuesday, then strong north winds after that. Friday AM of this week will have lighter winds but we’re looking at really small windswell out of the NE. Maybe enough for a longboard, but it won’t be great. Saturday morning is worth a watch too, but again, nothing exciting.
| Date | Day | Wave Direction | Swell Height (ft) | Period (s) | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed (kts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-08 | Wednesday | 173.4 | 3.3 | 6.2 | 31.7 | WSW | 14 |
| 2025-10-09 | Thursday | 71.2 | 3 | 5.7 | 24.9 | NNE | 14.2 |
| 2025-10-10 | Friday | 117.5 | 1.8 | 7.4 | 19.4 | ESE | 8.6 |
| 2025-10-11 | Saturday | 128.1 | 3.1 | 5.4 | 21.1 | ESE | 11.4 |
| 2025-10-12 | Sunday | 112 | 10.3 | 9.4 | 14.7 | NE | 31.7 |
| 2025-10-13 | Monday | 108.4 | 9.4 | 10.9 | 29.9 | ESE | 24.2 |
| 2025-10-14 | Tuesday | 111.1 | 4.7 | 11 | 86.6 | NW | 17.1 |
| 2025-10-15 | Wednesday | 95.4 | 3.4 | 9.4 | 23.4 | S | 14.7 |
| 2025-10-16 | Thursday | 85.7 | 4 | 9.5 | 25.9 | NNE | 13.4 |
| 2025-10-17 | Friday | 93.6 | 4.2 | 11.8 | 91.4 | E | 8.1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Saturday | 94.1 | 3.2 | 11.7 | 82.2 | SW | 8.4 |
This isn’t looking like a good week of surf, with strong onshore winds and little swell. Next week has plenty of swell but poor winds.
Friday 10/10
Friday could be an option, but currently I’m seeing textured ~thigh+ high surf at best.
| Time | Swell Height | Period | Wave Direction | Energy Percentile | Wind Speed | Wind Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 | 2.1 | 7.4 | 107.1 | 31.7 | 6.8 | ENE |
| 08:00 | 2 | 7.4 | 109.6 | 25.3 | 6.8 | E |
| 11:00 | 2 | 7.4 | 112.8 | 23.4 | 7.4 | ESE |
| 14:00 | 1.9 | 7.4 | 115.2 | 18.8 | 8.1 | SE |
| 17:00 | 1.9 | 7.3 | 116.9 | 20.8 | 8.6 | SSE |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 03:45 | L | -0.18 |
| 10:07 | H | 5.84 |
| 16:33 | L | -0.01 |
| 22:43 | H | 4.74 |
Saturday 10/11
Watching the timing of the next tropical system. It’s unlikely that there will be any quality surf over the weekend, but we might start getting some of the weather from the low pressure systems coming up the coast. I’ll update as this gets closer, but for right now, I’d have other plans.
It’s possible we could see some longboard waves in the morning, but I wouldn’t count on it.
| Time | Swell Height | Period | Wave Direction | Energy Percentile | Wind Speed | Wind Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 | 2 | 4 | 136 | 24.4 | 6.7 | ESE |
| 08:00 | 2 | 7.3 | 121.3 | 22.2 | 7.5 | E |
| 11:00 | 2.2 | 7 | 122.3 | 35.2 | 9.5 | E |
| 14:00 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 124.4 | 18.5 | 13.1 | ESE |
| 17:00 | 3.6 | 4.8 | 127.5 | 0 | 14.9 | E |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 04:33 | L | 0.12 |
| 11:07 | H | 5.56 |
| 17:33 | L | 0.29 |
| 23:49 | H | 4.49 |
Looking Ahead
We’ll be getting some new long period swell sometime around Sunday 10/12. I’d expect early week to offer some windows of decent conditions and likely good sized surf. I’ll update as it gets closer. As of this update, AL95 has a 90% chance of formation in the next 48 hours is expected to have a similar recurving track as Erin and Humberto.
Unfortunately, models aren’t showing wind work out in our favor until around 10/17 or so. We’re going to have a stretch of very strong NE winds associated with this tropical system (if the models are correct) rendering our surf completely blown out. Hopefully there’s some changes here, as it’s pretty far out.
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