Monmouth County Surf Forecast
Last Update: 11/26/2025 08:00 (Next update will likely be 11/29)
Link to Free Surf Cams: Beach Cams
Scroll to the right for more information in the below tables
Next Three Days at a Glance
| Date | Wave Height | Wind Direction | Wind Speed | Energy Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TODAY | Knee+ | SSW | 4 | 23.2 |
| TONIGHT | Knee+ | SSW | 7 | 44.5 |
| THU | Knee | W | 17 | 43.2 |
| THU NIGHT | Knee | W | 20 | 46.9 |
| FRI | Flat | W | 18 | 0.5 |
| FRI NIGHT | Flat | W | 25 | 15.3 |
We’ve had and will have disappointing surf for a while. Check back around 12/3. See my forecast note here for more information about the pattern we’ve been in and what could be in store early December.
Week of 11/23-11/30
After a couple of uneventful weeks, it seems that things are looking up a bit. I’m expecting a small, but potentially fun swell for 11/26 and then another swell for the first week of December. I’m hoping we see some leftovers for Thanksgiving day, but the wind forecast is going to play an outsized role in determining how much swell sticks around. Either way, it’ll be gone early. Low tide lines up well for dawn patrol.
Unfortunately, the swell for 11/26 is almost entirely from an area of high pressure in the Western Atlantic. Originally, it looked like we would see some interaction with a stronger area of low pressure over the Great Lakes, which would have strengthened the swell a bit, but that doesn’t seem like the case anymore. Either way, we have some surfable swell with light winds.
Wednesday 11/26
| Time | Swell Height | Period | Wave Direction | Energy Percentile | Wind Speed | Wind Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 4.1 | 6.5 | 177.5 | 28.2 | 13 | SSW |
| 10:00 | 3.6 | 6.4 | 177.8 | 23 | 13.4 | SSW |
| 13:00 | 3.6 | 6.5 | 175.3 | 24.3 | 10.7 | SSW |
| 16:00 | 3.7 | 6.8 | 169 | 31.2 | 9.2 | SSW |
| 19:00 | 3.7 | 7 | 168.5 | 34.1 | 12.7 | SW |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 04:09 | L | 1.03 |
| 10:49 | H | 4.37 |
| 17:15 | L | 0.61 |
| 23:37 | H | 3.66 |
Worse than I had expected and about a foot under the model estimates I was seeing yesterday evening. Fairly close to this table, however. I was hoping the 4.7ft@7s I had been seeing would come to fruition, but no such luck. Actual buoy reading as of 8:00 am is 3.6@6.7. Too steep angled given the weak swell.
Wind starts the day light and there isn’t too much texture.
Notes: Best (and maybe only) day of the week to surf. Still bad. Avoid the high tide if looking to get a few.
Best board: Longboard
Thursday 11/27
| Time | Swell Height | Period | Wave Direction | Energy Percentile | Wind Speed | Wind Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 4 | 4.2 | 262.3 | 0 | 21.9 | W |
| 10:00 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 254.4 | 0 | 22.1 | W |
| 13:00 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 252.1 | 0.1 | 23 | W |
| 16:00 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 255.5 | 0.1 | 24.1 | W |
| 19:00 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 256.9 | 0.1 | 24.3 | W |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 05:03 | L | 1.1 |
| 11:43 | H | 4.32 |
| 18:09 | L | 0.58 |
Notes: Thursday has really trended down. I’ll update as we get closer, but I wouldn’t expect much. I think the table above is a bit misleading. It’s possible we’ll see some ~2’@7s swell on the buoy in the AM. Wind is strong offshore and if that holds, I wouldn’t expect worthwhile surf.
Notes: Strong west wind limits surfability. There will be enough swell on the buoy, but I’m not expecting this to be a worthwhile day.
Best board: Longboard
Friday 11/28 - Sunday 11/30
Flat. Winds will be strong offshore through Saturday afternoon with cold weather expected.
It’s possible we start to see some swell for 11/30. More about that below.
Looking Ahead
The first couple weeks of December are looking pretty active. It’s possible we’ll see back to back swells around 12/1 and 12/7. It’s pretty far out, but models have been pretty consistent about the first week of December. It does look like we’re finally seeing a change in the pattern from low pressure systems staying north over the Great Lakes. That pattern has led to us primarily seeing interaction with the far southwest corner of the windfield, which has been creating that SW swell we’ve been seeing (or not seeing). Hopefully that remains the case for a while.
| Date | Day | Wave Direction | Swell Height (ft) | Period (s) | Energy Percentile | Wind Direction | Wind Speed (kts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 | Monday | 153.5 | 4.2 | 7.1 | 46.6 | NW | 16.3 |
| 2025-12-02 | Tuesday | 144.4 | 3.5 | 8.1 | 53.7 | WNW | 15.9 |
| 2025-12-03 | Wednesday | 175.6 | 2.8 | 7.3 | 29.6 | W | 14 |
| 2025-12-04 | Thursday | 127.5 | 2.1 | 8.1 | 34.1 | W | 10.6 |
| 2025-12-05 | Friday | 120.1 | 3.5 | 7.6 | 46.2 | ESE | 12.9 |
| 2025-12-06 | Saturday | 128.2 | 6.3 | 8.7 | 85.4 | SW | 12.9 |
| 2025-12-07 | Sunday | 146.4 | 4.6 | 8.5 | 69.1 | W | 14.9 |
| 2025-12-08 | Monday | 190.6 | 3.2 | 7 | 30.4 | SSW | 14.1 |
Monday 12/01
| Time | Swell Height | Period | Wave Direction | Energy Percentile | Wind Speed | Wind Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 4.5 | 6.9 | 149.1 | 49.6 | 16.2 | NW |
| 10:00 | 4.5 | 7.3 | 142.4 | 57.5 | 14.4 | NNW |
| 13:00 | 4.6 | 7.5 | 145.2 | 59.4 | 17 | NNW |
| 16:00 | 4.2 | 7.7 | 146.1 | 57.9 | 16.9 | NNW |
| 19:00 | 3.8 | 7.6 | 149.2 | 51.3 | 15.8 | NNW |
| Time | Tide | Height (ft) |
|---|---|---|
| 03:13 | H | 4.91 |
| 09:45 | L | 0.17 |
| 15:43 | H | 4.38 |
| 21:51 | L | -0.27 |
While this isn’t a particularly strong low pressure system, it is going to be far better positioned for creating waves in our swell window. The set up for this swell is an area of low pressure lifting up from around KY up north over the Great Lakes. It interacts with an area of high pressure moving off Cape Cod, creating some S-SE swell for our area that should start to show late 11/30.
This will be another wind swell event, but it is a really nice swell direction for our area and should play nice with our sandbars.
Notes: Still far out, but I’d keep an eye on this time period.
Best board: If this holds, I’d say a longboard or groveler. Should be a fun day for a small wave shortboard.
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